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NASCAR Quaker State 400 Odds & Picks

NASCAR Quaker State 400 action.
The NASCAR series shifts to Kentucky Speedway for the Quaker State 400 on Sunday. Photo by AF.mil [CC License].
  • The Quaker State 400 will take place on Sunday, July 13th at 7:30 p.m. ET
  • The race will take place at Kentucky Speedway
  • Martin Truex Jr. is the two-time defending champion at this track.

The NASCAR makes the turn for Kentucky Speedway this weekend for the 2019 Quaker State 400. The race will take place on Sunday, July 13th at 7:30 p.m. ET. Martin Truex Jr. has won the last two races at this track but is he a good bet to win again? Let’s take a closer look at the betting lines and make some picks.

Odds to Win 2019 Quaker State 400

Driver Quaker State 400 Odds at MyBookie
Martin Truex Jr. +375
Kevin Harvick +500
Kyle Busch +500
Brad Keselowski +800
Joey Logano +800
Chase Elliott +1000
Kyle Larson +1200
Alex Bowman +1600
Denny Hamlin +2200
Ryan Blaney +2200
Jimmie Johnson +2500

*Odds taken 07/10/19

Truex Jr. to Triumph

Truex is coming off a 22nd place finish last week. Normally, that might be a turn off, but in each of the last four times that Truex has finished outside of the top 10, he has bounced back with a third place or better finish the following week every single time.

The fact he is a two-time defending champion at this race makes him a little more enticing. Truex does well at intermediate tracks as he has nine wins on them and has the best average finish (5.7) among active drivers on these tracks. I’m looking for a big rebound this week.

Elliott for a Top 10

Elliott was on fire at one point in the season, finishing in the top 5 in five of six races from April 28th to June 2nd. Since then, he’s struggled, placing 20th, 37th, 11th, and 35th. Last week was a crash-filled race that cost him that ugly finish but I’m expecting him to be in contention for a top 10 this week.

Since the start of 2017, Elliott has an average finish position of 11.5 on intermediate tracks. That’s the seventh-best score in that time frame. He’s also picked up a win. Over the last two races here, he has finished third and 13th, so I’m taking a flier with him for a top 10 prop.

Past 5 Winners at Quaker State 400

Year Winning Driver
2018 Martin Truex Jr.
2017 Martin Truex Jr.
2016 Brad Keselowski
2015 Kyle Busch
2014 Brad Keselowski

Bowman a Good Bet?

Fresh off his first career victory in the Camping World 400 two weeks ago, Bowman will be motivated to close the gap on the top five drivers in the standings with another strong performance this week.

Bowman has recorded top 10 finishes at Kansas, Charlotte, and Chicagoland this season.

The Hendrick Motorsports driver has recorded top 10 finishes at Kansas, Charlotte, and Chicagoland this season, so we are banking on him delivering another quality start at another 1.5-mile track this week.

He’s flown under the radar most of the season, finishing eighth or better in every race from April 28th until May 26th (six races). He fell back to 21st last week after his first win of the season, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him back in the top 10 here.

Pass on Harvick to Win Outright

There has been a lot of talk about Harvick’s potential after recording top 10 finishes in each of his last six starts in this race. However, Harvick has yet to win a race this season despite recording three poles and five top 5 finishes.

The fact that Harvick has been in contention time and again will serve as an indicator for some to bet on him to finally win this week. However, until he takes a checkered flag it’s probably better off to stay away from him altogether. Maybe a top 10 prop but I’m avoiding him for outright bets.

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