Flyers vs Ducks Prediction, Props, Odds & Projected Lineups (Wednesday. Mar. 18)
By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
- Anaheim is 22-10-1 at home this season and sits atop the Pacific Division
- Trevor Zegras and Jamie Drysdale return to Honda Center for the first time since being traded to Philadelphia
- Keep reading for my Flyers vs Ducks prediction and props, plus odds and projected lineups for Wednesday
The Philadelphia Flyers (31-23-12) close out a West Coast road trip Wednesday night in Anaheim against the Pacific Division-leading Ducks (37-27-3). This one has a storyline built in — Trevor Zegras and Jamie Drysdale return to Honda Center for the first time since being dealt to Philadelphia.
Anaheim is 22-10-1 at home and has won 10 of 12 on home ice lately. Philadelphia is coming off a shootout loss to Columbus on Saturday but has won four straight road games before that.
Puck drop is at 10 pm ET. My Flyers vs Ducks prediction, props, odds and projected lineups are below.
Flyers vs Ducks Prediction
- Under 6.5 Goals (-115 at FanDuel)
- Ducks ML (-145 at Bet365)
The over has cashed in just two of Philadelphia’s last 13 games overall and one of their last five on the road. Anaheim mirrors that at home — the over has hit in only one of their last five at Honda Center. Both teams take plenty of penalties (nearly 10 PIM per game each), but neither power play can capitalize. Philadelphia ranks dead last at 15.2% and Anaheim is 26th at 17.1%.
I’m also leaning Ducks ML as a side play. Anaheim is 22-10-1 at home and 10-2 in their last 12 on home ice. My Flyers vs Ducks prediction has both picks working together — a low-scoring Anaheim win in the 3-1 or 3-2 range.
Flyers vs Ducks Key Stats
Neither team defends well — Anaheim allows 3.22 goals per game and Philadelphia gives up 3.05. Both save percentages hover around .880, and neither has recorded a shutout this season. But the under trend is driven by pace, not goaltending. Philadelphia grinds teams down with 22.65 hits per game (7th) and blocks shots at the fourth-highest rate in the league.
Anaheim generates 30.24 shots per game (3rd in the NHL) while Philadelphia manages just 25.15 (30th). That volume gap favors the Ducks on the moneyline, but the Flyers’ defensive structure should keep the total in check.
Flyers vs Ducks Props
I’ve got two Flyers vs Ducks props tonight — one from each side of the ice.
- Leo Carlsson Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+131 at DraftKings)
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Carlsson has cleared 2.5 shots on goal in seven of his last eight games as a favorite, averaging 3.38 per contest in those spots. The 21-year-old Swede centers Anaheim’s top line between Kreider and Terry and gets heavy offensive zone deployment.
At +131, this is plus-money on a young center with an 88% hit rate in this exact situation. Philadelphia’s .881 save percentage won’t bail them out if Carlsson gets loose.
- Travis Konecny Over 0.5 Points (-164 at Bet365)
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Rounding out my Flyers vs Ducks props, I’m going to the visitors’ side with Konecny.
Konecny has recorded at least one point in nine of his last 10 games following a loss, averaging 1.6 points per game in those spots. Philadelphia lost to Columbus in a shootout Saturday, putting this trend squarely in play.
The juice at -164 is steep, but a 90% hit rate in bounce-back games makes Konecny one of the safer props on tonight’s board.
Flyers vs Ducks Odds
Odds as of March 18 via consensus sportsbooks. Check out the BetMGM promo code and bet on tonight’s NHL odds.
The Flyers vs Ducks odds have Anaheim at -155 on the moneyline, which translates to roughly a 61% implied probability. Philadelphia is +130 as the road underdog. The total is set at 6.5 goals.
Flyers vs Ducks Projected Lineups
Anaheim Ducks Projected Lines
Forwards:
Chris Kreider – Leo Carlsson – Troy Terry
Alex Killorn – Mikael Granlund – Beckett Sennecke
Jeffrey Viel – Ryan Poehling – Cutter Gauthier
Frank Vatrano – Tim Washe – Jansen Harkins
Defense:
Jackson LaCombe – Jacob Trouba
Olen Zellweger – John Carlson
Pavel Mintyukov – Ian Moore
Goalie: Lukas Dostal (expected)
Injuries: Ross Johnston (lower body, out 3-4 weeks), Petr Mrazek (hip surgery, out for season)
Philadelphia Flyers Projected Lines
Forwards:
Alex Bump – Christian Dvorak – Travis Konecny
Nikita Grebenkin – Trevor Zegras – Owen Tippett
Denver Barkey – Noah Cates – Matvei Michkov
Carl Grundstrom – Sean Couturier – Luke Glendening
Defense:
Travis Sanheim – Rasmus Ristolainen
Cam York – Jamie Drysdale
Nick Seeler – Emil Andrae
Goalie: Dan Vladar (expected)
Injuries: Tyson Foerster (arm surgery, out), Rodrigo Abols (ankle, out)
The Zegras-Drysdale return is the narrative, but the lineup matchup to watch is Anaheim’s depth. Cutter Gauthier, a 34-goal scorer this season, is on the third line. That kind of firepower in the bottom six is tough to match, especially for a Flyers team that has rookie Alex Bump in a top-line role out of necessity.
Dostal has been a workhorse, facing 1,252 shots across 46 starts. Vladar has been more efficient (2.46 GAA, .905 SV%) but faces far less rubber behind a more defensive Philly system.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.