NFL Week 1 Odds Movement & Public-Betting Splits

• Many of the NFL Week 1 odds have moved significantly over the last few days
• The public is heavily backing moneyline favorites in the Week 1 NFL odds
• See the NFL Week 1 odds movement and updated public-betting splits

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Week 1 of the 2025 NFL regular season swiftly approaches and now is an opportune time to juxtapose the opening prices with the current lines. Below, find the opening/current spread, moneyline, and total for all 16 Week 1 games, along with the notable public-betting splits for each matchup.

Use these anchors to navigate directly to the game you’re most interested in.

Jump to: DAL vs PHI | KC vs LAC | TB vs ATL | PIT vs NYJ | MIA vs IND | CAR vs JAX | NYG vs WSH | ARI vs NOLA | CIN vs CLE | LV vs NE | SF vs SEA | TEN vs DEN | DET vs GB | HOU vs LAR | BAL vs BUF | MIN vs CHI

Cowboys vs Eagles Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: PHI -7
• Current: PHI -8.5

Moneyline

• Open: DAL +250 / PHI -310
• Current: DAL +210 / PHI -395

Total

• Open: 46.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 47.5 (O -110 | U -110)

The first game of the season between the Cowboys and defending Super Bowl-champion Eagles has seen big-time movement towards Philadelphia. After opening as touchdown-favorite, the line has been pushed up to 7.5, and it may grow further.

Even with the number inflated, 73% of ATS handle is still on the Eagles in the Week 1 NFL public betting percentages. Philadelphia, which opened at -310 on the moneyline and is now -395, is also getting a staggering 95% of moneyline handle.

The total has increased from 46.5 to 47.5 but that could tick back down before kickoff; 79% of O/U handle and 80% of O/U wagers are currently on the under.

The Eagles (+750) sit just behind the Ravens (+700) in the Super Bowl 60 odds heading into Week 1.

Chiefs vs Chargers Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: KC -3
• Current: KC -3

Moneyline

• Open: KC -155 / LAC +130
• Current: KC -170 / LAC +142

Total

• Open: 44.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 45.5 (O -110 | U -110)

The public loves the Chiefs to win their season-opener against the Chargers in Sao Paulo, Brazil. Even thought the spread has held steady at KC -3, the Chiefs’ moneyline has shortened from -155 to -170, driven by KC getting 94% of moneyline handle so far on 83% of moneyline tickets.

The total has gone up a point since opening at 44.5, but like the DAL/PHI game, the under is getting the vast majority of money so far (84% of O/U handle), indicating it may drop back down.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: TB -2.5
• Current: TB -2.5

Moneyline

• Open: TB -142 / ATL +120
• Current: TB -135 / ATL +114

Total

• Open: 47.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 47.5 (O -110 | U -110)

Steelers vs Jets Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: PIT -2.5
• Current: PIT -3

Moneyline

• Open: PIT -130 / NYJ +110
• Current: PIT -155 / NYJ +130

Total

• Open: 41.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 38.5 (O -112 | U -108)

One of the public’s favorite teams to fade last year, the Jets may play a similar role in 2025 if early splits are any indication. New York is getting just 28% of ATS handle as field-goal underdogs against Pittsburgh, and a infinitesimal 9% of moneyline handle.

No game total has dropped more than PIT/NYJ, which opened at 41.5 and is now a Week 1-low 38.5. But don’t expect that number to go back up anytime soon; 66% of O/U handle and 68% of O/U bets are still on the under.

Dolphins vs Colts Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: IND -1.5
• Current: IND -1.5

Moneyline

• Open: MIA +100 / IND -120
• Current: MIA -108 / IND -112

Total

• Open: 45.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 47.5 (O -105 | U -115)

Miami is one of the public’s favorite underdogs in Week 1. The Phins, who opened as even-money ‘dogs, are now -108 (nearly a pick’em with Indy at -112). The public-betting splits show Miami getting 79% of ML handle on just 49% of ML tickets, a subtle indication that sharp money may be on the visitors.

The game total has gone up two full points from 45.5 to 47.5. The under is now one of the public’s favorite game-total bets, though, getting 79% of money and 81% of tickets.

Panthers vs Jaguars Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: JAX -3.5
• Current: JAX -3.5

Moneyline

• Open: CAR +140 / JAX -166
• Current: CAR +150 / JAX -180

Total

• Open: 45.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 46.5 (O -110 | U -110)

The Panthers/Jaguars odds have been relatively stationary. Jacksonville remains a 3.5-point favorite and the Jags’ moneyline has shortened slightly from -166 to -180 (with Carolina fading from +140 to +150).

The moneyline could continue to separate; 80% of ML handle is on the Jags to win, along with 83% of ML bets.

Giants vs Commanders Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: WSH -7.5
• Current: WSH -5.5

Moneyline

• Open: NYG + 270 / WSH -340
• Current: NYG + 215 / WSH -265

Total

• Open: 45.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 45.5 (O -112 | U -108)

The public isn’t fading the Giants as hard as their MetLife co-tenants. New York opened as a 7.5-point road underdog at Washington, but is now catching just 5.5 points. On the moneyline, the G-Men shortened from +270 to +215.

The Commanders are currently getting 90% of moneyline handle, though, a good indication that buy-back on Washington will push the line closer to where it opened.

The total hasn’t budged from its opening number of 45.5.

