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NASCAR 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 Sunday Odds and Picks

Denny Hamlin
Which driver is the best bet to win the Coke Zero Sugar 400 on Saturday? Will Denny Hamlin stay hot? Photo by @DiecastFans (Twitter)
  • The 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 race will take place on Saturday, August 29 (7:30 pm ET) at Daytona International Speedway in Daytona, Florida
  • Denny Hamlin has won two of the last three races at this track but is he a good bet to win this weekend?
  • A lot of the usual NASCAR favorites have very shaky track records at Daytona. Read our race preview and best bet below

Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin picked up wins at Dover last week and now the NASCAR series shifts to Daytona International Speedway. The drivers will gear up for the 2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 on Saturday at 7:30 pm ET. Hamlin has won two of his last three starts at Daytona but let’s see who else might offer some value on this track.

2020 Coke Zero Sugar 400 Odds

Driver Odds at DraftKings
Denny Hamlin +600
Kevin Harvick +900
Joey Logano +1100
Brad Keselowski +1200
Ryan Blaney +1200
Kyle Busch +1400
Chase Elliott +1400
Martin Truex Jr +1800
Kurt Busch +2000
Jimmie Johnson +2000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +2000
Erik Jones +2200

Odds as of August 25

Tough Track to Handicap

Normally, in our weekly NASCAR previews, we give you three different drivers to bet on. This week, I wanted to spend a bit of time highlighting just how tricky Daytona International Speedway is to handicap. Let’s just run through some of the big names and you’ll see how inconsistent their history is.

Kyle Busch has finished 14th or worse in six of his last seven here while Kevin Harvick finished fifth in February but prior to that, was 19th or worse in seven straight. Martin Truex Jr. is red-hot right now but he’s finished 13th or worse in seven of his last eight at Daytona. Meanwhile, Brad Keselowski won this race in 2016 but has finished 27th or worse in six of his last seven.

As you can see, you have to be really careful betting favorites here because they don’t always deliver. I’d even be very cautious betting outrights this week and probably stick to Top 10 props for everyone.

Hamlin Is Hot

As mentioned, Daytona a tricky track but one driver that has some reasonable success is Hamlin. He has picked up wins in two of the last three races and a top three result in three of the last five. Keep in mind that sandwiched in between those strong finishes are a 26th and a 38th, so the misses were big.

Hamlin is coming off a 19th at the Sunday race in Dover but he won the Saturday race. Prior to that 19th, he had either won or finished second in five of his last six with the lone miss being a sixth-place result at Michigan. He looks like he’ll be in the running for a win this weekend.

Past Five Winners at Coke Zero Sugar 400

Year Driver
2020 Justin Haley
2019 Erik Jones
2018 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
2017 Brad Keselowski
2016 Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Erik Jones for a Top 10

Erik Jones has only made seven career starts at Daytona but the results have actually been pretty good. He has a win, a third and a ninth. The other four results are 18th or worse, so that’s not great, but over his last four starts here, he hasn’t finished worse than 23rd. That’s not bad.

Taking a look at his recent track record, he’s finished 22nd, 12th, 11th, 27th, 11th, 24th, fifth and sixth over his last eight starts. That’s again not great but it’s decent. I’m mostly just throwing a dart here but I’ll be looking for him to place in the Top 10 this week.

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