Wild vs Lightning Prediction, Picks & Tuesday NHL Odds

• The Wild visit the Lightning tonight in what I’m projecting to be a high-scoring affair
• Minnesota has seen 15 of its last 18 road games exceed the total
• Below you’ll find my Wild vs Lightning prediction, plus my favorite picks and the Tuesday NHL odds

The Minnesota Wild head south tonight to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning in a battle of championship hopefuls. Online sportsbooks are expecting a closely contested affair, listing the Lightning as home favorites, in a game with a 6 goal total per the NHL odds.

Personally, I believe the total is a bit light, as both teams bring plenty of offensive firepower to the table. As a result, I’ll be taking the over in my Wild vs Lightning prediction, while also looking to back two of the game’s biggest stars in the props market.

Puck drop is scheduled for just after 7:30 pm ET, from Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida, with TNT, truTV and HBO Max providing the broadcast coverage.

Wild vs Lightning Predictions

• Over 6 Goals (-120 at BetMGM)

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When looking at tonight’s showdown, you could make the argument for both teams to win outright. Tampa Bay has been dominant in their own building winning 12 of their last 15 home games, while the Wild have been absolute road warriors, boasting an 8-3 record over their last 11 away contests. Instead of picking a side on the moneyline, the best value on the board lies in the game total.

The trends heavily favor a high-scoring affair, driven largely by the Wild’s explosive tendencies away from home. The over has hit in 15 of the Wild’s last 18 road games. Furthermore, they consistently find themselves in track meets following a victory; the over has cashed in 10 of their last 12 road games after a win, and 6 of their last 7 road games as an underdog.

Potential absences to Hart Trophy odds contender Kirill Kaprizov and Joel Eriksson Ek reduce their offensive ceiling, but this is still a team loaded with offensive potential.

Not to be outdone, the Lightning are no strangers to high-scoring games. They have seen the over hit in 4 of their last 5 games overall, and they tend to light up the scoresheet against quality opponents, with the over cashing in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning record.

Also working in favor of the over, is tonight’s goaltending matchup. Despite Andrei Vasilevskiy and Filip Gustavsson shouldering the majority of the workload for their respective clubs, we’re going to be treaded to a battle of the backups.

Jonas Johansson is positioned to defend the Tampa Bay net, while Minnesota will counter with Jesper Wallstedt. Relying on depth goaltending adds a significant layer of volatility, helping our prediction of a high-scoring affair.

Wild vs Lightning Picks

• Quinn Hughes OVER 0.5 Assists (-140 at Bet365)
• Nikita Kucherov OVER 1.5 Points (-120 at Bet365)

Moving over to the NHL props market, where Quinn Hughes highlights my Wild vs Lightning picks. Hughes has recorded an assist in 10 of his last 11 games as an underdog, averaging 1.1 helpers per game in that span. Given the sheer firepower across the ice, the Wild will need their top distributors driving possession through the neutral zone, making Hughes a great bet to find the scoresheet.

For the Lightning, Nikita Kucherov has exceeded 1.5 points in 3 of his last 4 games, generating an incredible average of 3.25 points per contest during that stretch. Additionally, the star winger feasts when his team is chalk, as Kucherov has recorded an assist in 8 of his last 9 games as a favorite.

Wild vs Lightning Tuesday NHL Odds

Moving over to the Wild vs Lightning Tuesday NHL odds, where BetMGM is the best place to bet the over in this matchup of Stanley Cup odds contenders. The sportsbook is offering a 6 goal total at -120 odds, while most other shops have the line listed at 6.5.

As for the moneyline, be sure to visit Bet365 if you want to back the underdog Wild to win outright. That book has the longest odds on a Minnesota upset, while FanDuel has the shortest odds on Tampa Bay to hold serve at home.

Odds as of March 24. Make sure you use SBD’s exclusive BetMGM promo code to bet on NHL hockey tonight.