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Flames vs Oilers Game 3 Odds, Lines, and Spread

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

May 21, 2022 · 6:28 PM PDT

Edmonton Oilers goaltender Mike Smith and center Connor McDavid celebrating a win.
May 20, 2022; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Edmonton Oilers goaltender Mike Smith (41) celebrate win with center Connor McDavid (97) against the Calgary Flames in game two of the second round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Scotiabank Saddledome. Mandatory Credit: Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Calgary Flames and Edmonton Oilers play Game 3 on Sunday, May 22nd
  • Calgary is road favorites in the Game 3 Calgary vs Edmonton odds
  • Read below for Flames vs Oilers Game 3 odds, lines, and spread

The Battle of Alberta is tied 1-1 with the series shifting to Oil Country. The Calgary Flames and Edmonton Oilers play Game 3 of their Round 2 playoff series on Sunday, May 22nd. Puck drop is 8:00 PM EST at Rogers Place.

Calgary is listed as listed as -118 road favorites in the Game 3 Flames vs Oilers odds. The total is set at 7 for a matchup that will be broadcast on ESPN and CBC.

Let’s take a look at the Game 3 Flames vs Oilers odds and find the NHL best bet.

Flames vs Oilers Odds

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Calgary Flames -1.5 (+200) O 7 (+106) -118
Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (-250) U 7 (-129) +100

Odds as of May 20th at Caesars Sportsbook.

 

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The spread sees the Flames listed on the puck line at +200 odds to win by more than one goal, while the Oilers are available at -250 to keep the game within two goals.

With the series even, Calgary is listed as -162 favorites in the Oilers vs Flames series odds.

Flames vs Oilers Betting Analysis

The Battle of Alberta playoff series is tied 1-1 with the action shifting to Edmonton. The Oilers evened the series with a 5-3 victory over the Flames in Game 2 on Friday. Leon Draisaitl and Duncan Keith each had three points for the visitors.

After getting completely outplayed in the opening game of the series, the Oilers turned in a much better effort in the second game. Shots on goal were 40-40 apiece in Game 2, but Calgary did have a 57.5 xGF% at five-on-five compared to Edmonton’s 42.5 XGF%.

The advanced metrics indicate that Calgary is controlling the play in this series. The problem for Calgary is they’re getting subpar goaltending and haven’t been able to shutdown Connor McDavid. The Oilers’ phenom already has seven points for the orange and blue in the series.

Special teams are also going to play a major role in the outcome of this series. This nasty rivalry is leading to a large number of penalties on both sides. Darryl Sutter said post-game Friday the Flames need to stay out of the box as they’ve given the Oilers 10 power plays already.

Jacob Markstrom Struggles vs Oilers

A developing situation that is impacting the Battle of Alberta betting line is the struggles of Flames’ goalie Jacob Markstrom vs the Oilers. In six starts against the Oilers this season, Markstrom has given up at least five goals in all but one game.

Markstrom’s struggles vs the Oilers can be somewhat puzzling considering his otherwise impressive 2021-22 season. He owns an impressive .927 save percentage against all other NHL teams this year, but only a .868 save percentage vs the Oilers.

Markstrom’s struggles vs the Oilers have led to questions about whether the Flames may turn to backup goalie Dan Vladar. The ex-Bruins goalie posted a .906 save percentage during the regular season and is unlikely to get the start unless the Flames feel Markstrom simply needs a rest.

Calgary vs Edmonton Betting Trends

As the series changes venues, there are some Battle of Alberta betting trends to note for Game 3. Edmonton tends to feed off big offensive performances, as they are 9-2 in their last 11 games after scoring five or more goals in their previous game.

While the Oilers are good at garnering momentum from a big win, the Flames are a great bounce-back team. Calgary is 7-2 in their last nine games after allowing five goals or more in their previous game. Sutter is the type of coach to have his team respond after tough losses.

When it comes to head-to-head trends for Flames vs Oilers in the NHL odds, home-ice advantage is significant. The home has won six of the past seven Battle of Alberta’s, and the Oilers are 6-1 in the past seven meetings in Alberta.

Edmonton and Calgary are also lighting up the scoresheet, as Saturday marked the fifth time in six games in which the “over” has cashed between Oilers and Flames. The series features the NHL’s three top postseason scorers in McDavid, Draisaitl and Johnny Gaudreau.

Flames vs Oilers Betting Pick

Calgary for Edmonton has the potential makings of a seven-game series. The metrics suggest the Flames are clearly the superior team, but McDavid is putting the Oilers on his back and Calgary isn’t getting the goaltending they’ve gotten previously.

Even though the Flames are a solid bounce-back team, Edmonton’s record at Rogers Place makes them a value home underdog in Game 3. The Oilers have won 20 of their past 27 home games, while the Flames have only managed one victory in their past five road contests.

Until Markstrom turns in a good performance vs Edmonton and proves the Oilers aren’t in his head, it’s hard to back the Flames as road favorites. McDavid is on another level right now, and the Oilers’ home-ice advantage makes them solid value for Game 3.

Pick: Oilers ML (+100)

 

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