Blues vs Ducks Prediction, Player Props to Bet & Injury Updates (April 3)
By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
- The Blues vs Ducks odds have Anaheim as a -140 home favorite, but St. Louis is 7-1 in the last eight meetings
- Anaheim has blown third-period leads in two of its three straight losses, and Cutter Gauthier is ruled out
- See my Blues vs Ducks prediction, player props to bet and injury updates for Friday night at Honda Center
Anaheim (41-29-5) leads the Pacific but is laying -140 at home coming off three straight losses. The Ducks blew third-period leads in two of those games, most recently a 4-3 collapse against San Jose where Macklin Celebrini scored twice in the final two minutes.
St. Louis (31-31-12) is getting +122 on the road despite winning seven of the last eight in this series. The Blues were on an 11-2-2 tear before dropping their last two, including a 2-1 overtime loss to the Kings on Wednesday.
Puck drop is at 10:00 pm ET from Honda Center. My Blues vs Ducks prediction and player props to bet are below.
Blues vs Ducks Prediction
- Best Bet: Blues Moneyline (+122 at Caesars)
The Blues have won seven of the last eight meetings against Anaheim, and they’ve been especially dangerous on the road against teams with winning records, going 4-0 in their last four in that spot. The Ducks are 1-3 in their last four home games, and losing Cutter Gauthier (38 goals, 65 points) has clearly hurt their attack.
Hofer gives St. Louis a real edge in net. His .909 save percentage and 2.59 GAA are significantly better than Dostal’s .892 and 3.03. Add in six shutouts for Hofer compared to zero for Dostal, and the goaltending matchup favors the underdog. Plus money on a team with that kind of recent H2H dominance and a goalie playing at this level is a strong play.
Blues vs Ducks Key Stats
Anaheim generates more offense (3.25 goals per game) but also gives up 3.23, which is among the worst in the Western Conference. St. Louis plays a tighter game at 2.95 goals against and carries the better team save percentage (.887 to .880). The Ducks outshoot opponents at 30.44 per game, but that volume hasn’t translated to defensive stability.
Blues vs Ducks Player Props to Bet
I like one from each side plus a blueline play for my Blues vs Ducks player props to bet.
- Leo Carlsson Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-112 at DraftKings)
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Carlsson has cleared 2.5 shots in 12 of his last 14 games as a favorite, averaging 3.29 per game. He’s also gone over in five of his last six at Honda Center.
With Gauthier out, Carlsson becomes even more of a focal point on the top line alongside Chris Kreider and Troy Terry.
- Philip Broberg Over 0.5 Points (+132 at Bet365)
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Broberg has recorded a point in six straight games, a 100% hit rate at plus money. The Blues defenseman patrols the top pair alongside Logan Mailloux and has been jumping into the rush consistently during this streak.
- Robert Thomas Over 0.5 Points (-190 at FanDuel)
Wrapping up my Blues vs Ducks player props to bet, Thomas is the safest play on the board. He’s recorded a point in 11 of his last 12 road games, averaging 1.25 per game. The juice is steep at -190, but a 91.7% hit rate on the road justifies it.
Thomas scored the tying goal against the Kings on Wednesday and has been the engine of St. Louis’ offense all season. The Blues are still alive in the NHL playoff bracket race, and Thomas will be key to any late push.
Blues vs Ducks Injury Updates
The biggest story is Gauthier’s absence. Anaheim’s leading scorer (38 goals, 65 points) missed Wednesday’s loss to San Jose with an upper-body injury and is ruled out for Friday, per coach Joel Quenneville.
The Ducks are also without defensemen Pavel Mintyukov (lower body, day-to-day) and Radko Gudas (lower body, day-to-day), plus forwards Jansen Harkins (hand surgery, four weeks) and Ross Johnston (lower body).
St. Louis is nearly fully healthy. Tyler Tucker (lower body) is the only notable absence, giving Montgomery the luxury of rolling out his preferred lineup on the road.
Blues vs Ducks Odds
The interactive widget above will update automatically as the Blues vs Ducks odds move throughout the night.
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Anaheim’s -140 moneyline at FanDuel carries an implied probability of about 58%. The best price on St. Louis is +122 at Caesars.
The total is where it gets interesting: bet365 has the over 6 at -115, while Fanatics is offering the under 6.5 at -125. If you like the over, bet365’s line at 6 gives you an extra half-goal of cushion compared to the 6.5 you’ll find elsewhere.
The puck line is ANA -1.5 at +180 (DraftKings) and STL +1.5 at -210 (Fanatics). Given St. Louis’ 7-1 record in the last eight meetings, the moneyline is the better play over laying the puck line.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.