Cardinals vs Saints Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: ARI -3.5
• Current: ARI -6.5

Moneyline

• Open: ARI -192 / NOLA +160
• Current: ARI -285 / NOLA +230

Total

• Open: 43.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 43.5 (O -105 | U -115)

No Week 1 point spread has moved more than Cardinals/Saints. Arizona was laying just 3.5 points on the road when lines were first posted, and now they need to win by a full touchdown to cover the 6.5-point spread.

The public thinks very little of the Saints as a home underdog, putting a miniscule 8% of moneyline handle on New Orleans.

Bengals vs Browns Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: CIN -4.5
• Current: CIN -5.5

Moneyline

• Open: CIN -205 / CLE +170
• Current: CIN -238 / CLE +195

Total

• Open: 44.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 47.5 (O -115 | U -105)

Despite Cincinnati’s Week 1 struggles in recent years, the public is backing Joe Burrow and company in Cleveland. The Bengals opened as a 4.5-point road favorite and are now laying 5.5, while getting 79% of ATS handle.

The total has ballooned from 44.5 all the way to 47.5

Raiders vs Patriots Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: NE -3.5
• Current: NE -2.5

Moneyline

• Open: LV +140 / NE -166
• Current: LV +130 / NE -155

Total

• Open: 43.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 43.5 (O -108 | U -112)

The Raiders/Patriots spread has narrowed from 3.5 to 2.5 and the Raiders are still getting 69% of ATS handle on 61% of ATS wagers. The public likes the Pats to win straight-up, though putting 68% of moneyline handle and 76% of ML best on New England at home.

49ers vs Seahawks Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: SF -1.5
• Current: SF -2.5

Moneyline

• Open: SF -120 / SEA +100
• Current: SF -135 / SEA +114

Total

• Open: 45.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 43.5 (O -102 | U -118)

After a severe underperformance in 2024, the Niners are getting plenty of love from bettors in the Week 1 NFL odds. With 63% of ATS handle on San Francisco, the spread has grown a full point from SF -1.5 to SF -2.5.

Seattle is one of the few plus-money underdogs getting the majority of moneyline handle, though. The Seahawks are currently sitting at 53% of ML handle on ust 25% of ML wagers.

Lions vs Packers Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: GB -1.5
• Current: GB -2.5

Moneyline

• Open: DET -102 / GB -118
• Current: DET +124 / GB -148

Total

• Open: 47.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 46.5 (O -118 | U -102)

In addition to Atlanta and Seattle, Detroit is the only other plus-money underdog getting more than 50% of moneyline handle. The Lions are sitting at 72% of ML handle as +124 underdogs at the division-rival Packers, a number that grew when the Packers added Micah Parsons to their defense.

Parsons will open the season as the favorite in the NFL Defensive Player of the Year odds, going head-to-head with second-favorite Aidan Hutchinson of the Lions in Week 1.

Titans vs Broncos Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: DEN -7.5
• Current: DEN -8.5

Moneyline

• Open: TEN +295 / DEN -375
• Current: TEN +300 / DEN -380

Total

• Open: 43.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 42.5 (O -110 | U -110)

Bettors don’t expect a ton from #1 pick Cam Ward, who starts the season as the second-favorite in the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds behind Las Vegas RB Ashton Jeanty. Ward and the Titans are getting a Week 1-low 4% of moneyline handle as +300 underdogs against the Broncos.

Texans vs Rams Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: LAR -3.5
• Current: LAR -2.5

Moneyline

• Open: HOU +145 / LAR -175
• Current: HOU +120 / LAR -142

Total

• Open: 44.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 43.5 (O -115 | U -105)

The public is divided in the Texas/Rams matchup in Week 1. Los Angeles is getting 64% of moneyline handle and 79% of ML bets, but the Texans have received 56% of ATS handle and 51% of ATS tickets.

The ATS bets on Houston have driven the line down from LAR -3.5 to LAR -2.5.

Ravens vs Bills Odds Movement & Betting Splits

• Open: BUF -1.5
• Current: BUF -1.5

Moneyline

• Open: BAL +102 / BUF -122
• Current: BAL -108 / BUF -112

Total

• Open: 51.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current: 50.5 (O -110 | U -110)

In the marquee matchup of Week 1, Ravens vs Bills, the public is calling for a slight upset putting 78% of ML handle on Baltimore as a -108 underdog. Buffalo was a perfect 8-0 at home in the 2024 regular season (10-0 including playoffs) and beat Baltimore in the AFC Divisional Round in Orchard Park.

Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson, who lost a close MVP race to Buffalo’s Josh Allen last year, will start the 2025 regular season as the favorite in the NFL MVP odds.

Vikings vs Bears Odds Movement & Betting Splits

Spread

• Open: CHI -1.5
• Current: MIN -1.5

Moneyline

• Open: MIN +102 / CHI -122
• Current: MIN -125 / CHI +105

Total

• Open: 45.5 (O -110 | U -110)
• Current:43.5 (O -115 | U -105)

The final game of Week 1 is the only matchup where the favorite flipped. Chicago opened as a 1.5-point home favorite over the Vikings, but now Minnesota is laying 1.5 points. The Vikings also went from +102 moneyline underdogs to -125 ML favorites.

Coming off a 14-3 season, Minnesota is getting 75% of ML handle and 76% of ATS handle.