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Oilers vs Stars Prediction, Odds & Lineups for Game 5

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Published:


May 27, 2025; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; Edmonton Oilers right wing Kasperi Kapanen (42) celebrates after he scores an empty net goal to seal the Oilers victory over the Dallas Stars during the third period in game four of the Western Conference Final of the 2025 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Rogers Place. Mandatory Credit: Perry Nelson-Imagn Images
  • The Edmonton Oilers can punch their ticket to the Stanley Cup Final with a win in Game 5 on Thursday
  • Dallas faces elimination after being outscored 13-2 over the last three games
  • Read below for our Oilers vs Stars Game 5 prediction with odds and lineups

The Edmonton Oilers will look to close out the Dallas Stars in Game 5 of the Western Conference Final on Thursday, May 29th. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 pm ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas, with ESPN carrying the broadcast.

Edmonton enters as +110 road underdogs in the Game 5 Oilers vs Stars odds, while Dallas is -130 to extend the series. The total sits at 6.0 goals as the Stars desperately try to avoid elimination on home ice.

Let’s dive into the Game 5 Oilers vs Stars prediction and uncover our best betting angle.

Oilers vs Stars Prediction for Game 5

The biggest storyline heading into Game 5 is Stuart Skinner’s remarkable transformation. The Oilers netminder has allowed just two total goals over the past three games, posting a jaw-dropping .967 save percentage in the series. He’s stopped 84 of the last 86 shots faced, including a 25-save shutout in Game 2 at American Airlines Center.

Dallas has controlled the possession metrics with a 54.11% Corsi For percentage and 52.60% of shots on goal, but they’ve managed an anemic 3.30% shooting percentage in the series. The Stars have mustered just two goals in their last three contests, both coming from Jason Robertson.

While Jake Oettinger showed improvement in Game 4 with a 29-save performance, the Stars’ offensive drought has put immense pressure on their goaltending. Wyatt Johnston has been held pointless in seven straight games, failing to record a shot on goal in Game 4.

Historical trends also favor a defensive battle. The Under has hit in 4 of the last 7 Oilers games and 7 of the last 10 Stars playoff contests. Dallas has seen the Under cash in 3 of their last 4 home playoff games, while elimination games typically feature tighter checking and more conservative play.

Stuart Skinner vs Jake Oettinger Playoff Stats

5-4-0Record9-8-0
2.47GAA2.72
.910SV%.908
3SO0

Edmonton’s power play has been the difference-maker, converting at a 36.4% clip since Game 1 with four goals in their last three victories. Dallas has managed just one power-play goal in their last eight opportunities, highlighting their special teams struggles.

With the total opening at 6.0 and heavy juice on the Under at -118, sharp money appears to be backing the low-scoring angle. Given Skinner’s dominance, Dallas’ offensive woes, and the pressure of an elimination game, the Under presents solid value.

EDM vs DAL Pick:

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK


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Oilers vs Stars Odds

Here are the latest Oilers vs Stars odds from Caesars Sportsbook:

Bet TypeEdmonton OilersDallas Stars
Spread+1.5 (-230)-1.5 (+190)
Moneyline+110-130
TotalO 6.0 (-102)U 6.0 (-118)

Odds as of May 29th at Caesars Sportsbook. Learn more about Caesars rewards before signing up.

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK


Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings On Your First 10 Bets!

LOCK IN PROMO
CODE: SBD2DYW
CODE: SBD2DYW
SIGNUP PROMO
DOUBLE YOUR
WINNINGS

ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!

CLAIM OFFER

The Stars are listed as -130 home favorites on the moneyline. A $130 bet on Dallas would return $100 in profit if they stave off elimination, while a $100 wager on the +110 underdog Oilers would net $110 in winnings.

The +1.5 puckline on Edmonton comes with steep -230 odds, meaning they must either win outright or lose by a single goal to cover the spread. Conversely, the Stars are +190 to win by 2+ goals. The 6.0-goal over/under is juiced to the under at -118.

Oilers vs Stars Projected Lineups


Oilers Projected Lineup

Forwards
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins – Connor McDavid – Corey Perry
Evander Kane – Leon Draisaitl – Kasperi Kapanen
Jeff Skinner – Adam Henrique – Trent Frederic
Vasily Podkolzin – Mattias Janmark – Viktor Arvidsson

Defense
Mattias Ekholm – Evan Bouchard
Darnell Nurse – Brett Kulak
Jake Walman – John Klingberg

Goaltenders
Stuart Skinner
Calvin Pickard

Injuries and Scratches:
Zach Hyman is out for the remainder of the playoffs after undergoing surgery for an upper-body injury sustained in Game 4. The winger led the postseason with 111 hits and had 11 points in 15 games. Jeff Skinner slots in as his replacement after playing just one playoff game this year.

On the positive side, Mattias Ekholm returns to the lineup after missing time with a lower-body injury. Connor Brown (undisclosed) remains out.


Stars Projected Lineup

Forwards
Mikael Granlund – Roope Hintz – Mikko Rantanen
Mason Marchment – Matt Duchene – Tyler Seguin
Jamie Benn – Wyatt Johnston – Jason Robertson
Oskar Back – Sam Steel – Colin Blackwell

Defense
Esa Lindell – Miro Heiskanen
Thomas Harley – Cody Ceci
Lian Bichsel – Alexander Petrovic

Goaltenders
Jake Oettinger
Casey DeSmith

Injuries and Scratches:
The Stars held an optional morning skate with potential lineup changes looming. Mavrik Bourque could draw into the lineup to provide offensive spark. Nils Lundkvist (shoulder) remains sidelined.


For more Stanley Cup Playoffs coverage, check out:

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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