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Formula 1 2020 70th Anniversary Grand Prix Odds & Picks

Lewis Hamilton's Mercedes in action
After completing the final lap on a blown tire to earn the win at last weekend's British Grand Prix, Lewis Hamitlon returns to Silverstone on Sunday as a heavy favorite to win the 70th Anniversary Grand Prix. Photo by @AutoTimesNews (Twitter).
  • After escaping with a narrow victory on a flat tire last weekend, Lewis Hamilton is a heavy favorite to win Sunday’s 70th Anniversary Grand Prix
  • Hamilton’s short odds are fueled by his spectacular record of success at Silverstone
  • However, a number of intriguing value bets are available for Sunday morning’s Formula 1 race

For a second straight race, the Silverstone Circuit will be the scene for Formula 1 action, with Sunday morning’s run of the 70th Anniversary Grand Prix (9:10 am ET, August 9th).

Lewis Hamilton is once again atop the odds as a -300 favorite. Hamilton has dominated at Silverstone, taking home the checkered flag in six of the past seven editions of the British Grand Prix.

Odds to Win 70th Anniversary Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top 10
Lewis Hamilton -300 -800 -1200 -1400
Valtteri Bottas +350 -600 -900 -1000
Max Verstappen +750 -200 -700 -800
Alex Albon +5000 +450 -250 -400
Charles Leclerc +5000 +350 -400 -600
Carlos Sainz Jr. +6600 +800 -120 -275
Lance Stroll +6600 +350 -165 -400
Lando Norris +6600 +800 -150 -300
Sebastian Vettel +6600 +1000 +150 -250
Nico Hulkenberg +8000 +1600 +300 -165
Daniel Ricciardo +50000 +5000 +350 -225
Esteban Ocon +100000 +10000 +1600 -150
Pierre Gasly +150000 +20000 +3300 -125
Antonio Giovinazzi +200000 +100000 +10000 +700
Daniil Kvyat +200000 +50000 +6600 +300
George Russell +200000 +50000 +8000 +275
Kevin Magnussen +200000 +50000 +10000 +450
Kimi Raikkonen +200000 +100000 +10000 +700
Romain Grosjean +6600 +100000 +10000 +600
Nicholas Latifi +400000 +200000 +20000 +1600

Odds taken August 5, 2020

Tire Troubles Almost Spoil Hamilton’s Homecoming

His win in his return to Silverstone last weekend came as no surprise to anyone. Indeed, we made a wager on Hamilton to pull off the hat trick our best bet last week. While it appeared that Hamilton would be well on his way to seizing the pole position, recording the fastest lap, and winning the race for the third time in his past six British Grand Prix appearances, last week’s finish turned out to be more of a nail-biter than most fans expected.

Hamilton grabbed the pole position for the fifth time in six years. After opening up a wide lead, the reigning F1 champion engaged in a duel with teammate Valtteri Bottas to see which of the two Mercedes drivers would claim the fastest lap.

Cashing in early on hat-track wagers proved to be the wise move as both Mercedes drivers were forced to slow down late in the race due to tire failure, with Bottas falling to 11th after blowing a tire, and Hamilton barely hanging on for the win after seeing one of his front tires disintegrate on the final lap. In a futile bid to catch Hamilton on the final lap, Max Verstappen smashed the track record while recording the fastest lap of the race.

Recent Winners at Silverstone

Race Winner Margin of Victory Pole Position Fastest Lap
2020 British Grand Prix Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 5.856 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing
2019 British Grand Prix Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 24.928 sec Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2018 British Grand Prix Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari 2.264 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari
2017 British Grand Prix Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 14.063 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2016 British Grand Prix Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 8.250 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Nico Rosberg – Mercedes
2015 British Grand Prix Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 10.956 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes

Cause of Tire Trouble Remains Unclear

Mercedes were not the only team to endure tire failure. McLaren-Renault’s Carlos Sainz Jr. also saw his front left tire blow out late in the race. The Mercedes technical team vehemently denied that the tire failures suffered by Hamilton and Bottas were caused by the novel dual-axis steering (DAS) system deployed on the Silver Arrows. Pirelli, the manufacturer of all the blown-out tires, suggested that the decision to stick with the same tires for a long stint following the second safety car in last weekend’s race contributed to the failures.

Silverstone is a notoriously challenging track, both on man and machine, and the course layout particularly takes its toll on the front left tire, which is what failed in all three cases last weekend.

Nail-Biting Finish at British GP Fails to Shake Up Odds

So, what does this mean for this weekend’s running of the 70th Anniversary Grand Prix? Very little as far as the oddsmakers are concerned. In addition to being favored to claim a fourth straight victory this weekend, Hamilton is once again pegged as heavy -350 chalk to sit on the pole, and a +100 bet to record the fastest lap. In addition, the odds of any driver pulling off the hat track are slightly shorter than a week ago, listed at +225.

Given the stunning circumstances under which last week’s race ended, and uncertainty as to whether the tire issue has been addressed, wagering on the hat trick this time around is not for the faint of heart. However, in light of changes made to the track ahead of Sunday morning’s race, it may still be the best value bet of the weekend.

In response to requests from the FIA, track authorities at Silverstone have made modifications to the circuit, adding a 23-meter section of curb at the exit of turn 13, designed to keep drivers from running off the track at that location and causing tire damage.

An Unsung Homecoming for Lando Norris

While this weekend’s race is expected to be yet another Sunday drive for Hamilton, bettors are left with the challenge of unearthing value opportunities elsewhere in the F1 odds. Lando Norris is worthy of consideration.

Silverstone is typically viewed as Hamilton’s home track, but this season’s two races in Britain are also a homecoming for Norris, who is a native of nearby Bristol, England. The 20-year-old has shown steady improvement in 2020, his second as a full-time Formula 1 driver with McLaren, with finishes among the top five in three of his four outings, including a fifth-place run last weekend.

With uncertainty over the tire issue lingering, Norris sits as a respectable -165 wager to finish among the top six, and an attractive +800 bet to reach the podium.

Racing Point’s Hot Start Hits a Wall

Things do not look quite so good for Racing Point. After a devastating week last week that saw Sergio Perez test positive for COVID-19 and his replacement behind the wheel, Nico Hulkenberg fail to start due to engine trouble, the British constructor’s fast start to the season came to a halt.

Without the benefit of a teammate on the track, Racing Point’s Lance Stroll was forced to settle for a ninth-place finish, but still joins Norris as a -165 bet to finish among the top six. Hulkenberg makes his return to Formula 1 amid limited expectations. The 32-year-old German finished 14th in the Formula 1 Drivers Standings last season, and faces a trial by fire in his first race driving the Pink Mercedes.

However, Hulkenberg enjoys a relative strong track record at Silverstone driving inferior cars, finishing among the top ten in five of his past successful starts in the British Grand Prix, and offers exceptional value as a +300 bet to finish top six on Sunday.

Picks: Grid position of winner: pole position (-150); Lando Norris to finish top three (+800); Nico Hulkenberg to finish top six (+300)

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