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Formula 1 2022 Australian Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

Apr 7, 2022 · 10:42 AM PDT

Australian Grand Prix odds
Ferrari driver Charles Leclerc of Monaco, left, speaks to Red Bull driver Max Verstappen of the Netherlands after the Formula One Grand Prix it in Jiddah, Saudi Arabia, Sunday, March 27, 2022. (AP Photo/Hassan Ammar)
  • Formula 1 racing returns to Australia for the first time since 2019 with this weekend’s running of the Australian Grand Prix
  • Max Verstappen is the favorite to claim a second straight victory, while Charles Leclerc bids for a third straight finish on the podium
  • Read on for all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday morning’s running of the 2022 Australian Grand Prix at Albert Park in Melbourne

Formula 1 racing returns to Melbourne for the first time in three years with this weekend’s running of the 2022 Australian Grand Prix. Fresh off his thrilling victory in Saudi Arabia two weeks ago, Max Verstappen has emerged as the betting favorite in the Australian Grand Prix odds at +115. However, the reigning F1 champion is once again expected to face a fierce battle with Charles Leclerc. The Ferrari driver currently leads the way on the F1 Drivers Standings and closely trails Verstappen as a +145 second favorite.

Here’s a look at all the 2022 Australian Grand Prix odds and trends with the race scheduled for 1:00 AM EST on Sunday morning at Albert Park Circuit in Melbourne.

2022 Australian Grand Prix Odds

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top 10
Max Verstappen +115 -380 -550 -700
Charles Leclerc +145 -320 -550 -700
Carlos Sainz +850 -135 -380 -600
Sergio Perez +1600 +115 -340 -550
Lewis Hamilton +1800 +300 -340 -550
George Russell +2800 +410 -210 -450
Valtteri Bottas +11000 +1600 +220 -230
Pierre Gasly +11000 +1800 +300 -185
Kevin Magnussen +11000 +1800 +170 -230
Fernando Alonso +11000 +1600 +195 -210
Esteban Ocon +11000 +1600 +195 -185
Lando Norris +14000 +2000 +1000 +125
Mick Schumacher +14000 +2800 +195 -105
Nicholas Latifi +20000 +10000 +10000 +2200
Sebastian Vettel +20000 +10000 +7000 +500
Guanyu Zhou +20000 +7500 +1300 +145
Lance Stroll +20000 +10000 +7000 +500
Alex Albon +20000 +10000 +10000 +1100
Yuki Tsunoda +20000 +2800 +1600 +120
Daniel Ricciardo +20000 +2800 +1600 +270

Odds as of April 7th at FanDuel Sportsbook

Australian Grand Prix Odds Favor Verstappen, Leclerc Duel

It was a tough start to the 2022 F1 campaign for Max Verstappen, who failed to finish the season-opening race in Bahrain due to a fuel pump failure. The reigning champion responded with a big effort in Saudi Arabia. Verstappen trailed Leclerc for most of the race, before overtaking his Ferrari rival with just four laps remaining.

Track changes in Melbourne should benefit Verstappen, whose Red Bull ride is the fastest on the circuit in straightaways. However, success in Australia has been elusive. Verstappen has failed to earn a checkered flag in four previous appearances in Melbourne, claiming a spot on the podium just once over that stretch.

Now looking to reach the podium in three straight races for the first time since 2019, Leclerc also faces a big challenge in overcoming past disappointments in Melbourne. Both Leclerc and teammate Carlos Sainz have benefited from the new power unit in the Ferrari F1-75.

Leclerc has publicly suggested that it will be difficult to maintain pace with Red Bull on the new-look course at Albert Park. However, other reports suggest that Ferrari have not yet fully exploited their new power unit. Indeed, with the introduction of additional DRS zones in Melbourne, the stage is set for another hard-fought duel between the Red Bulls and Ferraris.

Mercedes Struggling in Early F1 Season

Further down the Australian Grand Prix odds, Carlos Sainz sits third at +850, well ahead of Red Bull’s Sergio Perez at +1600. The Mercedes duo of Lewis Hamilton and George Russell follow, sporting +1800 and +2800 odds, respectively.

It has been a difficult start to 2022 for the Silver Arrows. Hamilton endured a brutal qualifying session in Saudi Arabia and was forced to start from No. 16 on the grid on his way to a disappointing 10th-place finish. The seven-time world champion also struggled in Bahrain but managed to eke out a spot on the podium after both Red Bulls were bounced from the race due to technical problems.

It has also been a disappointing Mercedes debut for Russell. The 24-year-old Englishman has struggled at times in qualifying but has made the best of a difficult situation with top-five finishes in his first two outings of the season. However, Russell has made just one previous appearance in Melbourne, turning in a 16th-place performance for Williams Racing in 2019.

Australian Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory
2021 Race not held due to pandemic
2020 Race not held due to pandemic
2019 Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes 20.886 sec
2018 Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari 5.036 sec
2017 Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari 9.975 sec
2016 Nico Rosberg – Mercedes 8.060 sec
2015 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 1.360 sec

Australian Grand Prix Picks & Prediction

While Mercedes have struggled, Hamilton’s former teammate Valtteri Bottas has enjoyed a solid start in his debut with Alfa Romeo. Bottas has impressed in qualifying in the first two races of the season. The 32-year-old Finn started and finished in sixth in Bahrain, and was poised to finish in the points once again in Saudi Arabia before being forced to retire due to technical problems.

While the reliability of Alfa Romeo’s Ferrari-powered C42 has emerged as a cause for concern, Bottas’ reliability on the track in Australia is not. Bottas returns to Melbourne as the Australian Grand Prix defending champion and has tallied three career top five finishes at Albert Park. And for those looking for a value wager in the Australian Grand Prix odds, Bottas is an intriguing option as a +220 bet to crack the top six.

The Picks: Max Verstappen to claim pole position, fastest lap, and win race (+430); Valtteri Bottas top six (+220)

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