Flyers vs Islanders Prediction, Picks, Odds & Props (Friday, April 3)

• Philadelphia is two points out of a wild card spot and has gone 20-13-4 on the road this season
• Ilya Sorokin has lost two straight starts, allowing 10 goals on 61 combined shots (.836 SV%)
• Keep reading for my Flyers vs Islanders prediction, picks, odds and props for Friday night at UBS Arena

Philadelphia (37-26-12, 86 points) pulled within striking distance of a wild-card spot by winning eight of 10, but back-to-back losses have stalled that momentum. The Flyers put 34 shots on goal in Thursday’s 4-2 loss to Detroit and sit two points behind Ottawa for the second wild card.

New York (42-29-5, 89 points) has its own problems. The Islanders have lost two straight and have scored more than three goals just once in their last 11 games. Ilya Sorokin has allowed 10 goals on 61 combined shots over his last two starts.

Puck drop is at 7:00 pm ET from UBS Arena, and my Flyers vs Islanders prediction and picks are below.

Flyers vs Islanders Prediction

• Total bet: Over 5.5 Goals (-115 at DraftKings)

My Flyers vs Islanders prediction is the over. The over has hit in seven of New York’s last nine home games against opponents with a losing record and four of the Islanders’ last five overall. Philadelphia mirrors that trend, with the over cashing in four of its last five and three of its last four on the road.

Sorokin is confirmed, but his .836 save percentage over two starts is a far cry from his season-long .909 mark. Dan Vladar is the likely starter for Philly with a solid .904 save percentage and 2.50 GAA, though he hasn’t recorded a shutout all year. Neither netminder is in a position to keep this game low-scoring.

Flyers vs Islanders Key Stats

Philadelphia’s .883 team save percentage is among the worst in the league, and their 78.0% penalty kill is a liability against any power play. New York generates nearly 28 shots per game but also gives up close to the same, so both teams should see plenty of opportunities.

Flyers vs Islanders Picks

Two Flyers vs Islanders picks on the prop side for Friday.

• Christian Dvorak Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-117 at Bet365)

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Dvorak has cleared 1.5 shots on goal in five straight road games, averaging 2.8 per game during that stretch. He skates on Philadelphia’s second line with Travis Konecny and Porter Martone, so he’s getting quality ice time and offensive zone starts.

• Calum Ritchie Over 0.5 Points (+123 at FanDuel)

Wrapping up my Flyers vs Islanders picks, I like Ritchie to find the scoresheet at plus money. He’s recorded a point in four straight home games, averaging 1.25 per game during that run.

The Islanders play five of their final six at home, and Ritchie has clearly found a comfort level at UBS Arena. Check the NHL playoff picture to see where both Metro Division teams sit heading into the final stretch.

Flyers vs Islanders Odds

The interactive widget above will update automatically as the Flyers vs Islanders odds move. Use the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NHL tonight.

New York’s -140 moneyline carries an implied probability of about 58%, while Philadelphia at +135 gives the Flyers roughly a 43% implied chance. The Islanders are 21-13-2 at home, but Sorokin’s recent form is worth monitoring before laying -140.

The total is set at 5.5, with the over at -115 and the under at +102. The puck line is NYI -1.5 at +175, while PHI +1.5 is -195. These teams are only three points apart in the standings, and Philly has a game in hand, so don’t be surprised if this stays tight.