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Flames vs Oilers Game 4 Odds and Picks

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

May 23, 2022 · 1:01 PM PDT

Edmonton Oilers forward Connor McDavid carrying the puck
May 22, 2022; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; Edmonton Oilers forward Connor McDavid (97) carries the puck around Calgary Flames defensemen Erik Gudbranson (44) during the third period in game three of the second round of the 2022 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Rogers Place. Mandatory Credit: Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Calgary Flames and Edmonton Oilers play Game 4 on Tuesday, May 24th
  • Edmonton is slight home favorites in the Game 4 Flames vs Oilers odds
  • Read below for Flames vs Oilers Game 4 odds and picks

The Calgary Flames will look to even up their Round 2 NHL playoff series with the Edmonton Oilers in Game 4 on Tuesday, May 24th. Puck drop is 8:30 PM EST at Rogers Place.

Edmonton is listed as narrow home favorites in the Game 4 Flames vs Oilers odds. The total is set at 6.5 for a matchup that will be broadcast nationally by ESPN and CBC.

Let’s analyze the Game 4 Flames vs Oilers odds and offer you our NHL best bet.

Flames vs Oilers Odds

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Calgary Flames -1.5 (-265) O 6.5 (-113) -107
Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (+210) U 6.5 (-113) -112

Odds as of May 20th at Caesars Sportsbook.

 

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The Oilers are listed on the puck line at +210 odds, while the Flames are available at -265 to keep the game within two goals.

With Edmonton leading the series 2-1, they’re now -177 favorites in the Oilers vs Flames series odds.

McDavid Bolstering Oilers Betting Value

Edmonton has taken a 2-1 series lead on Calgary primarily due to the play of captain Connor McDavid. The 24-year-old phenom has recorded six straight multi-point games and leads the NHL in postseason scoring with 23 points in just 10 games.

McDavid has three assists Sunday, while Evander Kane recorded a natural hat trick to lead the Oilers to a 4-1 victory in Game 3. The explosive offensive outburst chased Calgary goalie Jacob Markstrom, who gave up four goals on 34 shots.

The advanced metrics show that Calgary is outplaying Edmonton in the series, but the Flames don’t have an answer for McDavid. The Oilers’ captain has taken his game to a new level and is the main reason the Oilers are favored in the NHL odds for the first time this series.

Do Flames Offer Game 4 Underdog Value?

Calgary is available as underdogs in the Game 4 Flames vs Oilers odds. Darryl Sutter’s team certainly hasn’t been playing poorly in the Battle of Alberta thus far, as they own a 58.3 xGF% at five-on-five compared to Edmonton’s 41.7 xGF%.

Calgary’s betting value is weakened in the NHL odds by the struggles of goalie Jacob Markstrom vs the Oilers. In seven games against Edmonton this season, Markstrom has surrendered four or more goals six different times.

A positive the Flames can takeaway from Sunday’s game is they didn’t let the Oilers’ power play convert on any of its six opportunities. Calgary’s penalty kill is operating at 92% efficiency in the playoffs and will be a key to them rallying in the series.

Calgary vs Edmonton Betting Trends

There are some betting trends to note before placing a Game 4 wager on the Battle of Alberta. The Oilers continue to be an excellent home team, as they’ve posted a 21-7 record in their last 28 games played at Rogers Place.

The Flames thrive in the electric atmosphere at Scotiabank Saddledome, but they’re having some road struggles. Calgary is only 1-5 in their last six road games and have lost four straight contests against the Oilers at Rogers Place.

When it comes to head-to-head trends for Flames vs Oilers, the favored team and the “under” are leading to profit. The favorite has won five of the last seven Battle of Alberta’s and the under has cashed in five of the past seven meetings played in Edmonton.

Flames vs Oilers Betting Pick

The advanced stats for Flames vs Oilers suggests there might be some solid underdog value for Calgary in Game 4. It all comes down to whether Markstrom can find his game from the regular season and get on track vs the Oilers.

Instead of betting a side for Calgary vs Edmonton, the game total is the best way to wager on Game 4. Oilers goalie Mike Smith owns a .933 save percentage in the playoffs, while Markstrom (.922 SV% in reg. season) faces his biggest test of the year.

Game 4 of Flames vs Oilers should be the tightest game of the series as Calgary battles to avoid going down 3-1. Look for Edmonton’s Smith to continue his strong play, while Darry Sutter’s Flames tighten up defensively to provide the lowest-scoring game of the series.

Pick: Under 6.5 (-113)

 

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