Atlas vs Pumas UNAM Odds & Prediction – Liga MX Apertura Semifinals Leg 2

By Daniel Coyle in Soccer News
Published:

- CSyD Atlas vie for their first berth in a Liga MX final since 1999 as they host Pumas UNAM in a semi-final second leg matchup as home favorites
- Atlas posted a 1-0 win in first leg action, and hold a clear edge over Pumas in tiebreakers
- Read on for all the odds and trends going into Sunday night’s clash at Estadio Jalisco
CSyD Atlas will be aiming to claim a berth in a Liga MX final for the first time since 1999 when they hit the pitch on Sunday for the second leg of their Apertura semi-final matchup with Pumas UNAM as -115 home favorites.
Atlas put themselves in the driver’s seat with a narrow 1-0 victory in Thursday’s first leg action, extending their current unbeaten streak to four matches. Now in need of a win by a multi-goal margin to advance to the final, Pumas look to Sunday night’s clash as lengthy +320 underdogs.
Here’s a look at all the odds, trends, and best bets ahead of this Liga MX Apertura semi-final matchup, set for 8:00pm ET on Sunday night at Estadio Jalisco in Guadalajara.
CSyD Atlas vs Pumas UNAM Liga MX Odds
Matchup | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
CSyD Atlas vs Pumas UNAM | ATL -0.5 (-120) | PUM +0.5 (-105) | ATL -115 | Draw +240 | PUM +320 | Ov 2.5 (+125) | Un 2.5 (-160) |
*Odds at DraftKings as of December 5, 2021.
CSyD Atlas vs Pumas UNAM Betting Trends
Sunday night’s matchup marks the fourth meeting between these two clubs this year. Low scoring has been commonplace, with Atlas’ 1-0 victory on Thursday night marking the first time either of these clubs has found the back of the net in their past three clashes.
The win also marked the Zorros’ first over Pumas in eight dates across all competitions since the 2019 Copa MX, and their first in the league play since July 2017. Atlas have also fallen to defeat in each of their past three home dates with Pumas, while getting outscored by a wide 7-2 margin in those three losses. In addition, Atlas has managed to pot more than a single goal just once in their past 10 overall head-to-head contests.
CSyD Atlas Outlook
The stingy play that has highlighted the Zorros march to the Apertura semi-finals continued on Thursday night. With their 1-0 win, the club has now surrendered just two total goals during a steady 2-2-0 win-draw-loss run, extending an impressive run that left them knotted with Club America as the toughest team to score against during the Apertura season.
Atajada impresionante de Camilo Vargas de Atlas 1-0 ante Pumas en México. El colombiano es el mejor portero de la Liga pic.twitter.com/Z2A9LbjSe7
— Cesar Augusto Londoño (@cesaralo) December 3, 2021
While it will take a total collapse for Atlas not to advance to the final, the club still faces the challenge of overcoming a recent middling run on home turf. The Zorros have tallied just one victory in their past five home dates while getting shut out on three occasions during that stretch. However, they have shown signs of turning the tables while avoiding defeat in their past two outings.
Just when it looked like we were going to have a quiet end to the 1st half of this Liga MX semi, Atlas' Julio Furch steps up and smashes this shot into the back of the net. 1-0 Atlas. #LigaMXeng https://t.co/dvYC1V9moh
— Cesar Hernandez (@cesarhfutbol) December 3, 2021
For the second time in as many outings, Julio Furch emerged as the hero. The veteran forward lifted Atlas to victory with the only goal scored on Thursday night. The club’s leading goalscorer has now bulged the twine on four occasions over the club’s past six outings and leads the way as a +155 bet to score anytime on Sunday night.
Pumas UNAM vs CSyD Atlas Head-to-Head Stats
44 | Matches played | 44 |
18 | Matches won | 10 |
16 | Matches drawn | 16 |
10 | Matches lost | 18 |
65 | Goals scored | 44 |
70 | Points | 46 |
Pumas UNAM Outlook
With no away goals rule in effect, and tiebreakers favoring the club that finished higher on the Apertura table, nothing short of an epic offensive performance is likely to preserve Pumas’ hopes of advancing to the Apertura final. However, consider their recent performances on the road, this club could be up to the challenge.
Asà fue como termino la tabla general de la campaña regular del Torneo Apertura 2021 en la Liga MX.
Pase directo: Club América (Superlider), Atlas, León y Tigres
Repechaje: Santos Laguna, Toluca, Club Puebla, Cruz Azul, Monterrey, Guadalajara, Pumas UNAM y Atlético de San Luis. pic.twitter.com/FTg2mRADdq
— Zona Deportes MX (@ZonaDeportesMX4) November 20, 2021
While Pumas have struggled to generate offense on home turf, they have filled the net in recent road contests. The club has scored eight total goals during a 3-1-0 run on the road, capped by a dominating 3-1 win over Club America last weekend that propelled them into the semi-final.
🇪🇨 Washington Corozo scores to put Pumas up 2-1 in the #LigaMX quarterfinals vs. Club America!!!
— Warriors of Ecuador (@EcuadorHeroes) November 28, 2021
Washington Corozo was the hero of last weekend’s victory, scoring twice including the match-winner. A resurgence by the club’s leading goalscorer Juan Ignacio Dinenno would provide Pumas with a big boost. Dinenno has yet to score in these Apertura playoffs, but has racked up four total goals over the club’s past eight road contests, and is listed as a +220 bet to score anytime on Sunday.
The Pick: BTTS (+108); OVER 2.5 (+125)
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Sports Writer
Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.