Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Copa del Rey Semifinals Leg 2
- Barcelona holds a 1-0 advantage over Real Madrid heading into the second leg of their Copa del Rey semfinal matchup
- The Catalan club are +120 favorites to win the second leg inside 90 minutes in the Barcelona vs Real Madrid odds
- Read below for our full preview, statistics and a Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction
The fifth Clasico of the season takes place on Wednesday at the Camp Nou. Barcelona are carrying a 1-0 advantage after their win at the Santiago Bernabeu, with the winner of this tie heavily favored to lift the trophy. Athletic Bilbao and Osasuna are competing in the other semifinal. We have the odds and our Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction for leg 2 here.
Including two meetings in March, Barcelona have now won three straight matches against Real. The Blaugrana are the most successful club in Copa del Rey history, having won 31 finals. They won the competition in 2020-21, while Real have not even reached the final since they beat Barcelona in 2013-14.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Barcelona | +120 |
| Real Madrid | +200 |
| Draw | +230 |
Barcelona are relatively clear favorites to win the second leg, per the latest Copa del Rey odds. A price of +120 to win the match gives an implied probability of 45.5%, while Real Madrid’s chances are just 33.3% of winning in 90 minutes.
Look at the +340 on Los Blancos to progress and the picture is even clearer with Barca’s one-goal advantage. Real Madrid have a 22.7% implied probability of reaching the final.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid odds as of April 4th at FanDuel. Use this FanDuel Sportsbook promo to bet on all Copa del Rey matches.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Over/Under and Spread
The over/under for this match is 2.5. There is a price of -118 on both the over and the under. Goals are clearly expected to an extent, with odds of -138 on both teams to score, good for a 58% implied probability.
Barcelona are one-goal favorites on the spread, but bookies clearly aren’t that confident in a comfortable home win with +340 odds on Barca -1. Real Madrid +1 is -165.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Preview
Holding a 12-point lead at the La Liga summit and with a string of Clasico wins to their name, it is no surprise to see Barcelona as betting favorites for this fixture. Xavi’s team have been rock-solid, conceding just nine goals in 27 La Liga matches. They had the better of the game when these sides met at the Camp Nou prior to the international break, running out 2-1 winners. It is just one defeat at home this season for Barcelona, which came against Bayern Munich in their disappointing Champions League group stage campaign.
Guti: “As a madridista, I am worried after your press conference, will you stay?”
Ancelotti: “Do you think I'm worried? I love Real Madrid as much as you do.”🤍
— Mikael (@MikaelMadridsta) April 2, 2023
Real bounced back from their latest Clasico disappointment by thumping Real Valladolid 6-0, including a quick-fire hat-trick from Karim Benzema. They have won just four of eight matches on the road since the World Cup, however, and the defense has been a bit of a problem. Carlo Ancelotti’s teams are not famed for being tight at the back, and it is only three clean sheets in eight matches across all competitions.
Antonio Rudiger’s absence obviously weakens Los Blancos. They still have the players to slow down Barcelona’s attack, particularly with Frenkie de Jong, Pedri and Ousmane Dembele sidelined. Yet, with how Barcelona have defended this season, it seems like Real need a clean sheet here if they are to overturn the deficit. How likely is that with their recent defensive record when considering your Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction?
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Lineups & Injuries
Barcelona Projected Lineup: Ter Stegen; Kounde, Araujo, Alonso, Balde; Kessie, Busquets, Gavi; Raphinha, Lewandowski, Fati.
Injuries: Pedri, Dembele, De Jong, Christensen.
Real Madrid Projected Lineup: Courtois; Vazquez, Militao, Nacho, Alaba; Kroos, Tchouameni, Modric; Valverde, Benzema, Vinicius.
Injuries: Rudiger, Mendy, Diaz.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Statistics
| 84 | Goals | 98 |
| 14.7 | Shots taken per 90 | 17.5 |
| 596.4 | Passes per 90 | 611.3 |
| 84 yellows, 6 reds | Cards | 72 yellows, 1 red |
| 9 | Shots inside the area per 90 | 9.6 |
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction
There has been 21 cards shown across the four Clasico fixtures this season. With a place in the final on the line, a very competitive encounter is expected under the lights on Wednesday. Each of the last two matches have had over 4.5 cards. The first two each produced four, but with the added spice of a cup encounter, we can feel pretty confident about chucking over 4.5 cards into a same-game parlay.
Real need to produce something pretty spectacular to buck the trend of Barcelona’s home form and overall defensive record. The hosts should go through, and Xavi’s team will be very well-organized without the ball. Just like Barcelona’s last two wins over Real, we are set for a low-scoring match.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Picks: Barcelona to qualify, over 4.5 cards and under 3.5 total goals (-105)
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Sam Cox is a freelance writer and sports junkie, who has spent the past several years immersed in the online gaming industry. He has worked with 888sport, Oddschecker, and Colossus Bets to name a few. Based in the UK, Sam also runs Franchise Sports with his brother.
