- Lewis Hamilton has emerged as the betting favorite as he pursues a record eighth career win at the Hungarian Grand Prix
- All eyes are on Racing Point following last weekend’s impressive performance, while Ferrari look for answers following a disappointing two weeks in Austria
- Read on to get all the odds and storylines ahead of Sunday’s running of the Hungarian Grand Prix
Fresh off his first win of the season at last weekend’s Steiermark Grand Prix, Lewis Hamilton will be aiming to set yet another Formula 1 record when he hits the track at Sunday’s Hungarian Grand Prix as a -140 favorite.
Odds to Win 2020 Hungarian Grand Prix
|Driver||Odds to Win||Odds to Finish Top Three||Odds to Finish Top Six|
|Carlos Sainz Jr.||+4000||+700||-165|
Odds taken July 15
Hamilton Chasing Yet Another Record
The two-time defending champion at the Hungarian Grand Prix, Hamilton has taken home the checkered flag on seven previous occasions at this event. The 35-year-old Englishman’s dominance on the track at Hungaroring has contributed to a steady improvement in his odds to win, which were listed as long as -110 earlier this week.
Lewis Hamilton has won the Hungarian Grand Prix seven times. Can anyone stop him this weekend? 👀
— Race Notes (@Race_Notes) July 15, 2020
However, after Hamilton’s impressive performance last weekend, finding value elsewhere in the odds to win the 2020 Hungarian Grand Prix represents a huge challenge. After a shaky start to the season two weeks ago at the Austrian Grand Prix, where penalties impacted his starting position and forced him to settle for a fourth-place finish, Hamilton turned in a flawless performance at the Steiermark Grand Prix, leading from wire to wire after seizing the pole position.
The defending F1 champion has also been a consistent performer in qualifying at recent runnings of the Hungarian Grand Prix, starting from the front two rows in each of the past five years including twice from the pole position. Not surprisingly, Hamilton also leads the way as -120 chalk to seize the pole for this Sunday morning race, a bet that should not be overlooked.
Racing Point on the Rise
While all eyes are once again on Hamilton following last weekend’s dominant win, one of the biggest stories of the young abbreviated F1 season has been the emergence of Racing Point. Driving what has become known as the “pink Mercedes” the Racing Point duo of Sergio Perez and Lance Stroll stunned observers with their impressive runs at the Steiermark Grand Prix, taking home sixth and seventh place respectively.
Those performances leave Racing Point positioned in fourth place heading to Hungary and have also given the team’s driver a lift in the Hungarian Grand Prix odds. Following back-to-back sixth-place performances in Austria, Perez has now emerged as a +2500 bet to earn the win this weekend, while Stroll joins the Ferrari duo of Charles Leclerc and Sebastian Vettel at +6600.
Started: P17 🚦
Finished: P6 🏁
A superb performance from @SChecoPerez
— Formula 1 (@F1) July 12, 2020
Racing Point’s breakthrough has caught the attention of their rivals at Renault, who have filed a protest with the FIA over the similarities of their so-called “pick Mercedes” to the cars driven by Hamilton and his Mercedes teammate Valtteri Bottas. An investigation is now underway into whether Racing Point has violated regulations, but in the meantime, both Perez and Stroll offer intriguing value in the Formula 1 odds.
— Grand Prix Rundown (@GPRundown) July 14, 2020
Perez turned in a spectacular performance last weekend, powering to sixth place after starting 17th on the grid, and sports attractive +400 odds of reaching the podium this weekend. In addition to making up steady ground last weekend, the 30-year-old Mexican has a proven track record of solid race day performances at Hungaroring, taking home 11th place after starting 16th last year, and finishing eighth after starting 13th in 2017.
Stroll also enjoyed a rebound last weekend, finishing seventh after retiring early from the Austrian Grand Prix, and is worthy of consideration as a +110 bet to finish among the top six. However, history is not on the side of the young Canadian, who has failed to finish better than 14th in his three previous appearances at the Hungaroring.
Hungarian Grand Prix Recent Winners
|Year||Driver||Margin of Victory|
|2019 Hungarian Grand Prix||Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes||17.796 sec|
|2018 Hungarian Grand Prix||Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes||17.123 sec|
|2017 Hungarian Grand Prix||Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari||0.908 sec|
|2016 Hungarian Grand Prix||Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes||1.977 sec|
|2015 Hungarian Grand Prix||Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari||15.748 sec|
Can Ferrari Rebound in Hungary?
While Racing Point appears to be on the rise, Ferrari finds themselves at a crossroads after being outclassed in the first two races of the Formula 1 season. While Leclerc earned second place two weeks ago on the strength of the five-second penalty handed down to Hamilton for colliding with Red Bull’s Alex Albon, the 22-year-old Monte Carlo native followed up by colliding with teammate Vettel early in last week’s Steiermark Grand Prix, knocking the two Ferraris out of the race.
— Charles Leclerc Fan Page (@LeclercNews) July 12, 2020
That mishap complicates an already worrisome situation at Ferrari, particularly in qualifying, after Leclerc and Vettel failed to nail down spots on the front three rows of the grid in the first two outings of the campaign. Those concerns are reflected in the pole position odds, where the Ferrari duo each lag at a distant +6600. However, for Scuderi fans looking betting value, Leclerc is worth consideration as a +120 wager to finish among the top six, and an attractive +1000 to finish top three.
Red Bull Duo Remain a Threat
As usual, the Red Bull duo of Albon and Max Verstappen cannot be overlooked. Albon matched a career-best with his fourth-place finish last weekend, and sports +225 odds of claiming his first career podium.
Around the outside of the OP Mercedes on older tyres and with a damaged front wing.
— Tom Bellingham (@TommyWTF1) July 14, 2020
Verstappen has finished among the top five in four of five career appearances at Hungaroring, including a second-place run last year. And after reaching the podium in each of the past two weeks, he is an appealing alternative to Hamilton in the odds to win Sunday’s race, at +400.
Picks: Hamilton to win (-140); Leclerc to finish top three (+1000); Perez to finish top three (+400)
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