Atlas vs León Odds & Prediction – Liga MX Apertura Finals Leg 2

• Atlas plays host as it seeks its first title since 1951 with kick-off in Guadalajara at 9:15 pm ET on Sunday
• Holder Leon has a 3-2 lead from the first leg after a dramatic penalty ending last midweek
• See all the  odds, best bets & prediction for Atlas vs León – Mexico Liga MX Apertura Finals Leg 2

Leon holds a slender one-goal lead over Atlas heading into the second leg of Mexico’s Liga MX Apertura final on Sunday after a thrilling opening game.

After twice coming back from behind, Leon won 3-2 in the first leg last Thursday.

There was a dramatic ending as Angel Mena secured the victory with an 86th-minute penalty.

Liga Mx Atlas vs Club Leon Odds

Odds as of December 12 at Barstool.

Markedly, that took the Ecuadorian forward’s goal tally to six in four Apertura playoff games this season – having scored earlier in the tie.

Now the second leg is certainly finely balanced ahead of kick-off at the Estadio Jalisco in Guadalajara at 9:15 pm ET.

https://youtu.be/Z4oIce_gnpw

However, the oddsmakers at Barstool Sportsbook seem convinced that Atlas will come out as a winner on the night and makes it the favorite for a home win at +112.

Meanwhile, Leon is priced at +255. Furthermore, the draw after 90 minutes is rated at +200.

Fierce Contest Headed For A 90-Minute Draw?

At these odds, a draw is a good option here because this will surely be a fiercely contested game.

There is, however, an attractive Prop offer of +325 for the prolific Mena to score at any time.

This seems remarkable, given his recent performances.

The favorite to get on the scoresheet is Julio Furch of Atlas at +150 with Leon’s Victor Davila also at +325.

Atlas, significantly, is attempting to win its first Liga MX title since 1951. Leon, though, is defending the Apertura title it won last year.

Additionally, Leon has this year won the Leagues Cup which is played between teams from Liga MX and North America’s MLS.

Atlas host León in the second leg of the 2021 Liga MX Apertura final on Sunday, with the visitors leading 3-2 from the first leg earlier this week. https://t.co/Tv1l3FYINL pic.twitter.com/44qocriGeB

— AS USA (@English_AS) December 12, 2021

Mexico splits its soccer season into two separate championships.

Firstly, the Apertura is played pre-Christmas. Then, subsequently, the Clausura begins in the New Year.

Liga Mx Atlas vs Club Leon Stats

It was Leon who emphatically began the first leg as the favorite.

However, Atlas took the lead after just 11 minutes at Estadio Leon through Luis Reyes.

Davila Goal Got Leon Back On Track

There was, though, an equalizer before half-time when the Chilean Davila scored for Leon in the 37th minute.

The game swung emphatically back in Atlas’ favor when Argentine Furch restored its lead after 65 minutes.

https://youtu.be/n3IdxhEIU_Y

Then, moreover, it was down to Mena to deliver a second leveler in the 78th minute.

There was then a further twist when Mena scored from a spot-kick in the 86th minute following a foul on Davila.

The 33-year-old Mena has enjoyed a particularly productive post-regular season spell.

Leon was the more attacking side in the first leg while Atlas had a more counter-attacking approach.

He scored twice in Leon’s quarter-final second leg against Puebla. Then, additionally, he scored twice in the semi-final second leg against Tigres UANL.

The official first leg statistics illustrate how Leon was the more attacking side in the first leg while Atlas opted for a more counter-attacking approach.

First leg of the Liga MX final:

11’—León 0-1 Atlas
37’—León 1-1 Atlas
65’—León 1-2 Atlas
78’—León 2-2 Atlas
86’—León 3-2 Atlas

Second leg is Sunday night 🍿 pic.twitter.com/qieKaNvpZY

— B/R Football (@brfootball) December 10, 2021

This is likely to be repeated in the return game although, obviously, Atlas must show some adventure to wipe out its one-goal deficit.

There was 68 percent possession for Leon compared to 32 percent for their visitors.

Meanwhile, Leon managed 12 goal attempts to eight for Atlas.

Leon Dominant In Possession

Furthermore, Leon dominated the ball with 358 completed passes. Comparatively, there were 119 for Atlas.

Leon also had 110 attacks compared with 91 for Atlas.

Extra-time and then, subsequently, penalties will take place if the tie is level on aggregate at the of 90 minutes on Sunday.

Previously, in earlier rounds of the knockout stage, the higher-seeded team advanced in the event of an aggregate draw.

0.4- Both Julio Furch, from Atlas🔴⚫️🦊, and Ángel Mena, from León 🟢⚪️🦁, have an index of 0.4 xG (expected goals) per game at #GritaMexicoA21.

Also, they both average 0.4 goals scored per game.

Keys.#Final #LigaMX pic.twitter.com/9TAesYvlvt

— OptaJorge (@OptaJorge) December 10, 2021

Atlas finished second in the regular-season standings with Leon in third place.

Then, subsequently, Leon claimed its place in the final with a 2-1 win against Tigres UANL in the second leg of their last four meeting – having lost 2-1 in the first leg.

Leon has won five of its last eight meetings with Atlas with two draws and only one defeat.

Meanwhile, Atlas progressed to the final following a 1-1 aggregate draw against Pumas UNAM – with the Guadalajara-based outfit advancing thanks to its higher seeding.

Now, heading into this second leg, Leon has won five of its last eight meetings with Atlas with two draws and only one defeat.

#GritaMéxicoA21 I #GranFinal

FINAL!

🦁3-2🦊#PorLeonesisísimaVez 🇳🇬#OurPride 🦁 pic.twitter.com/SIZX9qaCcN

— Club Leon EN (@clubleon_en) December 10, 2021

Before the first leg, Leon was a 2-0 winner in the Apertura regular season last September.

This time, Leon surely has the experience to lift the trophy – with the draw after 90 minutes certainly being enough to hand it an aggregate win.

It is likely, also, that the in-form Mena will get on the scoresheet once again.

Pick: Angel Mena +325 (To Score)