Vikings vs Steelers Prediction, Best Bets & Betting Odds in Dublin
By Sascha Paruk in NFL News
Updated: September 28, 2025 at 11:49 am EDTPublished:
- The Minnesota Vikings and Pittsburgh Steelers meet in Dublin on Sunday morning
- Carson Wentz will start again for the Vikings in place of injured JJ McCarthy
- See the Vikings vs Steelers predictions, picks, betting trends, and best odds
The first of the 2025 NFL international games pits the Minnesota Vikings (2-1) against the Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1) at iconic Croke Park in Dublin, Ireland, this Sunday (9:30 am ET). A win for either team would put them atop their division for the time being.
This comprehensive preview will dissect the Vikings vs Steelers odds, analyze relevant betting trends, and identify the smartest Vikings vs Steelers picks.
Jump to: The Picks | Current Odds | Betting Trends | H2H Stats
Vikings vs Steelers Betting Predictions & Best Picks
While many of the faces have changed, the Vikings been an absolute truck in recent years when favored outside of Minnesota. The Vikings are 14-2 straight-up in their last 16 games as road favorites and, though this isn’t a true road game, their ability to travel will be just as important.
The Vikings, who absolutely pasted Jake Browning and the Bengals last week (48-10), are also 7-3 straight-up in their last ten games after a win, and 7-3 in their last ten games against teams with a winning record.
The Steelers, on the other hand, are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against opponents with winning records, and just 2-6 straight up in their last eight contests overall. But the Minnesota offense remains a question mark with Carson Wentz at the helm. The 32-year-old former #2 pick was an efficient 14-of-20 for 176 yards and two TD passes against a porous Cincinnati defense. He benefited from his defense generating five takeaways and scoring two touchdowns, itself.
The Pittsburgh defense will be a different beast this week. The unit finally broke out of its funk in a 21-14 win over the Patriots, generating five takeaways of their own. TJ Watt finally showed the play that made him one of the preseason favorites in the NFL DPOY odds.
Wentz hasn’t been an elite, or even average, quarterback since he was relegated to a backup circa 2022. The Steelers’ talented and tenacious defense will make his life hell, allowing their own anemic offense to at least keep the game within a field goal.
Minnesota Vikings vs Pittsburgh Steelers Odds
As of Friday morning, the Vikings were 2.5-point favorites across the board. The spread has undergone a huge four-point swing from the opening Week 4 odds, which listed Minnesota as a 1.5-point underdog.
After removing the vig, the normalized probabilities show the Vikings with a 56.4% fair probability of victory compared to 43.6% for the Steelers.
The longest Viking moneyline at the time of publication was -142 at DraftKings (compared to +108 in the opening lines). The Steelers were now as long as +125 at bet365.
The total had also undergone a massive shift, dropping from 43.5 to as low as 40.5 (though it was still 41.5 at ESPN Bet). Both teams are 2-1 O/U in the 2025 NFL ATS records heading into Week 4.
MIN Vikings vs PIT Steelers Betting Trends
Minnesota Vikings Trends:
- 14-2 straight up in last 16 games as road favorites
- 8-2 following wins in last 10 games
- 7-3 against teams with winning records in last 10 meetings
- Over 4-6 in last six games when favored by fewer than seven points
Pittsburgh Steelers Trends:
- 8-2 ATS as underdogs of fewer than 7 points in last 10 games
- 0-4 ATS in last four games against teams with winning records
- 2-6 straight up in last eight games overall
- Over 2-1 in three games this season
The trend data reveals Minnesota’s dominance in similar situational spots while highlighting Pittsburgh’s recent struggles against winning teams. The Vikings’ road favorite success rate of 87.5% over their last 16 games represents elite-level consistency.
MIN vs PIT Statistical Comparison
The statistical breakdown reveals Minnesota’s offensive advantages and Pittsburgh’s situational efficiency, creating an intriguing tactical battle. While the Vikings generate more total production, the Steelers excel in high-leverage situations that often determine close games.
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The sports and sports betting data in this article was gathered with the assistance of AI that is connected to Sportradar’s database.
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
