Ducks vs Oilers Predictions, Odds & Best Bets (Saturday, March 28)
By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
- I’ve made my Ducks vs Oilers predictions for Saturday’s Pacific Division showdown at Rogers Place
- Edmonton is without Leon Draisaitl and four other centers, while Anaheim rides a four-game winning streak into town
- See my Ducks vs Oilers predictions and best bets below, plus the latest odds for Saturday afternoon
The first-place Anaheim Ducks (41-27-4) have won four straight and six consecutive against Pacific Division opponents heading into Saturday’s trip to Edmonton. The Oilers (36-28-9) have won two in a row themselves, but they’re doing it without Leon Draisaitl, who went on long-term injured reserve in mid-March.
Edmonton’s center depth has been wrecked by injuries. Draisaitl, Trent Frederic, Colton Dach and Curtis Lazar are all out, putting the offensive load almost entirely on Connor McDavid. The latest NHL odds still have the Oilers favored at home, but there’s value on the other side of this one.
Puck drop is at 3:30 pm ET from Rogers Place. My Ducks vs Oilers predictions and best bets are below, along with the latest odds.
Predictions | Odds | Best Bets
Ducks vs Oilers Predictions
- Over 6.5 Goals (-140 at Bet365)
The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these teams in Edmonton, and 16-5 in the last 21 head-to-head games overall. That alone is a strong foundation for my Ducks vs Oilers prediction, but the underlying numbers back it up too.
Neither team can keep the puck out right now. Edmonton’s .875 team save percentage ranks 29th in the NHL, while Anaheim’s .881 mark is 25th. Both clubs allow over three goals per game — the Ducks at 3.431 (29th) and the Oilers at 3.370 (28th).
Ducks vs Oilers Key Stats
Edmonton’s power play is the best in the league at 30.65%, and Anaheim’s penalty kill is a below-average 78.11%. But the Ducks can score too — they rank 11th in goals per game and are third in the NHL in shots per game at 30.38. Both penalty kills rank in the bottom eight, so any special teams opportunities should add fuel to this total.
The over has cashed in nine of Edmonton’s last 13 games against Pacific opponents, and in six of their last seven games on one day of rest. Both goaltenders have save percentages below .900 this season, which is a recipe for goals in a building where the over has dominated this head-to-head.
Ducks vs Oilers Odds
Odds as of Mar. 28. New bettors can grab the bet365 bonus code and get a bonus to bet on the NHL this weekend.
Anaheim’s +123 moneyline translates to an implied probability of about 44.8%, while Edmonton’s line gives the Oilers roughly a 59% implied chance. The Oilers are 29-20 as favorites this season, though they’ve been just 3-5 in their last eight home games.
The Ducks are 20-16 as underdogs on the year and 18-17-2 on the road. Anaheim has won three of the last four head-to-head meetings overall, including a 6-5 win at home on Feb. 25.
Lukas Dostal vs Connor Ingram Stats
Lukas Dostal has been a workhorse for Anaheim with 49 appearances and 29 wins. He’s allowed three or more goals in six of his last 10 starts, but the Ducks’ offense has bailed him out more often than not.
Ingram gets the nod for Edmonton after a 4-3 overtime win over Vegas on Thursday. His .891 save percentage isn’t far off from Dostal’s, and he’s allowed four or more goals in five of his last 10 starts. Neither goalie is stopping much right now, which is another reason the Ducks vs Oilers odds on the over look appealing.
Ducks vs Oilers Best Bets
- Anaheim Ducks Moneyline (+125 at Bet365)
Anaheim is 4-0 in their last four road games and 6-0 in their last six against Pacific Division opponents. They’ve also won three of the last four meetings against Edmonton and are 6-2 in their last eight road games following a win. Those are hard trends to ignore at plus money.
Edmonton’s home record over their last eight games tells the other side of the story — the Oilers are just 3-5 in that stretch. Without Draisaitl anchoring the second line, McDavid is carrying a heavier load, and the Oilers’ supporting cast has thinned out considerably with Frederic, Dach and Lazar also sidelined.
The Ducks are the deeper team right now. Cutter Gauthier leads Anaheim with 36 goals and 63 points despite skating on the third line, which gives the Ducks three scoring lines that can wear down Edmonton’s shorthanded defensive group.
My best Ducks vs Oilers bet is Anaheim on the moneyline — the first-place team is the underdog here, and that’s where the value sits. Check the NHL playoff bracket to see where both of these Pacific Division contenders sit in the current standings.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.