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Formula 1 2022 Monaco Grand Prix Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

May 26, 2022 · 12:22 PM PDT

May 8, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Red Bull driver Max Verstappen and Ferrari driver Carlos Sainz celebrate following the Miami Grand Prix at Miami International Autodrome. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
  • Charles Leclerc returns to his hometown of Monte Carlo as the betting favorite in this weekend’s Monaco Grand Prix
  • Leclerc has three wins to date this season, but trails defending champion Max Verstappen by six points in the F1 Drivers Standings
  • Read on for all the Monaco Grand Prix odds and trends ahead of Sunday morning’s race at Circuit de Monte Carlo

Charles Leclerc will be aiming to reclaim first place in the Formula 1 Drivers Standings when he hits the track in front of hometown fans as this weekend’s running of the 2022 Monaco Grand Prix as a -105 betting favorite. Leclerc was robbed of a near certain victory last weekend in Barcelona, where he had established a dominating lead before being forced out of the Spanish Grand Prix by technical problems.

That opened the door for Max Verstappen to claim the win and retake the top of the Standings. But despite taking home the checkered flag in every race he has completed this season, and returning to Monaco as the defending champion in this event, Verstappen lags as +120 second favorite.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday’s running of the 2022 Monaco Grand Prix at 9:00am ET at Circuit de Monte Carlo.

Odds to Win 2022 Monaco Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top 10
Charles Leclerc -105 -300 -500 -600
Max Verstappen +120 -300 -450 -600
Carlos Sainz +2000 +120 -300 -450
George Russell +2000 +200 -300 -450
Lewis Hamilton +2000 +210 -300 -450
Sergio Perez +2500 +165 -300 -450
Valtteri Bottas +10000 +475 +175 -360
Lando Norris +20000 +1000 +145 -200
Fernando Alonso +25000 +1600 +275 -190
Esteban Ocon +30000 +2000 +350 -175
Daniel Ricciardo +40000 +2200 +400 +100
Mick Schumacher +50000 +2800 +1000 +245
Yuki Tsunoda +80000 +13000 +1400 +165
Pierre Gasly +80000 +4000 +750 +125
Sebastian Vettel +80000 +20000 +2200 +265
Lance Stroll +80000 +20000 +2800 +330
Kevin Magnussen +80000 +1800 +450 -140
Guanyu Zhou +80000 +13000 +1400 +200
Alexander Albon +80000 +20000 +6500 +350
Nicholas Latifi +90000 +40000 +15000 +1800

Odds as of May 26, 2022, at at DraftKings Sportsbook.

 

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Leclerc Battling Track Record of Futility in Home Race

The biggest story of the Formula 1 season so far has been the breakthrough performance of Charles Leclerc and his Ferrari teammate Carlos Sainz Jr. The duo have been dominant when they have managed to finish races, with Leclerc tallying a pair of wins and two second-place finishes and Sainz reaching the podium in three of the four races he has completed. But while Sainz has shown steady improvement in Monte Carlo, capped by second-place performance a year ago, Leclerc has struggled in his home race.

The 24-year-old was set to start on the pole at last year’s race until a driveshaft problem forced him to withdraw just before lights out. Overall, Leclerc has now failed to finish in each of his three career appearances in Monte Carlo. Complicating matters for Leclerc is the mysterious power unit failure that ended his day in Barcelona, and which has not been fully explained by Ferrari.

Despite his past woes in his hometown race, Leclerc remains a worthy -125 favorite to once again finish tops in qualifying and seize the pole position for the fifth time this season. And after overcoming a spin out early on to claim fourth place in Barcelona, Sainz remains a solid high-value +120 bet to reach the podium for the fourth time this season.

Monaco Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory Pole Position Fastest Lap
2021 Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing 8.968 sec Charles Leclerc – Ferrari Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2020 Race Cancelled due to COVID-19 Pandemic n/a n/a n/a
2019 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 2.062 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Pierre Gasly – Red Bull Racing
2018 Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull Racing 7.336 sec Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull Racing Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing
2017 Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari 3.1450 sec Kimi Raikkonen – Ferrari Sergio Perez – Force India
2016 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 7.252 sec Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull Racing Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2015 Nico Rosberg – Mercedes 4.486 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull Racing

Can Verstappen Make It Four in a Row?

A combination of steady driving, teamwork, and good luck factored into Max Verstappen’s victory in Barcelona last weekend. The defending champion looked destined for a second-place finish at best while struggling with technical problems that limited his ability to take advantage of DRS before taking over the lead in the wake of Leclerc’s misfortune.

Now enjoying a three-race win streak and a six-point edge over Leclerc in the Standings, Verstappen is also poised to win four straight races for the first time in his career. Given his recent success in Monaco, the 24-year-old remains worthy of a value bet to earn the win. However, in addition to stiff competition from Ferrari, concerns linger over tensions within the Red Bull camp after Verstappen’s teammate Sergio Perez was forced by team orders to relinquish the lead to the defending champion in Barcelona despite enjoying better pace and avoiding technical issues.

Nicknamed the “Mexican Minister of Defence” by Verstappen for his impressive exploits on the track that directly contributed to Verstappen’s championship victory last season, Perez seemed less than delighted at settling for second place last weekend. Could that result in a more selfish and aggressive approach to Sunday’s race from “Checo”, who has finished top four in Monaco on two previous occasions, and is pegged as a +165 bet to reach the podium this weekend? Given those unknowns, it is tough to get enthusiastic about backing the talented 30-year-old this time around.

The Picks: Charles Leclerc win qualifying (-125); Carlos Sainz Jr. podium finish (+120)

 

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