Oilers vs Panthers Prediction, Picks & Betting Odds for Game 6

• We’ve made our Oilers vs Panthers prediction for Game 6 of the Stanley Cup Final
• Florida leads the series 3-2 and can clinch their second straight championship at home
• Read below for my Game 6 Oilers vs Panthers prediction and betting picks

The Florida Panthers have a chance to hoist Lord Stanley for the second consecutive year when they host the Edmonton Oilers in Game 6 on Tuesday night. Online sportsbooks have installed Florida as -155 favorites in the Oilers vs Panthers odds.

Brad Marchand’s two goals and Sergei Bobrovsky’s 19 saves powered the Panthers to a commanding 5-2 victory in Game 5, putting them one win away from back-to-back championships. Despite the Over hitting in all five games, I’m finding value going against the grain in my Oilers vs Panthers prediction.

Puck drop is set for 8:00 PM ET on TNT from Amerant Bank Arena, with the Cup in the building. Let’s break down how I’m betting this potential series-clincher.

Oilers vs Panthers Prediction for Game 6

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Get Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets

21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (US); 1-800-327-5050 (MA); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-981-0023 (PR), 877-718-5543 or visit morethanagame.nc.gov (NC). See BetMGM.com for T&C. US promotional offers not available in MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBD1500

CODE: SBD1500

SIGNUP BONUS

GET $1,500
BACK

BET NOW

Saturday’s Game 5 told the story of this series perfectly. The Panthers jumped out to another early lead, controlled play, and never let Edmonton get comfortable. Brad Marchand now has seven goals in the Final, more than Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl combined. Meanwhile, the Oilers have been outscored 11-0 in first periods over the last three games.

Stuart Skinner returns to the crease after Calvin Pickard allowed four goals on 18 shots in Game 5. It’s a desperation move from Kris Knoblauch, banking on Skinner’s strong elimination-game history (1.76 GAA, .935 SV% in four such games last year). Meanwhile, Bobrovsky continues his steady march toward a second straight championship with a .931 save percentage this series.

The underlying numbers reveal Florida’s dominance goes beyond the scoreboard. The Panthers hold a 52.84% Corsi advantage and have controlled 51.79% of high-danger chances. Most tellingly, Edmonton has led for just 33:51 compared to Florida’s 200:25 – a staggering time-on-ice disparity that reflects who’s really been in control.

Game 5 was particularly revealing as a low-event affair at 5-on-5, featuring just 28 shots and 2.9 expected goals during even-strength play. This trend toward tighter checking could be crucial in a potential clinching game where both teams tighten up defensively.

Oilers vs Panthers Advanced Stats – Cup Final

*Stats through five games of Stanley Cup Final

The pressure situation favors a defensive battle. Florida has struggled closing series at home this postseason, going 0-2 in previous attempts while being shut out both times. The Panthers scored zero goals in Game 6 against Toronto and Game 4 against Carolina when they could have advanced – a concerning trend for Over bettors.

Edmonton faces elimination for the first time this postseason after going 5-1 in such games last year. The Oilers’ shooting percentage sits at an abysmal 6.92% for the series, and they’ve managed just nine goals at 5-on-5 through five games. When you’re getting outplayed this badly, desperation doesn’t always translate to offense.

Oilers vs Panthers Picks

• Under 6.5 Total Goals (-118 at BetMGM)
• Sam Bennett Anytime Goal Scorer (+180)

While the Over has cashed in all five games, elimination scenarios often produce tighter checking and more conservative play. Both teams understand the stakes – one mistake could end Edmonton’s season or extend this grueling series to seven games.

The sharp money agrees. Despite public perception pushing toward another high-scoring affair, the Under has attracted professional action at -120. Consider that only one of five games has exceeded 6.5 goals in regulation time – several Overs have hit due to empty-netters and overtime.

As for Bennett, he’s been Florida’s most consistent offensive threat with 15 playoff goals. Playing on a line with Matthew Tkachuk, he’s generated quality chances all series and offers solid value at +180 to find the net in what could be a championship-clinching performance.

Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Odds

The total sits at 6.5 with juice on the Under at -118, reflecting sharp action despite public Over backing. Florida comes in as -155 home favorites, with Edmonton at +130 looking to force Game 7.

In the Stanley Cup odds, Florida needs just one more win to complete their repeat bid. Connor McDavid remains scoreless in the Finals but could still capture the Conn Smythe if Edmonton pulls off the comeback.

With Florida favored to take the Cup, however, Bennett is the Conn Smythe favorite at -175, with teammate Marchand not far behind.

Odds as of June 17th at BetMGM Sportsbook. Grab a BetMGM promo code to wager on this game. Alberta residents can wager at Bet99 with the Bet99 promo code.

According to the NHL public betting trends, recreational money continues to back the Over based on the series history, but elimination games often play out differently.

The Panthers’ home struggles in closeout games, combined with the natural tightening that occurs in do-or-die situations, makes the Under the sharp play. When the Cup is in the building and seasons are on the line, expect both teams to clamp down defensively rather than trading chances.