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F1 Picks & Odds: 2025 Belgian Grand Prix Predictions & Start Time

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in Racing

Published:


Jun 15, 2025; Montreal, Quebec, Canada; McLaren driver Oscar Piastri (81) during the F1 Canadian Grand Prix at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve. Mandatory Credit: David Kirouac-Imagn Images
  • Formula 1 Belgian Grand Prix takes place this Sunday from the iconic Spa-Francorchamps circuit
  • Lando Norris secured pole position ahead of teammate Oscar Piastri in an all-McLaren front row
  • Below, see my Formula 1 Belgian Grand Prix picks, props, odds, predictions, and more

Formula 1 returns to Spa-Francorchamps this Sunday, July 27th, with the Belgian Grand Prix. The green flag drops at 9:00 am ET, with live coverage via ESPN.

Spa is a massive 4.352-mile circuit that’s been hosting F1 since 1950. Rain is in the forecast, and Pirelli’s tire strategy adds another layer of unpredictability. This one could get wild at a legendary track.

Let’s dive into the best F1 picks for round 13 of the 2025 championship.

2025 Belgian Grand Prix Odds

DriverWinTop 3Top 6
Lando Norris (McLaren)+130-625-1000
Oscar Piastri (McLaren)+150-550-1000
Max Verstappen (Red Bull)+350-200-800
Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)+1200+150-250
George Russell (Mercedes)+3300+600-135
Alexander Albon (Williams)+10000+1200+100
Lewis Hamilton (Ferrari)+10000+2000+250
Isack Hadjar (VCARB)+15000+1400+125
Yuki Tsunoda (Red Bull)+15000+1400+140
Liam Lawson (VCARB)+25000+2500+350
Gabriel Bortoleto (Sauber)+25000+2500+350
Oliver Bearman (Haas)+30000+4000+600
Esteban Ocon (Haas)+30000+4000+700
Nico Hulkenberg (Sauber)+30000+4000+700
Pierre Gasly (Alpine)+30000+4000+700

Odds from BetMGM Sportsbook on July 27. Register with the BetMGM promo code to wager on the 2025 Belgian Grand Prix.

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Belgian Grand Prix Picks

The weather’s going to throw a wrench into everyone’s plans with rain expected throughout the weekend. Verstappen won the sprint, but his setup tweaks for qualifying could bite him if it gets wet.

BetMGM’s loaded with prop betting options for this race. I’ve found several with solid value based on driver form, track history, and what Mother Nature might serve up.

2025 Belgian Grand Prix Race Winner Prediction

Oscar Piastri at +150 is where I’m putting my money. And before you think I’m crazy backing the guy starting second behind his teammate, hear me out.

Spa’s one of the few tracks where pole position isn’t everything. That short run to La Source followed by the massive Kemmel Straight? It’s perfect for slipstream passes. Piastri only needs to nail the start, and he’ll have DRS down the straight into Les Combes.

Here’s what matters: if Piastri gets past Norris early, he’ll likely get pit priority. That’s huge at Spa, where track position counts. The Aussie’s already got five wins this season and leads the championship. He finished second here last year and knows exactly what it takes.

Verstappen made setup changes before qualifying, adding downforce for potential rain conditions. Smart thinking for wet weather, but it hurt his straight-line speed. Meanwhile, Piastri’s running a balanced setup that should work regardless of conditions.

At +150, Pistari to win the Belgian Grand Prix is excellent value.

2025 Belgian Grand Prix Points Finish Odds

DriverODDS
Oliver Bearman+200
Pierre Gasly+185
Esteban Ocon-110
Nico Hulkenberg-140
Carlos Sainz+125

Bet Bearman for Points Finish

Oliver Bearman at +200 to score points? That’s a bet I’ll gladly make any day. The rookie sensation finished seventh in Saturday’s sprint race, proving that Haas has genuine pace around this circuit.

Sure, the kid qualified 12th for the main race. But Bearman’s running a high-downforce setup that’ll come alive if rain hits. Ocon, his partner, has been on fire lately, getting points in several races. The Haas definitely works at Spa.

Rain tends to shake things up, and Bearman’s already shown he can take advantage when chaos strikes. He’s young, fast, and flying under the radar, exactly the kind of value you look for in a points finish bet. At 2-to-1 odds, the value for Bearman to get points is too good to pass up.

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Belgian GP: Podium Props

Podium FinishOdds
Max Verstappen Yes-175
Charles Leclerc Yes+150
George Russell Yes+600
Alexander Albon Yes+1200
Lewis Hamilton Yes+2000

Best F1 Belgian GP Safe Pick

Betting Max Verstappen to finish on the podium at -175 is the boring safe bet for Sunday. Look, Red Bull’s not the fastest car anymore. We all know that. But this is still Max Verstappen at Spa-Francorchamps.

The three-time champion won here from 2021 through 2023. He just dominated Saturday’s sprint race, showing he still has the pace when it counts. Starting fourth isn’t perfect, but it’s Max. He’ll find a way.

His high-downforce setup might cost him on the straights, but if rain arrives? That’s when the three-time champion shows his best stuff. Verstappen in wet conditions at a power track is something special. Sometimes the obvious bet is obvious for a reason.

  • 2025 Belgian GP Podium Pick: Max Verstappen Podium Finish (-175 at BetMGM)
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Belgian GP: Race Props & Specials

Special PropsOdds
Both McLaren drivers finish top 3-275
Winning margin 0-5.999 seconds-140
Over 2.5 different race leaders-200
Pierre Gasly Top 10 Finish+185
Three different constructors on podium+110

Sprinkle on These F1 Props

Pierre Gasly at +185 to finish in the top 10 is worth a look. He’s a Spa veteran with five top-10s in seven starts here. Alpine’s been struggling, sure. But Gasly’s a proven rain specialist who knows how to score when chaos strikes.

Starting 13th isn’t great, but it’s not terrible either. One safety car, a couple retirements, and suddenly he’s knocking on the door of the points.

The three different constructors on podium at +110 is also worth playing. If rain mixes things up or strategy calls go wrong for McLaren, we could easily see something like Norris-Verstappen-Leclerc or Piastri-Verstappen-Russell.

2025 Belgian GP Prop Bets:

  • Pierre Gasly Top 10 Finish (+185)
  • Three different constructors on podium (+110)

Best of luck with all your F1 picks and predictions for Sunday!

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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