2019 Stanley Cup Finals Props: Odds on Exact Series Outcome, a Sweep by Either Team, Player Points & More
- You can wager on a variety of Stanley Cup Finals props including total games played and where the series will be decided
- The Blues have played at least six games in each of their series so far while the Bruins are coming off a sweep
- What’s the best bet for each prop?
The puck drops on the Stanley Cup Final Monday night and there’s plenty more to wager on than just the series outcome.
The @StLouisBlues and @NHLBruins are set for their third all-time playoff meeting, and second in the #StanleyCup Final. #NHLStats pic.twitter.com/tcaWPQIHFh
— NHL Public Relations (@PR_NHL) May 22, 2019
Books have released a variety of props ahead of Game 1 ranging from where the series will be decided to how many total games will be played.
Over/Under Total Games Played in Stanley Cup Final
| Total Games Played in Series | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | -1200 | +650 |
| 5.5 | -200 | +160 |
| 6.5 | +195 | -250 |
*All odds taken 05/22/19
Based on the odds for this prop, books expects the Stanley Cup Final to last six games. If you share a similar belief I would recommend betting exactly six games at +190 rather than betting over 5.5 or under 6.5 games at much shorter odds.
The @NHLBruins became the fourth franchise in NHL history to reach the #StanleyCup Final 20 or more times, joining the Canadiens (32), Red Wings (24) and Maple Leafs (21). https://t.co/88UlORipar #NHLStats pic.twitter.com/9MNHMBTpwu
— NHL Public Relations (@PR_NHL) May 17, 2019
On the other hand, if you believe one team is superior to the other as the statistics suggest Boston is, I would consider betting under 5.5 games at +160. The Bruins have won seven straight and are fresh off a sweep of the Hurricanes, in which they outscored Carolina 17-5. They have a goal differential of +24 in the playoffs, and rate out better than the Blues on special teams this postseason.
Pick: Under 5.5 (+160)
Where Will the Stanley Cup Final Be Decided?
| Where Will the Series be Decided? | Book 1 Odds | Book 2 Odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis | +120 | +140 |
| Boston | -160 | -150 |
While I believe this series will be one-sided, I don’t think the Blues will be swept. The last time the Stanley Cup Final lasted only four games was all the way back in 1998, and St. Louis has more than enough talent to steal one game from Boston.
The last time the Stanley Cup Final lasted only four games was all the way back in 1998.
The most likely scenario in my eyes is the Bruins in five, meaning Boston will have the opportunity to raise Lord Stanley’s mug on home ice.
Pick: Boston (-150)
Stanley Cup Final Game Spread Odds
| St. Louis Blues | Odds | Boston Bruins | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | +650 | +2.5 | -1200 |
| -1.5 | +250 | +1.5 | -325 |
| +1.5 | -155 | -1.5 | +125 |
| +2.5 | -325 | -2.5 | +250 |
The Bruins are a superior offensive team, but they’re also better in net which will surprise some given the success of Jordan Binnington this postseason. As good as he’s been, Tuukka Rask has performed even better, posting a higher save percentage and a lower goals against average than Binnington in the playoffs.
Most series-clinching shutouts, @NHLBruins history:
3 – @tuukkarask
2 – Gerry Cheevers
2 – Tim Thomas#NHLStats #StanleyCup pic.twitter.com/j95eRaJBDg— NHL Public Relations (@PR_NHL) May 17, 2019
He allowed just five goals in the Eastern Conference Final, and his steady presence between the pipes combined with Boston’s potent attack will be too much for St. Louis to overcome. You can play it safe and bet the Bruins at -1.5, or you can trust the data and shoot for a higher payday.
Pick: Bruins -2.5 (+250)
Stanley Cup Final Series Outcome Odds
| Series Outcome | Odds |
|---|---|
| St. Louis in 4 | +1600 |
| St. Louis in 5 | +900 |
| St. Louis in 6 | +500 |
| St. Louis in 7 | +600 |
| Boston in 4 | +1200 |
| Boston in 5 | +450 |
| Boston in 6 | +500 |
| Boston in 7 | +350 |
We’re already committed to the Bruins winning at home in a short series, meaning Boston in five is the only wager we can make for this prop. For what it’s worth, two of the previous five Stanley Cup Finals have been settled in five games, and three of the past five champions have lifted the Cup on home ice.
Pick: Boston in 5 (+450)
Stanley Cup Final Series Sweep Odds
| Will There Be a Series Sweep by Either Team? | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | +800 |
| No | -1250 |
There have been just seven sweeps in the past 40 Stanley Cup Finals, and none since the Red Wings blanked the Capitals in 1998. Yes, the Bruins swept the Blues in their lone Stanley Cup Final meeting in 1970, but that was a half century ago when the competitive balance in the league was all out of whack. Boston and St. Louis split their two regular season meetings and even if the Bruins are a superior team on paper, expecting them to beat any team four games in a row is asking a lot.
Pick: No (-1250)
Stanley Cup Final Player Props
1. Brad Marchand – Under 7 Points (-115): He’ll likely see a heavy dose of Alex Pietrangelo and Jay Bouwmeester which should limit his effectiveness. After racking up nine points in the first round against Toronto, he’s produced just nine points total in the last two series combined.
2. David Krejci – Over 5 Points (-115): He has points in eight of his last nine playoff games and is known for producing in the postseason. His 101 career playoff points are the most among Bruins players.
3. Jaden Schwartz – Over 4 Points (-115): After a disappointing regular season, Schwartz has 16 points, including two hat-tricks, in 19 playoff games. He has at least five points in each of the Blues three series this postseason, and he leads St. Louis with a 22.6% shooting percentage.
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
