Week 13 NFL Picks Against the Spread – Early Lines to Target
- In the Week 13 NFL picks against the spread, the Philadelphia Eagles are displaying the best straight up (10-1) and ATS (7-2-2) records in the league
- The Carolina Panthers have a new coach but continue to be the NFL’s worst ATS team (1-8-2) this season
- All of the Week 13 NFL picks against the spread and early lines to target are outlined in the story below
As the time arrives to assess the Week 13 NFL picks against the spread, as sure as death and taxes, the fall of 1-2 is showing no signs of letting up. For the third successive week, that was the outcome of the ATS picks.
Minnesota QB Joshua Dobbs selected the Week 12 MNF game to turn back into a pumpkin. The Chicago Bears are now 3-0 straight and 2-1 ATS in prime time games this season.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers couldn’t come up with a cover against Indianapolis, the first time they’ve failed to cover on the road this season. Thankfully, the underdog Atlanta Falcons stepped up and won outright in a key divisional game against New Orleans to save me from the utter embarrassment of an 0-3 week.
Onward we go, hopeful that this week will bring redemption. Let’s look ahead to the NFL lines for the Week 13 ATS picks.
The Denver Broncos have won five in a row, but they’re 3.5-point underdogs at Houston. Detroit is coming off a loss, but the Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a loss as they head to New Orleans as 4-point favorites. Green Bay, like Denver, is in turnaround mode and getting 6.5 points at home against Kansas City.
Now, let’s check out all the best early bets in the Week 13 ATS picks.
Week 13 NFL Picks Against the Spread
| Matchup | Spread | Pick | Units Risked |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions vs New Orleans Saints | DET-4 | DET | 1 |
| Denver Broncos vs Houston Texans | HOU -3.5 | DEN | 1 |
| Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers | KC -6.5 | GB | 1 |
Our top NFL ATS picks this week in the table above will feature plays on the Broncos, Lions, and Packers.
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NFL ATS Picks 1: Is the Pack Back?
Coming off a huge road win on Thanksgiving Day at Detroit, the Packers are shocking 6.5-point home underdogs to Kansas City. Granted, the Chiefs are 17-1 SU in their last 18 December games and 9-1 ATS in the past 10 road games.
It was a happy Thanksgiving. 🦃😁 #GBvsDET | #GoPackGo
Up next: #KCvsGB | Sunday, Dec. 3 at 7:20 p.m. CT | NBC pic.twitter.com/Bv9CAS9l29
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) November 24, 2023
However, Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in the last five against KC and 3-1 ATS in the past four games overall. The Chiefs are 2-4 ATS in their last six away games as a 6+ point chalk.
NFL ATS Picks: Green Bay Packers +6.5 (-110), 1 unit
NFL ATS Picks 2: Lions Go Marching Past Saints
Detroit tends to bounce back well from a poor performances. As well, the Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
The Saints are 7-2 ATS in the last nine games against Detroit. But New Orleans is also 0-6 ATS in the club’s past six home games.
NFL ATS Picks: Detroit Lions -4 (-110), 1 unit
NFL ATS Picks 3: Broncos Bust Texans
Along with being 5-0 SU in the past five games, the Broncos are also 4-1 ATS. Also, Denver is 4-1 SU in the past five against Houston.
If the Denver Broncos make the playoffs, Sean Payton has to be the NFL Coach of the Year. Only 3 teams in NFL History have started 1-5 and made the playoffs. @SeanPayton pic.twitter.com/O4mtnD0NER
— Robert Griffin III (@RGIII) November 27, 2023
The Texans are 4-1 SU in their past five home games. Houston is 1-2 SU and ATS in three home games against Denver. The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 0-4 ATS this season as a home favorite.
NFL ATS Picks: Denver Broncos +3.5 (-110), 1 unit
- NFL ATS records: 12-23-1
Week 13 NFL Picks Against the Spread Quick Picks
- Cowboys (-8.5) vs Seahawks: Dallas is 5-0 ATS as a home favorite this season
- Titans (+1) vs Colts: Tennessee is 5-1 ATS and SU in the last six against Indianapolis
- Patriots (+6) vs Chargers: As much as New England stinks, it hard to see the underachieving Chargers winning by nearly a TD on the road
- Falcons (-2.5) vs Jets: The Jets can’t score – against anybody. And Atlanta is 4-1 SU in the last five meetings with them
- Cardinals (+5.5) vs Steelers: Pittsburgh will win but won’t cover against an Arizona squad that is 19-11 ATS in the last 30 non-divisional games
- Dolphins (-9.5) vs Commanders: Miami rolls bad teams. And Washington is a really bad team
- Panthers (+5.5) vs Buccaneers: Panthers take advantage of the new coach bump
- Rams (-3.5) vs Browns: Cleveland’s defense allows nearly 20 points more per game on the road (29.6 PPG) than at home (10.2 PPG)
- 49ers (-3) vs Eagles: In the midst of a hellish part of the schedule, Philadelphia has to lose a game at some point
- Jaguars (-8.5) vs Bengals: Jacksonville is 7-1 ATS over the past eight games
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
