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Australia vs Sweden Odds & Prediction – Olympic Women’s Soccer Semifinals

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in Soccer

Aug 1, 2021 · 6:01 AM PDT

Australian women celebrate goal
Australia's Sam Kerr, center, celebrates scoring her side's 4th goal against Britain during a women's quarterfinal soccer match at the 2020 Summer Olympics, Friday, July 30, 2021, in Kashima, Japan. (AP Photo/Fernando Vergara)
  • Australia and Sweden lock horns in Olympic Women’s Semifinals on Monday
  • The Aussies won a thriller against Great Britain in the quarters, while the Swedes took down Japan
  • Get the odds, analysis, and prediction below

Two familiar foes in Australia and Sweden clash in the Tokyo Olympics semifinals on Monday evening in Yokohama, with a spot in the finals against either Canada or the USA on the line.

The Matildas already tasted defeat against the Swedes in the group stages by a 4-2 scoreline. However, the Aussies were far from their best, missing a penalty and showing a ton of vulnerability at the back.

Australia secured a historic 4-3 win over Great Britain in the quarterfinals in extra time, while Sweden comfortably beat Japan, 3-1.

Australia vs Sweden Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
AUS vs SWE AUS +0.5 (+105) | SWE -0.5 (-175) AUS +425 | SWE -145 | DRAW +295 Ov 2.5 (-110) | Un 2.5 (-110)

All odds as of July 31st at DraftKings.

Tall Task For Aussies

After previously progressing to the quarterfinals on two different occasions in the Olympics, Australia now finds themselves in their first semifinal ever in this tournament. The task at hand though is extremely tough in Sweden.

The Matildas weren’t necessarily great in the group phase, going 1-1-1 and barely advancing through to the knockouts as one of the third-place teams alongside Japan. However, they secured a point in their opener in a scoreless draw against the US, lost to the Swedes, then beat New Zealand.

But Friday’s victory over Great Britain in the quarters was truly remarkable. It was a goal-filled encounter, with Chelsea star Sam Kerr equalizing with just minutes left in the second half to send the fixture to extra time. Aussie keeper Teagan Micah saved a crucial spot-kick in the 101st minute before Mary Fowler and Kerr fired home goals to secure their side’s spot in the last four of the Olympics.

Kerr, who is fresh off a terrific season for the English giants where she netted 27 times across all competitions, will be an extremely key component against the Swedes.

She’s already up to five goals in the competition while scoring a brace versus Sweden and Great Britain. The Scandanavians will surely be making it their goal to contain her production in the final third, but in order to pull off the upset, Kerr will need to find a moment or two of brilliance on Monday for the Matildas.

Swedes in Flawless Form

If there’s one side that has looked absolutely phenomenal in the Tokyo Olympics, it’s Sweden. They went a perfect 3-0-0 in the group stages, beating a very solid US team 3-0 then also defeating the Kiwis and the Aussies, as previously mentioned.

Along the way, the Swedes bagged nine goals while conceding just twice. Peter Gerhardsson’s squad took care of business in fine fashion against hosts Japan in the last eight as well. Magdalena Eriksson netted an early opener, but Mina Tanaka equalized just 16 minutes later.

Once the second half began though, it was smooth sailing for Sweden, with talisman Stina Blackstenius scoring a winner before Kosovare Asllani put her side ahead for good in the 68th minute from the penalty spot. Heading into the semifinals, the Blue and Yellow are the only nation in the tournament to win all four of their matches thus far.

The Swedes, who finished as runners-up to Germany in the 2016 Olympics, will have a hunger to get back to the grand finale and win it all this time around. Keep an eye out for Blackstenius, who has been the leading figure up top for Sweden with four goals to her name already.

Australia vs Sweden Key Stats


8 Goals Scored 12
8 Goals Conceded 3
2-1-1 Record in Olympics 4-0-0
3 Yellow Cards in Olympics 1

Australia vs Sweden Prediction

The Aussies will be seeking revenge here after a loss to Sweden earlier. The momentum from the Great Britain result will absolutely help them on Monday, but I still do believe the Swedes will come out victorious. Australia, after all, almost crashed out of the last round if it wasn’t for a last-minute equalizer from Kerr, who is frankly relied on too much by her team.

The Scandanavians should deservingly go through to the finals given how consistent and dominant they’ve been in Tokyo. The Moneyline still offers value along with the over in goals, considering the two top-notch attackers on both sides.

Pick: Sweden (-145), Over 2.5 Goals (-110)

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