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Formula 1 2022 United States Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

Oct 22, 2022 · 9:27 AM PDT

Jun 19, 2022; Montreal, Quebec, CAN; Red Bull Racing driver Max Verstappen of The Netherlands on the starting grid before the Montreal Grand Prix at Circuit Gilles Villeneuve. Mandatory Credit: David Kirouac-USA TODAY Sports
  • In the wake of his title-clinching win, Max Verstappen has emerged as a heavy favorite to win the United States Grand Prix
  • Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc sits second in the odds, just ahead of Lewis Hamilton and Sergio Perez
  • See the 2022 United States Grand Prix predictions and odds for Sunday’s race at Circuit of the Americas

The pressure is off Max Verstappen after clinching a second straight Formula 1 title two weeks ago in Japan. However, that has not dimmed the 24-year-old’s odds to extend his lead atop the F1 Drivers Standings with his 13th win of the season when he hits the track for Sunday’s running of the 2022 United States Grand Prix as a lofty -225 favorite.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s running of the 2022 United States Grand Prix at Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas, with race time set for 3:00pm ET.

Odds to Win 2022 United States Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top Ten
Max Verstappen -225 -400 -600 -750
Charles Leclerc +650 -110 -550 -700
Lewis Hamilton +750 -105 -550 -700
Sergio Perez +850 -120 -550 -700
Carlos Sainz Jr. +1600 +120 -500 -600
George Russell +1700 +135 -550 -700
Lando Norris +20000 +1400 -105 -360
Fernando Alonso +20000 +2000 +135 -300
Esteban Ocon +25000 +2000 +260 -300
Kevin Magnussen +50000 +10000 +2000 +280
Pierre Gasly +50000 +8000 +1200 +140
Sebastian Vettel +50000 +4000 +850 -120
Valtteri Bottas +50000 +10000 +1200 +150
Daniel Ricciardo +50000 +5000 +400 +110
Lance Stroll +90000 +10000 +1800 +165
Zhou Guanyu +90000 +15000 +2800 +275
Mick Schumacher +90000 +13000 +2500 +400
Nicholas Latifi +90000 +25000 +10000 +1200
Yuki Tsunoda +90000 +10000 +1800 +225
Alex Albon +90000 +13000 +3500 +350

Odds at DraftKings as of October 20, 2022.

Verstappen’s odds to win sit as -225 while second-favorite LeClerc is back at +650. Hamilton (+750) and Perez (+850) are the only other drivers shorter than +1600.



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Time for Checo to Shine

With this season’s F1 championship crown now clinched by Verstappen, the focus shifts to the battle for second place in the F1 Drivers Standings, where Sergio Perez leads Charles Leclerc by just a single point. Perez has proven to be an outstanding addition to Red Bull Racing since joining the team just prior to last season.

Anointed with the nickname “Mexican Minister of Defense” by Verstappen, it is unlikely that the reigning champion would have earned his first title last season had it not been for Perez’ consistent driving, which often involved running interference for Verstappen.

But with the championship now assured, the possibility of a role reversal down the stretch by the Red Bull teammates is very real. Indeed, “Checo” has come upon his lofty position in the standings honestly. The 32-year-old has tallied a pair of wins this season, and reached the podium on nine occasions. And as a third-place finisher at this event last year, Perez offers impressive value as a +850 bet to take home the checkered flag on Sunday.

United States Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory
2021 Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing 1.333 seconds
2020 Race cancelled due to COVID-19 pandemic n/a
2019 Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes 4.148 sec
2018 Kimi Räikkönen – Ferrari 1.281 sec
2017 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 10.143 sec
2016 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 4.520 sec
2015 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 2.850 sec
2014 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 4.314 sec

Can Mercedes, Ferrari Rebound from Asian Disappointment

While Red Bull continue to celebrate their second straight F1 title, their chief rivals at Mercedes and Ferrari look to rebound from a frustrating swing through Asia. The most consistent driver on the circuit entering the September break, George Russell finds himself reeling after turning in consecutive disappointing performances in Singapore and Japan.

Forced to start from the pit lane in Singapore, Russell was unable to make up ground on the narrow street track while driving to a season-worst 14th-place finish. His frustrations boiled over two weeks ago in rainy Japan as Mercedes essentially used Russell as litmus test to determine when to equip teammate Lewis Hamilton.

The strategy failed to pay off, with Russell finishing well off the pace in eighth, and Hamilton faltering to a fifth-place finish. However, given Mercedes’ overall performance since the start the beginning of June, and the German automaker’s track record of success in Austin, where they have won five of the past seven editions of this race, both Hamilton and Russell are worthy bets to reach the podium, sporting -105 and +135 odds, respectively.

As for the Ferrari duo of Leclerc and Carlos Sainz Jr., they could face huge challenges keeping pace with Red Bull and Mercedes on the lengthy straightaways in Austin. Indeed, Leclerc and Sainz were only able to secure spots on the third row of the grid in last year’s edition of this race. And while Ferrari merits consideration as a short -250 wager to produce a double top six finish, F1 fans should resist the urge to chase lucrative odds of a long awaited Ferrari victory.

The Picks: Sergio Perez to win (+850); Lewis Hamilton podium finish (-105); Ferrari top six double finish (-250)


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