Flyers vs Red Wings Prediction, Picks, Odds & Props (March. 28)
By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
- Philadelphia has won seven straight road games and is 7-0 as a road underdog during that stretch
- Detroit is 0-4 in its last four Saturday games and 1-7 in its last eight games following a win
- See my Flyers vs Red Wings prediction, prop picks and odds below for Saturday night at Little Caesars Arena
Two Eastern Conference wild card contenders meet Saturday night in Detroit as the Flyers (35-24-12) visit the Red Wings (39-25-8). Philadelphia has been one of hockey’s hottest road teams, winning seven straight away from home, while Detroit is trying to snap a troubling post-win slump.
Puck drop is at 8:00 pm ET from Little Caesars Arena. Here are my Flyers vs Red Wings prediction and picks, plus the latest odds and prop bets.
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Flyers vs Red Wings Prediction
- Flyers Moneyline (+115 at FanDuel)
My Flyers vs Red Wings prediction is Philadelphia on the moneyline. The Flyers are 7-0 in their last seven road games as an underdog — you don’t see that kind of run very often this late in the season. They’re also 5-1 in their last six against teams with a winning record.
Detroit’s struggles after wins are a real red flag. The Wings beat Buffalo 5-2 on Thursday, but they’re 1-7 in their last eight following a victory and have dropped four straight Saturday games. They’re also just 15-9 as favorites on the year, which isn’t exactly convincing for a home chalk.
Flyers vs Red Wings Key Stats
The key for Philadelphia is staying out of the penalty box. Detroit’s power play converts at 22.12%, while the Flyers’ man advantage is dead last in the league at 14.49%.
If this game stays at even strength, Philly has the edge — they average 22.44 hits per game (7th in the NHL) compared to Detroit’s 17.75 (30th). That physical forecheck has been the engine behind their road success.
The under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these teams, and 5-0-1 in Philly’s last six against Eastern Conference opponents. Don’t expect a track meet.
But the Flyers have the situational momentum, and plus money on a team riding a seven-game road winning streak is where I want to be.
Flyers vs Red Wings Prop Picks
I’ve got one from each side for my Flyers vs Red Wings prop picks tonight.
- Patrick Kane Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-106 at FanDuel)
Kane has cleared 2.5 shots on goal in five straight home games, averaging 3.8 per game during that stretch. The 37-year-old skates on Detroit’s second line alongside Alex DeBrincat and Andrew Copp, so he’s getting plenty of offensive zone time.
At -106, you’re laying minimal juice on a guy who’s been automatic at Little Caesars Arena.
- Noah Cates Over 0.5 Points (+120 at BetMGM)
Wrapping up my Flyers vs Red Wings prop picks, I like Cates to find the scoresheet at plus money. The forward has recorded a point in seven of his last eight road games, averaging 1.12 points per game in that span.
He’s skating on the third line with Carl Grundstrom and Matvei Michkov, and if the Flyers are going to keep their road streak alive, Cates figures to be involved. The +120 price is too good to pass up.
Flyers vs Red Wings Odds
Odds as of Mar. 28. Grab the FanDuel promo code for a bonus on tonight’s NHL odds.
Philadelphia’s +116 moneyline translates to an implied probability of about 46%, while Detroit’s -135 gives the Wings roughly a 57% implied chance.
The Flyers are 14-4 as favorites and 17-17 as underdogs this season, but their recent road form as a dog (7-0) makes them far more dangerous than those overall numbers indicate.
Detroit is 39-33 on the moneyline overall and 20-13-3 at home. But the Wings’ 0-4 Saturday record and 1-7 mark following wins are hard to overlook. The total sits at 5.5, a low number that aligns with the under trends in this head-to-head series.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.