Capitals vs Flyers Prediction, Pick & Odds – Wednesday Night Hockey

• The Capitals are a -132 road moneyline favorite over the Flyers on Wednesday, March 11th
• Washington has won seven of their last eight games in the series
• See my Capitals vs Flyers predictions below, plus prop pick and lineups

The puck drops Wednesday in a battle between two squads that would need an incredible run just to make the postseason, with the Caps and Philly well off the pace.

Washington (32-26-7, 34-31 ATS, 71 pts) squares off against Philadelphia (29-23-11, 38-25 ATS, 69 pts), in a duel between Metro Division foes. The Capitals are seven points out of a playoff spot, while their counterparts are nine behind.

Action is set to get underway at 7:30 pm ET / 4:30 pm PT from Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, with TNT/HBO Max/truTV providing the coverage in the United States.

Capitals vs Flyers Prediction

• Under 5.5 Goals (+112 at FanDuel)

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My Capitals vs Flyers prediction has this being a low-scoring affair, and I’m taking a slight risk by selecting under 5.5 markers. In four of the Caps’ last six skirmishes, five or fewer goals have been accumulated. In six of Philly’s last eight contests, under 5.5 goals have been combined as well. Going with the under reveals a wager that’s paying out plus money, which is intriguing.

Per the NHL odds, it’s extremely close between the Capitals vs Flyers with our SBD formula predicting a 3.46-3.18 WSH tally, which flies in the face of my prediction unfortunately. It’s a small sample size, but in two of the last three battles between these two foes, four or five combined goals have been tallied.

The goaltending matchup will feature Logan Thompson (WSH) against Samuel Ersson (PHI). The former has a 2.23 GAA and .914 save % in five outings since the Olympic break, with the Caps failing to score more than three goals in the first five games back, until their latest vs Calgary (7).

The latter surrendered just two markers against the Rangers in his only start since the break, stopping 22 shots for a .917 save %.

WSH vs PHI Season Stats/Ranks

It should come as no surprise that two clubs well out of the playoff chase don’t possess outstanding statistics. The Capitals are a squad that’s better than Philly in goals for and against, and are stronger on special teams. However, both units are really poor on the power play, which obviously is hindering them.

The Caps’ netminding has been quite solid, led by Canadian Olympian Logan Thompson. The Flyers’ annual struggles to keep the puck out of their net have persisted, though they’re just below league average in that regard.

Capitals vs Flyers Props Pick

• Jakob Chychrun Anytime Goal Scorer (+310 at FanDuel)

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For a prop bet, I can’t ignore the blueliner that leads all NHL defensemen in goals, and that’s the Capitals’ Jakob Chychrun. He’s sniped 22 times on the campaign, which is a career-high. For anytime goal scorer wagers, it’s more fun adding some juice to their odds to sweat over.

There are nine players with shorter odds than him to light the lamp, so you’re getting Chychrun at tremendous value. If you want to parlay under 5.5 combined goals, yet Chychrun to find the back of the net, that total pays out a cool +850 at FanDuel.

Capitals vs Flyers Odds

The Capitals are -132 moneyline favorites and are laying 1.5 goals on the puck line at +176. The Flyers come back as a +110 underdog, while the total currently sits at 5.5 goals at FanDuel.

The implied win probability of WSH at -132 is 56.9%. You’d need to wager $132 on the favorites to win $100, while a $100 bet on the underdogs clears $110.

Updated odds via FanDuel Sportsbook as of 1:30 p.m. ET on March 11th

Capitals vs Flyers Projected Lineups

Washington Projected Lineup

Forwards

Alex Ovechkin – Justin Sourdif – Anthony Beauvillier

Connor McMichael – Pierre-Luc Dubois – Ryan Leonard

Aliaksei Protas – Dylan Strome – Tom Wilson

Brandon Duhaime – Hendrix Lapierre – Ethen Frank

Defense

Rasmus Sandin – Matt Roy

Jakob Chychrun – Trevor van Riemsdyk

Martin Fehervary – Declan Chisholm

Goaltenders

Logan Thompson

Charlie Lindgren

Injuries: None

Philadelphia Projected Lineup

Forwards

Alex Bump – Christian Dvorak – Travis Konecny

Carl Grundstrom – Trevor Zegras – Owen Tippett

Denver Barkey – Noah Cates – Matvei Michkov

Nikita Grebenkin – Sean Couturier – Garnet Hathaway

Defense

Travis Sanheim – Rasmus Ristolainen

Cam York – Jamie Drysdale

Nick Seeler – Noah Juulsen

Goaltenders

Samuel Ersson

Dan Vladar

Injuries: Tyson Foerster (arm), Rodrigo Abols (lower-body)