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Atalanta vs Dinamo Zagreb UCL Matchday 5 Odds, Picks & Betting Preview

Gian Piero Gasperini has led Atalanta in their debut campaign in the Champions League
Atalanta coach Gian Piero Gasperini celebrates after his team held Manchester City 1-1 at home on UCL Matchday 4 and is now hoping they can keep their group stage qualification hopes alive at home against Dinamo Zagreb. Photo from @Atalanta Official(Twitter).
  • Serie A side retain very slim chance of finishing in top two when they face Dinamo Zagreb on November 26
  • Italian rookies earned point at home against mighty Manchester City
  • Zagreb won comfortably 4-0 in reverse fixture  on Matchday 1

The second qualifying place is still up for grabs in Champions League Group C but Atalanta’s hopes will be hanging by a thread against Dinamo Zagreb on Tuesday.

Manchester City are runaway leaders of the section and are highly likely to finish as group winners.

Atalanta vs Dinamo Zagreb UCL Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total Odds at BetOnline
Atalanta -1 +105 -169 O3 -105
Dinamo Zagreb +1 -121 +418 Un3 -111
Draw N/A +288 N/A

Odds taken Nov. 20

Competition rookies Atalanta need a win to stay in contention and would be eliminated anyway in the unlikely event that Shakhtar Donetsk should win away at City.

Dinamo beat bottom-placed Atalanta 4-0 on Matchday 1 but the home side are priced as -169 favorites to win in Italy on Matchday 5 on November 26, at Stadio San Siro, Milan, at 3:00 pm EST.

Zagreb are third in the standings and are +418 for a victory with the draw at +288.

Pep Thwarted at San Siro in Milan

Atalanta have gone up in the estimation of the analysts after holding Pep Guardiola’s star-studded City team to a 1-1 draw on Matchday 4 to earn their first point after three straight defeats.

It came as a surprise because they were hammered 5-1 when they visited Manchester earlier in the campaign.

Dinamo have drawn their two most recent fixtures. After sharing the spoils at 2-2 away against Shakhtar on Matchday 3, they drew 3-3 in the return tie in Croatia n Matchday 4.

Shakhtar scored twice in added time in the second game to deny Dinamo victory in dramatic circumstances.

Atalanta’s draw last time out and Zagreb’s two successive level results makes the draw looks the most promising value in this match.

After their opening victory against Atalanta, Dinamo lost their second game on Matchday 2 by 2-0 away at Manchester City.

Atalanta’s draw last time out and Zagreb’s two successive level results makes the draw looks the most promising value in this match – although +418 is a good price for a Dynamo away win.

The Italians are first-time entrants to the Champions League and play home fixtures at the San Siro Stadium in Milan rather than at their own arena in the city of Bergamo.

City lead the group with 10 points while second-placed Shakhtar and third-placed Dinamo have five each. Atalanta have one.

Dinamo Knockout Stage Hopes on Brink

Dinamo will be unable to finish second if they lose against Atalanta and Shakhtar beat City.

Mislav Oršić hit a hat-trick for Dinamo after Marin Leovac’s early strike in the 4-0 opening day win against Atalanta.

It put an end to an 11-match losing streak in the UCL’s group stages for Dinamo.

They led this season’s Croatian league table after 14 games with 11 wins, one draw and two defeats.

Although they have only one point this season, Atalanta’s home record overall in European competition is impressive.

In Serie A, Atalanta were in fifth place after 12 games with six wins, four defeats and two draws.

Atalanta vs Dinamo Zagreb Statistics

Atalanta
VS
Dinamo Zagreb

0 Wins 1
3 Losses 1
1 Draws 2
3 Goals 9
45 Goal Attempts 36
85% Passing Accuracy 72%
48% Possession 40%


Although they have only one point this season, Atalanta’s home record overall in European competition is impressive.

The 2-1 defeat by Shakhtar in Italy on Matchday 2 was their first at home in 14 ties since a 4-2 defeat against Belgian side Mechelen in the 1987/88 European Cup Winners’ Cup semifinal second leg.

In a total of 19 European home matches, they have won 10, drawn seven and lost only twice,

Zagreb’s draw at Shakhtar on Matchday 5 ended a miserable run of 13 successive away defeats for the team in the UCL group stage.

Pick: Draw +288

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