Week 18 NFL Parlay – Get a +3288 Longshot for Sunday Afternoon

• I’ve put together a +3288 longshot parlay for Sunday’s Week 18 NFL slate
• The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six contests
• See my Week 18 NFL picks, parlay and top bets for Sunday, below

Sunday is a sad day. It’s the last full NFL regular season slate of the season. But don’t worry, I’ve got the recipe to turn our frowns upside down in the form of a +3288 longshot parlay.

Below you’ll find my favorite Week 18 NFL picks, including the best parlay and top bets to make for Sunday.

Best NFL Parlay for Week 18

My favorite longshot NFL parlay for Sunday comes with +3288 odds if you play it at bet365, which had (by far) the best odds at the time of writing.

I also like betting each of these legs as straights as well. I detail the best odds you can find on each leg in my analysis below. If you want to shop for the best odds on over/unders, check out the NFL player props tool.

NFL Parlay Pick #1: Cincinnati Bengals -7.5

• Cincinnati Bengals -7.5 (-110)

Let’s start with Cincinnati -7.5 over Cleveland. The Bengals are 4-1 straight up since Joe Burrow returned from injury, and have covered in five of their last six games overall.

Cleveland has outscored its opponents by 47 points over the last two games alone, yielding an average of just 17.5 points per game to Miami and Arizona. Both of those offenses rank significantly higher than the Browns, who are last in total EPA and success rate.

We were on the Browns last week as home ‘dogs, but there’s a big difference between betting them at home versus on the road. Cleveland is one of the most profitable spread teams in their own stadium over the last three seasons, but are a league worst 5-19-1 ATS on the road.

NFL Parlay Pick #2: Cincinnati Bengals Over 26.5 Points

• Cincinnati Bengals Over 26.5 Points (-122)

I’m going to continue picking on the Browns by taking the Bengals over 26.5 points. Cincy’s offense is as good as any Super Bowl odds contender with Burrow under center, and they’ve put up 32+ points in four of his last five starts.

Sticking with Cleveland’s road woes, they’ve allowed 16 of their last 20 opponents away from home to clear their team total. The Browns have allowed 27 or more points as visitors in five of seven road games this season, while Cincy has scored at least 31 points in five of Burrow’s seven outings this year.

NFL Parlay Pick #3: Drake Maye Over 1.5 TD Passes

• Drake Maye Over 1.5 TD Passes (-185)

NFL MVP odds favorite Drake Maye threw 5 TD last week in just over 2 quarters of play. This week, he’ll face a Dolphins defense that’s yielded at least 2 passing TD in 10 of 16 games. If we shrink that sample size to remove backups, Miami has allowed at least 2 TD passes to every starter they’ve faced.

Maye meanwhile, has 2+ passing TD in 11 of 16 starts, and accomplished the feat earlier this season versus Miami. New England needs to win this game to lock up the 2 seed, and Maye needs a big performance to cement his MVP case. I bet he goes over 1.5 TD passes without much trouble.

NFL Parlay Pick #4: Minnesota Vikings -13.5

• Minnesota Vikings -13.5 (+142)

Whenever you’re putting together any kind of NFL bet slip, make sure to use the best football betting apps to find the best price. I’m targeting an alt spread for the fourth leg of my parlay, grabbing Minnesota -13.5 versus a collection of Green Bay second and third stringers.

The Packers are limping into the postseason and will not play a single valuable starter in this game. Third string QB Clayton Tune is getting the start, and he boasts career 55.6% completion percentage, with a 0-to-3 TD-to-INT rate.

That spells trouble versus a Vikings defense that leads the NFL in EPA/play since Week 12. They’ve surrendered 13 or fewer points in three of their past four games, and are averaging 9.6 points against at home since the middle of November.

Offensively, they’ll get J.J. McCarthy back, and while he still has a long way to go, he did account for 6 total TD in the last two games he started and finished.

NFL Parlay Pick #5: Jaxson Dart Anytime TD

• Jaxson Dart Anytime TD (+165)

I’m rounding out my longshot parlay with an anytime TD for Jaxson Dart. He squashed any notion that he won’t continue running in recent weeks, carrying the ball 20 times for 118 yards and 2 scores in his last three starts.

He’ll face the putrid Cowboys defense on Sunday, and few teams have presented a more favorable matchup for opponent rushers than Dallas.

Dallas Cowboys Run Defense

The Cowboys defense has allowed the second most rushing TD in the league this season, and rank 30th in EPA/rush and 21st in rushing yards allowed.