Updated NASCAR CookOut Clash Odds, Predictions & Start Time for Rescheduled Race (Feb. 4)
By Phil Bobbitt in Racing
Published:
- New schedule. Same madness. Updated betting card.
- Why we think Penske does the heavy lifting in the rescheduled race.
- Read below for NASCAR CookOut Clash odds, predictions and start time (Feb. 4).
Let’s try this again.
The sequel nobody asked for, but everybody deserves.
Bowman Gray did exactly what NASCAR races usually do: it laughed at our plans.
The weather we warned you about showed up in a big way, dumping roughly ten inches of snow on the Madhouse and politely canceling weekend racing. Then Monday. Then our collective confidence in calendars.
So once more, with feeling: Wednesday.
Boots-on-the-ground reports from North Carolina suggest the track is raceable, which is comforting, because I’m still chiseling my driveway free from the Northeast’s snowstorm ten days ago. Weather is fake, time is a flat circle, and NASCAR will race whenever NASCAR feels like it.
NASCAR CookOut Clash Start Time (Feb. 4)
NASCAR has ditched the heat races and amended the schedule. Practice and qualifying are set for 1:30 p.m. ET and can be found on the FOX Sports app and, apparently, FOX One…which I’m told is a real thing.
The green flag for the Last Chance Qualifier flies at 4:30 p.m. ET on FOX, followed by the main event at 6:00 p.m. ET, also on FOX.
My Apple Weather app says the Winston-Salem area could see a wintry mix during the race, which honestly sounds awesome. NASCAR has made four sets of wet-weather tires available. They’ve always been called “wet-weather tires,” though I’m not entirely convinced snow and ice were part of the original design brief.
“It’s a bold strategy, Cotton. Let’s see how it plays out.”
NASCAR CookOut Clash Odds
Odds via DraftKings on Feb. 4. Lock in your CookOut Clash predictions with a DraftKings promo code.
A Quick Look at the Odds Board
The delay gave the market time to do what markets do best: panic slightly.
Ryan Preece’s outright number has nearly been cut in half, tumbling from +3500 to +1800. Yes, he’s a short-track ace. No, I’m not sure a $17 swing with zero new information is entirely reasonable.
Meanwhile, our main horse…and newly bald Joey Logano…has shortened from +1200 to +900 at some books. I’m not saying we caused that, but if you locked it in early with us, bravo. You’ve got a great number and probably more hair than Joey and I combined.
NASCAR CookOut Clash Predictions
If you leave Steve and me alone with an odds board for three extra days, this was always going to happen. So here’s an updated look at where we’re putting our money for the rescheduled race.
- Ryan Blaney Top-3 (+180, DraftKings)
- Ryan Blaney Top-5 (-106, BetRivers)
We’re projecting a strong showing from Blaney, and we’re not shy about leaning into it. We’ve already dipped a toe into the matchup pool against Chase Elliott, but we want a bit more exposure.
Last year at this event, Blaney started 23rd, finished second, and ripped off 34 fastest laps. He sits comfortably atop our ranker and is a full standard deviation clear of second place in our short-track ratings.
That’s a very math-heavy way of saying: this guy belongs at the front. We wouldn’t blame you for grabbing an outright winner ticket, but we’ve already thrown enough into that market. The Top-5 feels like a free square, and the Top-3 is a clean add at the price.
- Joey Logano Top-5 (+175, BetRivers)
Logano’s outright number has tightened, but the positional markets haven’t caught up…that’s where we’re happy to live.
Yes, we already have exposure. No, we’re not stopping. We’ve been waiting three months to bet on race cars turning left, and discipline was never going to win this fight.
Logano ranks fourth in our model, finished second at the comparable North Wilkesboro All-Star Race last season (after winning it the year before), and placed fourth at this event last year while logging seven fastest laps. You don’t have to follow us here, but we’re willing to stand on it.
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- Austin Cindric to Win Group G (+200, Caesars)
This group features Ryan Preece, Connor Zilisch, and Corey LaJoie. LaJoie will be wheeling the No. 6 for Brad Keselowski, so equipment shouldn’t be the issue.
Talent, however, remains negotiable.
We already grabbed a sprinkle on Cindric’s outright win odds at +5500 (now +4500), so once again—well done, reader. That’s CLV. But the real opportunity comes from the Preece steam, which quietly inflated Cindric’s group price.
We’ve got Cindric projected a full finishing position ahead of Preece, with comfortable gaps back to LaJoie and Zilisch.
Over the eight short, flat tracks last season, Cindric out-qualified Preece by an average of 10.1 positions per race and spent 63.3% of his laps inside the top 15, compared to Preece’s 43.4%. In a shortened format, those gaps are decisive.
We’re beating the same drum, but we’ll happily keep doing it: we trust the Penske short-track program significantly more than RFK’s, and at +200, we’re more than happy to attack.
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Phil Bobbitt is a motorsports betting analyst and recurring guest on CBS Sports HQ, The Early Edge, and VSiN’s A Numbers Game. He and his pal Steve developed a racing algorithm that’s profited over 260 units and $1 million in DFS winnings since 2020.