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Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers Game 4 Prediction, Odds & Player Props (Saturday, June 15)

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Updated Jun 15, 2024 · 3:12 PM PDT

Jun 13, 2024; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; Edmonton Oilers defenseman Cody Ceci (5) battles Florida Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky (72) for the puck in the first period in game three of the 2024 Stanley Cup Final at Rogers Place. Mandatory Credit: Walter Tychnowicz-USA TODAY Sports
  • We’ve made our Panthers vs Oilers Game 4 prediction for Game 4 on Saturday
  • The Stanley Cup Final odds favor the Oilers to avoid the sweep and extend the series
  • Read below for Panthers vs Oilers Game 4 predictions, odds and player props

The Florida Panthers are one win away from becoming the first team to sweep the Stanley Cup Final since the 1998 Detroit Red Wings. Game 4 of Oilers vs Panthers goes Saturday night at Rogers Place, with puck drop set for 8:00 PM on ABC.

The oddsmakers favor the Oilers to avoid elimination and force another game in this series. The Panthers are available as road underdogs as they aim to become the first team to complete a Cup Final sweep in nearly three decades.

We’ve made our Panthers vs Oilers prediction for Game 4, examining the betting odds and player props.

Panthers vs Oilers Game 4 Prediction

The Panthers have taken a 3-0 series lead after winning Game 3 in Edmonton by a 4-3 score. Florida jumped out to a 4-1 lead but had to weather a late storm from the home team to secure the victory. They are now only one win away from their first Stanley Cup.

There are some key NHL betting trends to note considering what’s at stake on Saturday. Teams that take a 3-0 lead in the Stanley Cup Final have won the series 27 out of 28 times historically. Twenty of those 27 teams completed the sweep in Game 4.

The Oilers showed signs of life at the end of Game 3, but their five top scorers from the regular season haven’t scored a goal in the Final. Part of those struggles can be attributed to the play of Sergei Bobrovsky, who has been stellar with a .953 save percentage in the series. The Panthers’ defense has limited the Oilers to just 4 goals.

Special teams have played a huge role in this series, with the usually dominant Oilers’ power play now 0-10 in the series. But it’s not like Edmonton needs to rely on their power play to generate quality offense. Per Natural Stat Trick, Edmonton has generated 55% of the expected goals at even strength in this series.

We expect Edmonton to come out flying on Saturday with their backs against the wall. We are backing the Oil to be the first team to have five shots on goal (-115 at DraftKings). Edmonton has an 86-70 shot edge in the series, plus have outshot opponents 36-19 in the first period in their last three home games.

  • Oilers First to 5 Shots on Goal (-115 at DraftKings)

Panthers vs Oilers Game 4 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
FLA Panthers +1.5 (-275) -105 Over 5.5 (Even)
EDM Oilers -1.5 (+200) -118 Under 5.5 (-115)

The Panthers vs Oilers odds for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final show Edmonton as -118 favorites to win the game and avoid elimination. This may be surprising to some considering their daunting deficit in the series.

The Oilers being slight moneyline favorites at -118 suggests oddsmakers give them around a 54% implied probability of winning Game 4 at home. The Panthers at -105 have about a 49% chance.

The Oilers are favored due to their raw talent, although it evidently hasn’t made its mark in the series. Edmonton will also be extremely desperate to keep their season alive and avoid the embarrassment of a sweep. The Oilers are expected to cash in on the power play sooner or later given all their weapons.

To calculate potential winnings, a $100 bet on the Oilers (-118) would net a profit of $84.75 if they win. On the flip side, a $100 bet on the underdog Panthers (-105) would earn $95.24 if they pull off the upset.

We don’t have a strong play on either side for this game, as we can envision the Panthers pulling off the sweep or the Oilers forcing a Game 5. Edmonton’s stats in the Final show they likely deserve a better fate, but at the same time, the Cats have superior goaltending and are finding ways to win.

 

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Panthers vs Oilers Player Props

The Oilers vs Panthers player props show Edmonton’s Zach Hyman with the best odds to score at +110, which is an implied win probability of 47.6%. Sam Reinhart has the best odds of any Florida Panther to light the lamp at +140 (41% implied chance).

Player Anytime Goalscorer Shots on Goal (O/U) Points (O/U) Saves (O/U)
Zach Hyman +110 3.5 (+100o/-130u) 0.5 (-180o/+140u) N/A
Connor McDavid +125 3.5 (-120o/-110u) 1.5 (-130o/+100u) N/A
Leon Draisaitl +135 2.5 (-135o/+105u) 1.5 (+165o/-215u) N/A
Sam Reinhart +140 2.5 (-140o/+110u) 0.5 (-160o/+124u) N/A
Carter Verhaeghe +175 2.5 (-150o/+120u) 0.5 (-145o/+114u) N/A
Matthew Tkachuk +205 2.5 (-160o/+124u) 0.5 (-150o/+120u) N/A
Aleksander Barkov +230 2.5 (+110o/-140u) 0.5 (-175o/+135u) N/A
Sam Bennett +280 2.5 (+114o/-145u) 0.5 (+110o/-140u) N/A
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins +285 1.5 (-160o/+124u) 0.5 (-150o/+120u) N/A
Vladimir Tarasenko +330 1.5 (-145o/+114u) 0.5 (+165o/-215u) N/A
Sergei Bobrovsky N/A N/A N/A 25.5 (-130o/+100u)
Stuart Skinner N/A N/A N/A 25.5 (-120o/-115u)

In terms of Panthers vs Oilers player prop bets, we’re looking to target Sam Bennett over 0.5 points (+110). He’s riding a six-game point streak and has also gotten on the scoresheet in seven straight games against the Oilers.

Bennett also tends to elevate his play in closeout games, including potting the opening goal in the series-clinching win over the Rangers last round. With his second-line role and power-play time, Bennett is great value to record at least one point tonight.

EDM-FLA Props:

  • Sam Bennett Over 0.5 Points (+100)

 

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