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Formula 1 2022 Mexican Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

Updated Oct 27, 2022 · 4:32 PM PDT

Red Bull Racing Limited driver Sergio Perez racing in Austin, Texas
Oct 21, 2022; Austin, Texas, USA; A view of sunset and the Texas flag as Red Bull Racing Limited driver Sergio Perez (11) of Team Mexico drives during practice for the U.S. Grand Prix at the Circuit of the Americas. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
  • Max Verstappen is favored to claim a record fourth career win at this weekend’s Mexican Grand Prix
  • The race represents a homecoming for Sergio Perez, who remains just two points back in the battle for second place in the F1 Drivers Standings
  • Read on for the 2022 Mexican Grand Prix odds and predictions

Sergio Perez will be aiming to become the first Mexican driver ever to capture the checkered flag at the Mexican Grand Prix this Sunday. Perez hits the track as a +380 second-favorite in the Formula 1 Mexican Grand Prix odds, trailing Red Bull Racing teammate Max Verstappen, who is coming off his 14th win of the season last week in Austin.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s running of the 2022 Mexican Grand Prix at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez in Mexico City, with race time set for 4:00pm ET.

2022 Mexican Grand Prix Odds

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top Ten
Max Verstappen -175 -450 -600 -700
Sergio Perez +380 -125 -550 -650
Charles Leclerc +550 -200 -550 -650
Lewis Hamilton +1200 +130 -550 -650
Carlos Sainz Jr. +1500 +130 -550 -650
George Russell +2800 +180 -550 -650
Lando Norris +25000 +1600 +100 -400
Fernando Alonso +25000 +1800 +100 -360
Esteban Ocon +50000 +3500 +300 -225
Lance Stroll +50000 +6500 +900 +150
Pierre Gasly +50000 +6500 +1400 +150
Sebastian Vettel +50000 +5000 +700 -120
Valtteri Bottas +50000 +13000 +1400 +160
Daniel Ricciardo +50000 +5000 +750 +180
Kevin Magnussen +90000 +15000 +2200 +200
Zhou Guanyu +90000 +25000 +3500 +250
Mick Schumacher +90000 +25000 +3000 +300
Nicholas Latifi +90000 +30000 +10000 +1400
Yuki Tsunoda +90000 +20000 +2800 +300
Alex Albon +90000 +20000 +2800 +300

Odds as of October 27, 2022, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings Sportsbook promo code or check out this list of best sports betting sites

Verstappen is pegged as a short -175 bet to win this race for a record fourth time. Three drivers are odds-on favorites to finish on the podium: Verstappen (-450), Charles Leclerc (-200), and Perez (-125).



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Homecoming for Checo

We have talked about Sergio Perez at great length in this season’s race previews, and with good reason. The “Mexican Minister of Defense” has played a crucial role in Max Verstappen’s march to a second straight F1 Drivers title and Red Bull’s successful bid to claim this season’s F1 Constructors crown.

A two-time race winner over his nine trips to the podium this season, “Checo” remains in reach of second place in the F1 Drivers Standings, just two points back of Ferrari rival Charles Leclerc. And considering Checo’s consistent driving this season, which has produced top six finishes in all but one of the races he has completed this season, capped by a fourth-place performance in a damaged car last week, a 1-2 finish by the Red Bull duo is a good bet.

The first Mexican driver to lead the Mexican Grand Prix, Checo turned in a career-best third-place finish at this event last season, and with Red Bull now facing no pressure after clinching the Constructors title last week, Perez is likely to be unleashed by the team this weekend in a bid to give the hometown fans something to cheer about. While overtaking a red-hot Verstappen will be a challenge, f1 betting fans should be getting on Red Bull as a solid +120 bet to produce a double finish in Mexico City for the second time in as many years.

Mexican Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory
2019 Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing 1.766 sec
2020 Cancelled due to COVID-19 pandemic
2019 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 1.766 sec
2018 Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing 17.316 sec
2017 Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing 19.678 sec
2016 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 8.354 sec
2015 Nico Rosberg – Mercedes 1.954 sec

Sainz Snake Bitten

It is a different story for Ferrari’s Carlos Sainz Jr. as the scene shifts to Mexico City. A threat to challenge for second place in the Standings after powering to an impressive third-place finish on a wet track in Singapore, Sainz has been forced to retire early from each of the past two events due to collisions that have limited him to fewer than four completed laps over that stretch.

Overall, Sainz has been forced to retire from six of this season’s 19 races to date, leaving sports bettors wondering whether there is more value in the +120 odds of the talented Spaniard earning his ninth podium of the season, or the +330 odds of him failing to classify on Sunday. Considering Sainz steady run of bad luck, and far from stellar past results in Mexico City, where an average of more than three drivers have failed to classify over the past four editions of this race, a value bet on Sainz to not classify is worth considering.

The Picks: Red Bull double podium (+120); Carlos Sainz Jr. not classified (+330)


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