Odds For 2019 Calder Trophy: Pettersson Listed as Heavy -7500 Favorite; Is There Value in Betting Binnington?
- Elias Pettersson, Jordan Binnington & Rasmus Dahlin are the nominees for the NHL Rookie of the Year award
- Jordan Binnington won 24 of 30 games in his rookie season and owned the leagues top GAA
- Binnington lead the Blues from last place in the league to the Stanley Cup Final
Vancouver Canucks forward Elias Pettersson is the overwhelming favorite to win the NHL’s rookie of the year award. Should he be? There’s a strong case to be made for a certain St. Louis Blues rookie who just so happens to still be playing in the Stanley Cup Final.
2019 Calder Trophy Odds
| Nominee | Odds |
|---|---|
| Elias Pettersson (Canucks) | -7500 |
| Jordan Binnington (Blues) | +750 |
| Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres) | +1800 |
*Odds as of 5/28/19.
Pettersson could definitely win the award after a great freshman campaign for the Canucks. If I had a vote however, it would have been for Jordan Binnington of the Blues and the fact you can still bet him at +750 presents an opportunity to cash in on some crazy value.
COLD BLOODED ❄️ @binnnasty #StanleyCup pic.twitter.com/qUoEHgIVzt
— NHL (@NHL) May 22, 2019
Binnington NHL’s Newest Superstar
January 3rd of this season the St. Louis Blues sat dead-last in the league. They are now in the Stanley Cup final thanks in large part to the decision to put Jordan Binnington between the pipes. While the playoff run doesn’t have anything to do with Rookie of the Year voting, the wins and numbers he racked up getting them from dead-last to within one point of winning the Central Division do.
Jordan Binnington became the fifth rookie netminder in NHL history, and first in 32 years, to be responsible for each of his team's first 12 wins in a playoff year. #NHLStats #StanleyCup pic.twitter.com/zOyUXEA3iL
— NHL Public Relations (@PR_NHL) May 22, 2019
Binnington finished the year with a 24-5-1 record with a 1.89 goals against average and .927 save percentage.
That GAA was ranked 1st in the league and his SV% was tied for 4th. There isn’t a way you can break down the numbers and not arrive at the conclusion he was one of the best goalies in the game, regardless of his age.
The Case Against Pettersson
It’s tough to be negative about a season as good as Pettersson’s, but the reality is it just doesn’t stack up well against Binnington.
Where the Blues goalie was a league leader in many categories, Pettersson was good not great. He had 28 goals which was tied for 48th best and his 66 points ranked tied for 59th.
He was the definition of impressive “as a rookie,” but as I mapped out above, Binnington wasn’t just impressive as a rookie, he emerged as a true superstar in goal.
Yeah, St. Louis is ready for this. @Enterprise_Cntr is hosting a SOLD OUT watch party tonight for Game 1! #WeAllBleedBlue pic.twitter.com/RGftrMFCRS
— St. Louis Blues (@StLouisBlues) May 27, 2019
The Pettersson hype train rolled along all season and that may be enough to win the trophy but he isn’t deserving of being -7500 and provides absolutely no value at that price tag. His backers will say Binnington only played half the year but Pettersson himself missed 11 games.
I’d call this award a coin flip where one side of the coin is paying -7500 and the other nets you +750. With that info in hand, you know what to do.
PICK: Jordan Binnington (+750)
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Ryan has been working at TSN for over eleven years, and is now a lead writer and content producer at That's Hockey. Over the years, he's launched and hosted TSN's first NCAAF podcast, The College Football Show, and been featured on the likes of TSN 1050, Sportscentre, and That's Hockey 2Nite.
