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Winners & Losers in Super Bowl Odds After Sunday of Week 11

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Published:


Micah Parsons pumped reaction
Nov 20, 2022; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Dallas Cowboys linebacker Micah Parsons (11) celebrates during the first quarter against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Dallas Cowboys shorted to +1000 title odds after crushing the Vikings
  • New England dusts Jets yet again, into the mix of AFC East chase
  • Read below for analysis on teams who saw their Super Bowl stocks rise and fall in Week 11

Things looked a little more normal this week.

The Buffalo Bills didn’t do anything spectacular, but they still dominated the Cleveland Browns and looked every bit the title favorite they’ve been propped up to be.

The Jets did Jets things, while the Patriots pushed themselves back into the thick of the AFC East chase.

Philadelphia shook off the daze of suffering their first L of the season to win, while another team showed itself to be serious challengers for the Super Bowl.

Let’s run down some of the winners and losers in Week 11, measuring their status in the updated  2023 Super Bowl odds.

Super Bowl Odds Improved

There are statement wins, and then there’s what Dallas did on the road at Minnesota in a 40-3 romp. It’s the largest margin of victory in a road game in their storied franchise history.

Dallas Cowboys

  • Previous SB odds: +1150; Current: +1000

Dallas’ 2-headed running attack is mashing. Tony Pollard had a career-best 189 scrimmage yards and two TD catches, while Zeke Elliott cashed a pair of goal-line runs, as Dallas scored on their first seven possessions.

The real game-changer, though, is that Cowboys’ defense. They lived in the Vikings’ backfield all day, sacking Kirk Cousins seven times. All-world receiver Justin Jefferson, coming off a career-high 193 receiving yards against the Bills, was held to 33 yards on three catches.

If those elements are clicking, Dak Prescott doesn’t need to do it all, but he’s a very nice break-in-case-of-emergency option. At +1000 odds, these might be the longest odds you’ll get going forward.

New England Patriots

  • Previous SB odds: +6000; Current: +5000

Sure, it was only against the Jets, who they own, and they needed a last-second punt return to do it. But New England’s 10-3 win showed that they have a legit defense that allows them to hang with anyone.

The Pats held Zach Wilson to 77 yards passing while sacking him four times. They shut down the run game too, holding the Jets to 59 yards rushing on 23 carries. New York didn’t touch the New England red zone in the second half.

New England has now reeled off three straight, and improve to +5000 odds. Wager if you will, but I’d love to see Mac Jones and that offense look even average. They were just 4-for-14 on third down, and had just one field goal to show for three trips inside the Jets’ 30.

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Previous SB odds: +2900; Current: +2500

The Joe Burrow effect looks real. Even with a pair of interceptions, and still missing his top receiver, Burrow threw for 355 yards and four TD’s as the Bengals won in Pittsburgh 37-30.

Cincy’s skill players are showing it’s not just Ja’Marr Chase, as Samaje Perine three TD catches, the first running back ever to accomplish that feat in franchise history.

The Bengals’ competition stiffens in the next two weeks, with the Titans and Chiefs next on the docket. How they fare should go a long way in figuring out if they’re worth a wager.

Super Bowl Odds Worsened

Let’s take a look at a couple of NFC teams that look more pretender than contender.

Minnesota Vikings

  • Previous SB odds: +1200; Current: +1600

You’d think a win over the Bills would have erased any doubts the Vikings are true contenders, and then Week 11 happened.

It’s easy to pick at what Minnesota has done, but there are red flags everywhere. At 8-2, the Vikings have been outscored on the season 231-229. That’s because seven of their eight wins have been by a one-score margin, and their only losses — to the Eagles and now the Cowboys — have been by a combined 54.

Kirk Cousins threw for only 105 yards, but he had little to no time to throw as he was under siege. The run game was abandoned early as well, with Minny running 17 times for 77 yards.

Their remaining schedule has just three teams over .500 (Patriots, Jets, Giants), so you’re not going to get much more insight. This is a shaky bet any way you cut it.

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New York Giants

  • Previous SB odds: +6000; Current: +8000

When you’re trying to prove you’re a real one in the NFL playoff picture, losing to the Detroit Lions isn’t the way to do it.

Daniel Jones was picked off twice, and the Lions ran for 160 yards and four touchdowns in a 31-18 romp at MetLife.

New York falls back to +8000, and how they fare over the next four weeks will likely sort out if they make the playoffs or not, as they play the Cowboys, Commanders, Eagles and Commanders.

Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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