Barcelona vs Real Madrid Odds & Prediction – La Liga Week 26 Picks
- It’s Barcelona vs Real Madrid in La Liga Round 26 on Sunday, March 19 with the Catalans favored in the Barcelona vs Real Madrid odds
- Barca currently leads La Liga by nine points with just 13 rounds of fixtures remaining
- Find our Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction below, where we look at the odds and offer some picks
It’s Barcelona vs Real Madrid in La Liga Week 26 on Sunday, March 19. Kick-off in the Camp Nou is at 4:00 pm ET. The home team start plus money favorites but are they the best bet for your Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction?
Barca currently leads La Liga by nine points, ahead of Real Madrid, and so with just 13 games left to play, a win here would see them take a huge stride towards their 27th title.
We preview our Barcelona vs Real Madrid picks, look at the odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and Barcelona vs Real Madrid predictions below.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Barcelona | +115 |
| Real Madrid | +215 |
| Draw | +235 |
The bookmakers have Barca listed as plus-money favorites at +115 with an implied probability of 47% for the home win, while Real are listed at +215 to win with a win probability of 32%. The draw is priced at +235 in the Barcelona vs Real Madrid odds, which is implied at 30%.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook on March 18.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Over/Under and Spread
With the benchmark at 2.5, the bookies have pitched the under at -105 and the over at a more tempting -120.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Preview
It’s been a return to the good old days for Xavi’s men this season who have had an outstanding domestic season so far, dropping points in only four of their 25 matches. Astonishingly, they have conceded just eight league goals to date.
While Barca has all but tied up the La Liga title, their form in Europe has been a disappointment – Manchester United knocked them out of the Europa League at the playoff stage – but to counter that they have already lifted the Spanish Super Cup and look well placed to lift another Copa del Rey.
#ElClásico is <48 hours away! pic.twitter.com/A59d3reOif
— FC Barcelona (@FCBarcelona) March 18, 2023
Cope Del Rey Also in Barca’s Sights
In the first of their Copa del Rey semi-final with Real Madrid – the away leg – they emerged with a 1-0 win, and with the second leg scheduled to take place at the Camp Nou on April 5, they already hold the upper hand.
Despite being on the receiving end of a shock 1-0 defeat at the hands of Almeria in late February, Barca were quick to bounce back and come into this El Clasico off the back of two solid 1-0 wins – over Valencia and Athletic Bilbao.
Real Madrid on Course For Champions League Success
A 36th La Liga title looks like a long shot for Real Madrid but they are still in with a great chance of capturing European soccer’s biggest prize – the Champions League – after disposing of Liverpool 6-2 on aggregate. They now meet more EPL opposition in the form of Chelsea in the last eight.
While Los Blancos come into this off the back of a win – they beat Espanyol 3-1 in the Bernabeu last weekend – their form has been up and down since the turn of the year and prior to last weekend, they had drawn their last two La Liga games – against Atletico Madrid and Real Betis.
🔜 ALL EYES ON #ELCLÁSICO! 🤩 pic.twitter.com/r8Hdt34AKS
— Real Madrid C.F. 🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@realmadriden) March 17, 2023
Good Away Form for Los Blancos
A big plus for Ancelotti going into this game is his team’s away form, which has been excellent – picking up 28 points from their 13 games, which is the same amount they have collected at the Bernabeu. They also have a good recent record against Barca to fall back on, winning five of their last six La Liga meetings.
In this equivalent fixture last season, Los Blancos won 2-1 – Alaba and Vazquez the scorers – and in the reverse fixture this season they won 3-1 with goals from Benzema, Valverde, and Rodrygo.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Team Lineups and Injuries
Barcelona Projected Lineup: Ter Stegen, Kounde, Araujo, Christensen, Balde, de Jong (F), Busquets, Pedri, Raphinha, Lewandowski, Gavi.
Injuries & absences: Dembele, Araujo.
Real Madrid Projected Lineup: Courtois, Carvajal, Militao, Rudiger, Nacho, Tchouameni, Camavinga, Modric, Valverde, Benzema, Vinicius.
Injuries & absences: Alaba.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head Stats
| 21-2-2 | La Liga record 2022-23 | 17-5-3 |
| 47 / 8 | Goals for / against | 50 / 19 |
| 14.8 | Shots per game* | 17.5 |
| 88.3 | Passing accuracy (%)* | 90.0 |
| 64.0 | Possession (%)* | 60.1 |
| WLLWWW | Form guide (all comps) | WDLDWW |
* Stats from WhoScored.com.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction
Real come into this game as the form team in recent La Liga El Clasicos, but Barca is one of the current form teams in the whole of Europe. And with a very recent El Clasico win behind them in the Cope Del Rey and still in plus money, the value bet here is the home win.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Picks: Barca to win (+115)
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Once just a sports fanatic, fan-turned-writer Gary Gowers has been featured on European television and radio networks to discuss several professional football clubs. His work can be found in an assortment of publications like The Metro, MyFootballWriter.com, and BBC Radio Norfolk.
