Capitals vs Golden Knights Prediction, Best Bets, Odds & Starting Goalies (Saturday, March 28)

• Vegas has lost five straight as a betting favorite and is 1-5 in its last six games overall
• Logan Thompson is the confirmed starter for Washington, bringing a .914 save percentage into T-Mobile Arena
• Read my Capitals vs Golden Knights prediction, best bets, odds and starting goalies for Saturday night

Vegas (32-26-15) can’t buy a win right now. The Knights have dropped five straight as favorites and are 1-5 in their last six games, opening the door for a Washington (36-28-9) team that has won three consecutive head-to-head meetings.

Puck drop is at 10:30 pm ET from T-Mobile Arena. My Capitals vs Golden Knights prediction, best bets and odds are below.

Jump to: Prediction | Best Bets | Odds | Starting Goalies

Capitals vs Golden Knights Prediction

• Capitals Moneyline (+135 at Caesars)

My Capitals vs Golden Knights prediction is Washington on the moneyline. The Caps have won the last three meetings between these teams, and they’re 3-1 as an underdog over their last four games.

Vegas is in freefall. The Golden Knights are 1-5 in their last six, 1-3 at home over their last four, and 0-5 as a favorite in their last five. Laying -150 on a team in that kind of slump doesn’t make sense, especially against a Washington club that’s been competitive in every tough road spot this month.

Capitals vs Golden Knights Key Stats

The goaltending gap is the biggest factor here. Washington’s .899 team save percentage ranks fifth in the NHL. Vegas sits 31st at .875. The Caps also rank sixth in goals against per game at 2.863, while the Knights are middle of the pack at 3.055.

Vegas does have the edge on special teams with a top-five power play at 24.52% and the third-best penalty kill. Washington’s power play is a weakness at 16.67% (28th). But if this game stays at even strength, the Capitals’ defensive structure and goaltending advantage should carry them. I’ll take plus money on the road team.

Capitals vs Golden Knights Best Bets

I’m going with one prop from each side for my Capitals vs Golden Knights best bets.

• Aliaksei Protas Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-144 at DraftKings)

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Protas has cleared 1.5 shots on goal in 11 of his last 12 road games as an underdog — a 92% hit rate with an average of 2.67 shots per game. He’s also gone over in five of his last six games overall.

The 24-year-old skates on Washington’s top line alongside Dylan Strome and Alex Ovechkin, so he’s getting premium minutes and plenty of offensive zone touches. The -144 price is justified by that kind of consistency.

• Ivan Barbashev Over 0.5 Points (-105 at Bet365)

Rounding out my Capitals vs Golden Knights best bets, I like Barbashev to record a point at near even money. He’s found the scoresheet in eight of his last nine games following a Knights loss, averaging a point per game in those spots.

Barbashev centers the top line with Jack Eichel and Mark Stone, which is about as good a setup as you’ll find in the NHL. Vegas has lost two straight, so this is exactly the bounce-back scenario where Barbashev tends to produce.

Capitals vs Golden Knights Odds

Odds as of Mar. 28. Check out SBD’s bet365 bonus code to bet on the NHL odds tonight.

Washington’s +135 moneyline carries an implied probability of about 43%, while Vegas at -150 translates to roughly a 60% implied chance. The Golden Knights are 24-13 as favorites this season, but that record doesn’t account for the current skid.

The Capitals are 22-16 as favorites and 8-9 as underdogs on the year. They’ve won four of the last five head-to-head meetings, though it’s worth noting the home team has won five of the last six in this series. The total is set at 6, with the over at -110 at Bet365.

Capitals vs Golden Knights Starting Goalies

Logan Thompson vs Adin Hill Stats

Logan Thompson is confirmed to start for Washington, and this is a homecoming of sorts — the 28-year-old spent his first two NHL seasons with Vegas before being traded to the Capitals. He’s been Washington’s workhorse with 51 appearances, posting a .914 save percentage and 2.40 GAA.

Thompson’s recent form has been strong. He stopped 36 of 40 shots in Wednesday’s 7-4 win over Utah, and posted back-to-back gems at New Jersey (.968) and Ottawa (.971) earlier this month.

Adin Hill is the expected starter for Vegas, though he hasn’t been officially confirmed. The 29-year-old has struggled badly this season with a .868 save percentage and 3.07 GAA across 24 games. He’s allowed three or more goals in seven of his last 10 starts.

That goaltending gap — .914 vs .868 — is the foundation of my Capitals vs Golden Knights prediction. Washington’s defensive structure paired with Thompson’s play gives them a real shot to steal this one on the road. Check the NHL playoff bracket to see where both teams sit in the wild card race.