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Leafs vs Ducks Odds, Projected Starting Goalies and Best NHL Pick for Sunday

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Nov 27, 2021 · 5:42 PM PST

Auston Matthews on ice during stoppage
Toronto Maple Leafs' Auston Matthews plays during an NHL hockey game, Wednesday, Nov. 10, 2021, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Matt Slocum)
  • The red-hot Toronto Maple Leafs visit the Anaheim Ducks on Sunday, November 28th
  • The Leafs have won six straight road games, while Anaheim is 7-1 in their last eight home games
  • Read below for Toronto vs Anaheim odds, projected starting goalies and best NHL pick

One of NHL’s hottest teams hits the road to face one of the league’s best home teams in Sunday’s NHL odds. The Toronto Maple Leafs (15-6-1) visit the Anaheim Ducks (11-7-2) on November 28th. Puck drop is 8pm ET at Honda Center.

Toronto is being listed as heavy road favorites in the Leafs vs Ducks odds. Sheldon Keefe’s team has won five of their last six meetings with Anaheim.

Will Toronto stay hot on the road, or should you bet the Ducks as home underdogs?

Leafs vs Ducks Odds

Game Time Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
8:00pm ET Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+155) O 5.5 (-110) -175
November 28th, 2021 Anaheim Ducks +1.5 (-180) U 5.5 (-110) +150

Odds as of November 27th at DraftKings

Leafs Betting Value as Road Favorites

Toronto enters Sunday’s NHL action riding a three-game road winning streak. The Maple Leafs have beat the New York Islanders, Los Angeles Kings and San Jose Sharks as road favorites over the past week, outscoring them 12-3. Toronto has won eight of their last nine games overall.

The Leafs are the hottest team in the NHL and getting contributions from all over their lineup. Auston Matthews is heating up with goals in back-to-back games, while John Tavares leads the team in scoring with 20 points in 19 games. Goalie Jack Campbell is among the league leaders with a .943 save percentage.

Leafs vs Ducks Projected Starting Goalies

Team Goalie Record SV% GAA
Toronto Maple Leafs Jack Campbell 11-4-1 .943 1.68
Anaheim Ducks John Gibson 9-5-2 .920 2.53

Toronto rookie goalie Joseph Woll started against San Jose on Friday, so Campbell will be back in the crease against Anaheim on Sunday. Campbell has allowed two or fewer goals in six straight starts, so him being extra rested bolsters Toronto’s value in the NHL odds.

Ducks NHL Betting Value at Home

Anaheim enters Sunday’s NHL clash with Toronto having won seven of their last eight home games. The Ducks took down Ottawa by a 4-0 score on Black Friday to snap a three-game losing streak. Goalie Anthony Stolarz stole the show with a 40-save shutout, while rookie Trevor Zegras had two assists.

The Ducks have gotten a boost from Rickard Rakell, who has a three-game point streak (2 goals) since returning from an upper-body injury. Troy Terry leads the team in scoring with 23 points in 20 games, while goalies Stolarz and John Gibson both have save percentages above .920.

Anaheim has killed off 19 of 21 power plays in their last 12 games, which is good for 93.5%. This makes for an intriguing matchup in the Leafs vs Ducks odds, as Anaheim will be tasked with shutting down Toronto’s lethal power play. The Leafs have the sixth-best power-play percentage in the NHL (24.6%).

Leafs vs Ducks Prediction & Pick

Is there any team capable of slowing down Toronto right now? On paper, betting the Ducks as home underdogs isn’t a smart choice. Toronto leads the NHL in shots on goal, while the Ducks are allowing the third-highest number of shots against.

Taking a look at recent history for Toronto vs Anaheim, we can see the Leafs have flexed their offensive dominance against the Ducks in the last several meetings.

Leafs vs Ducks Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
03/06/2020 ANA 2 – TOR 1 ANA ANA Under
02/07/2020 TOR 5 – ANA 4 OT TOR ANA Over
02/04/2019 TOR 6– ANA 1 TOR TOR Over
11/16/2018 ANA 1 – TOR 2 OT TOR ANA Under
02/05/2018 TOR 7 – ANA 4 TOR TOR Over

Anaheim’s Gibson is one of the NHL’s best goalies, but his 2-3-1 all-time record against Toronto isn’t convincing. Campbell, meanwhile, hasn’t faced the Ducks since getting traded to Toronto in 2020. He went 2-4-0 versus Anaheim as a member of the Los Angeles Kings.

Anaheim has been a great home team, but they had lost three straight games before beating up a weak Ottawa team. The Leafs have been much more consistent, losing only twice in the month of November.  Toronto’s offense should exploit a Ducks’ defense giving up far too many scoring chances.

The red-hot Leafs are 6-0 in their last six games as road favorites. They’re one of the most public bet teams in the NHL, so bet them at -175 on the NHL betting line against Anaheim at DraftKings Sportsbook before the line goes up further.

Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline (-175)

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