By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
Edmonton sits atop the Pacific Division but limps into Salt Lake City without Leon Draisaitl (LTIR) and Zach Hyman, who is out for the entire road trip. The Oilers are coming off a loss and need to get back on track to hold off Vegas and Anaheim in the standings.
Utah is the hottest team in the building. The Mammoth have won three straight, hold the first wild card spot in the Western Conference, and have been excellent at home behind Karel Vejmelka, who’s logged 59 starts with a 2.70 GAA.
Puck drop is at 9:30 pm ET from Delta Center. My Oilers vs Mammoth predictions and prop bets are below.
The over is the play for my Oilers vs Mammoth prediction. It’s hit in eight of Utah’s last 10 games and all six of their last six as a favorite. Edmonton brings their own situational support, with the over hitting in five of their last six road games as an underdog and four of their last five road games against teams with winning records.
Tristan Jarry is the projected starter for Edmonton and has struggled badly in his first stint with the Oilers, posting a 3.81 GAA and .860 save percentage in 17 games. Vejmelka is more reliable on the other end, but Edmonton’s 29.7% power play — one of the best in the NHL — should generate plenty of looks even on a bad shooting night.
Edmonton scores 3.44 goals per game with that elite power play, while Utah is at 3.26 with a far more modest 19.4% man advantage.
The Mammoth have the better team save percentage (.891 to .878), but Jarry going in for Edmonton tilts that gap further toward the home side. Both teams play at a quick pace, which is exactly what total bettors want.
I’m going with two-shot volume plays from Edmonton’s top weapons for my Oilers vs Mammoth prop bets.
Bouchard has cleared 2.5 shots in eight of his last nine games against teams with winning records, averaging 4.3 shots per game in that stretch.
He quarterbacks Edmonton’s top power play unit and has been leaned on even more heavily without Draisaitl in the lineup. The juice is fair given the trend.
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McDavid has gone over 3.5 shots in four of his last five games against teams with winning records, averaging exactly 4.0 per contest. Our projection model has him at 3.8 tonight.
Plus money on the league’s most dangerous player firing four shots is a lock-it-in spot, especially with Draisaitl out and McDavid carrying even more of the offensive load.
The interactive widget above will update automatically as the Oilers vs Mammoth odds move throughout the day.
Edmonton is +115 at Fanatics while Utah is -130 at ESPN BET, an implied probability of about 56%. The puck line has Edmonton +1.5 at -200 (BetMGM) and Utah -1.5 at +185 (Fanatics). Heavy juice on the spread tells you the books expect a one-goal game either way.
The total is split: DraftKings has the over 6.5 at -110 while BetMGM is offering the under 6.5 at -105. Use the ESPN BET promo code for a bonus on Tuesday’s late slate.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
