Week 14 NFL Parlay – Get a +2333 Longshot for Sunday Afternoon

• I’ve put together a +2333 longshot parlay for Sunday’s Week 14 NFL slate
• The Titans have allowed a league-worst 16 TD to running backs
• See my Week 14 NFL picks, parlay and top bets for Sunday, below

There’s a reason betting parlays is so popular. It’s fun to try and risk a little to win a lot. But, if you’re not careful, you can bust a bankroll pretty quickly just clicking buttons hoping for a big pay day.

Not to worry, I’ve got you covered. I’ve put together a well thought out, five-leg parlay for today’s NFL slate, targeting exploitable matchups, and mixing in some correlation to improve our chances of cashing big.

Below you’ll find my favorite Week 14 NFL picks, including the best parlay and top bets to make for Sunday.

Best NFL Parlay for Week 14

My favorite longshot NFL parlay for Sunday comes with +2333 odds if you play it at bet365, which had (by far) the best odds at the time of writing.

I also like betting each of these legs as straights as well. I detail the best odds you can find on each leg in my analysis below. If you want to shop for the best odds on over/unders, check out the NFL player props tool.

NFL Parlay Pick #1: Quinshon Judkins Anytime TD

Let’s start with two bets from possibly the ugliest game of the season. The Titans face the Browns in Cleveland, with terrible weather in the forecast. That’s going to keep this game low scoring, and encourage an even heavier run based attack than Cleveland typically deploys.

That suits Quinshon Judkins just fine, who’s been a volume monster lately. Judkins is fresh off a 26 touch performance, and has smashed in the Browns three wins this season. He’s scored six times in Cleveland’s three victories, as opposed to just once in the seven losses he’s been apart of.

Tennessee Titans Run Defense Stats

As for the matchup, it’s about as favorable as it gets. The Browns are a sizeable home favorite versus a Tennessee team that’s allowed the most touchdowns to running backs this season (16), and that ranks 20th in EPA per rush and rushing yards surrendered.

NFL Parlay Pick #2: Titans Under 13.5 Alt Team Total

• Tennessee Titans Under 13.5 Alt. Team Total (+110)

If you think we’re done picking on the Titans you are sorely mistaken. The Browns defense ranks number one by DVOA at home, while Tennessee’s offense ranks last in EPA per play, and 31st in success rate. Not only am I betting on Cam Ward and co. to go under their team team total, I’m taking an alt. line to increase our payout.

Tennessee has scored fewer than 14 points in half of their games so far, including last week’s 3 point showing at home versus Jacksonville.

Cleveland meanwhile, averages just 14.8 points against at home, despite facing multiple top-10 Super Bowl odds contenders at the Dawg Pound.

NFL Parlay Pick #3: Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs Under 41.5

If you’re a trends bettor, you have to be all over the under in the Texans vs Chiefs game tonight. The total currently sits at 41.5, which may seem low until you consider the following.

Houston and KC are the two most profitable teams to the under this season. The two have combined to go 17-7 (71%) to the under, while the Texans have seen a league high 66.7% of their games fall short of the total since the start of 2024.

Not to be outdone, Chiefs contests are 17-6 to the under as home favorites since the start of 2023, failing to clear the total by 5 points per outing.

Then there’s the matchup. Houston is the best defense in the NFL, while KC is down three starting offensive lineman. On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs defense rises to the occasion in their own stadium, surrendering less than 21 points in every home game so far, despite facing championship contenders like the Eagles, Ravens, Colts and Lions at Arrowhead.

NFL Parlay Pick #4: Chiefs Moneyline

Not only has KC stymied all those high powered offenses at home, they also beat three of them, and were a goal line fumble away from likely beating Philly as well.

Patrick Mahomes will have his work cut out for him behind a decimated offensive line, but he’s absolutely owned Houston throughout his career. Mahomes has won five straight versus the Texans, and is undefeated in a pair of matchups versus CJ Stroud.

Speaking of Stroud, he boasts middling advanced metrics this season, and is heading outdoors, in sub 40 degree temperatures. He’s winless in his career when the temperature dips that low, and has failed to put up 20 points in two career starts at Arrowhead.

I’m expecting an ugly, low-scoring Chiefs win, which is why I’m staying away from the spread and just betting the moneyline.

NFL Parlay Pick #5: Rams Alt Spread -13.5

• LA Rams Alt Spread -13.5 (+140)

Last, but not least, I’m taking an alt. line on the Rams spread in Arizona, where I’m expecting them to rout the Cardinals. This is a major mismatch, as LA ranks number one in total DVOA, while Arizona is 20th.

When it comes to offensive versus defensive success rate the gap is even wider, as the Rams are first and the Cardinals are bottom-five.

Then there’s the injury situation. Arizona is absolutely decimated. They’re down their number one receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. and multiple skill position players, while half of their offensive line is questionable.

Defensively, multiple starters are also out, which signals a potential ceiling game for Matthew Stafford as he chases top spot in the NFL MVP odds.

We also can’t overlook the historical dominance by LA over the Cards. Under Sean McVay, the Rams are 14-3 against Arizona, with eight victories by 14 points or more.