NASCAR 2019 GEICO 500 Odds & Picks

• The GEICO 500 is scheduled for Sunday, April 28th at 2:00 p.m. EST
• Aric Almirola has the best average finish at Talladega since the start of 2017
• Kyle Busch has an average finishing position of 20.7 in 27 career starts at Talladega

The best stock car drivers in the world will make their way to Alabama and the Talladega Superspeedway on Sunday, April 28th at 2:00 p.m. EST for this week’s GEICO 500. Considered the second leg of NASCAR’s annual Grand Slam, the GEICO 500 is contested over 188 laps that each span 2.66 miles in length. Let’s take a closer look at the race to see who is the best bet.

2019 GEICO 500 Odds

Odds taken 04/24/19.

Logano Looking Good

Isn’t it somewhat odd to see Kyle Busch at +1200, a step behind the favorites this week? He’s been favored almost every week of the season.

Logano only has one win on the year but he’s coming into Talladega in great form. He’s placed third or better in two straight races, with the third-place result coming at Bristol and the second-place finish coming at Richmond.

Logano goes to McDowell for a chat after the race: pic.twitter.com/qbDZzVbQIN

— Bob Pockrass (@bobpockrass) February 18, 2019

He has a rich history here, which is another big reason why he is a co-favorite for this event. He has won three races at Talladega in the last four years, including last year’s win that helped him qualify for the playoffs. That win ultimately put him on the path to win the championship last season.

Almirola Runs Well at Talladega

Aric Almirola is another driver I would consider betting either as a longshot to win or in top 5/top 10 props.

Superspeedways have always been good to me. ?#SmithfieldRacing pic.twitter.com/GDkhsZl1kb

— Aric Almirola (@Aric_Almirola) April 24, 2019

Remember, he won at Talladega in the fall last year, which was his second career win. Not coincidentally, both wins have come on restrictor-plate tracks. Overall, he performs well at this track as he has five straight top 10’s here.

Almirola won at Talladega in the fall last year, which was his second career win.

Almirola has looked good in the races that have had the new rules package, finishing in the top 10 in each of the three races where we’ve seen it employed. He should do well here this weekend.

Suarez for a Top 10?

If you’re looking to take a flier on a prop that might pay out, take a look at Daniel Suarez. He’s fresh off an 18th-place result but that’s his worst in five races. He was eighth, third, 10th and 13th before that.

WWE star Rey Mysterio reacts to the Daniel Suárez/Michael McDowell fight from Phoenix. pic.twitter.com/kNdkXWKEe7

— FOX: NASCAR (@NASCARONFOX) March 18, 2019

This will be his first start at Talladega in a Ford, and while there is the variable of the unknown, keep in mind that Fords do well on superspeedways. A Ford has won a superspeedway race seven straight times. I think he’s worth a small bet to finish in the top 10.

Avoid Bowyer

Bowyer’s name might come up quite a bit this week as a driver that has had some success at Talladega, including a pair of wins. However, even with a strong track record, it’s hard to trust the driver of the no. 14 Ford with so many other quality options listed ahead of him.

It’s @ClintBowyer’s world, we’re just living in it! ?

pic.twitter.com/xtapVDNnul

— Watkins Glen Int’l (@WGI) April 18, 2019

Bowyer hasn’t won a race yet this season. While he has shown signs that he is headed in the right direction (four straight top 10’s), we need to see him notch a win before investing. He’s at 10/1 and I’d sooner bet Kyle Busch at 12/1.