Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Champions League Round of 16 Leg 1 Odds & Pick
- Borussia Dortmund hosts Paris St Germain in Champions League Round of 16
- Erling Braut Haaland has nine goals in six games since the move to Germany from Salzburg
- Read below for a preview, complete with analysis and prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs PSG
Paris St Germain will take an impressive Champions League group stage record into the first leg of their last 16 tie away at Borussia Dortmund on Tuesday (Feb. 18, Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund, 3pm ET).
They won five games and drew once to finish top of Group A ahead of Real Madrid last autumn.
Now the French Ligue1 leaders will return to full strength after fielding a rotated side in a remarkable 4-4 draw away against 19th-placed Amiens last Saturday.
PSG are favorites to secure a win away in Germany in a meeting of two of Europe’s most adventurous sides, with sportsbooks pricing them at +133.
Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | pk,+ ½ -116 | +176 | Ov3, 3½ -116 |
| Paris St.Germain | pk,-½ +100 | +133 | Un3, 3½ +100 |
| Draw | N/A | +260 | N/A |
*Odds taken at 2019/02/17
Second Behind Barcelona
Their opponents are rated at +176 with the draw at + 260 offering the best value given both sides’ attacking philosophies.
Dortmund finished second in their group behind Barcelona with a less imposing record of three wins, one draw and two defeats.
They are placed third in Germany’s Bundesliga after a 4-0 defeat of Eintracht Frankfurt at home last Friday.
Since the conclusion of the UCL group stage, PSG have remained undefeated in Ligue1 and have racked up seven wins and two draws in that time.
They have also progressed through four rounds of the Coupe De France with the latest result a 6-1 thrashing of Dijon in the quarterfinals last Wednesday.
Could 2019-20 be the season that PSG's long wait for Champions League glory comes to an end? Here are 3 reasons why it could. https://t.co/QMB0ZJoc8B #football #soccer #Football
— Sportskeeda Football (@SK_Football) February 16, 2020
They believe this is the season in which they can finally make a big impact in the competition after opening their campaign with an impressive 3-0 win at home against Real Madrid.
Despite their huge wealth, their star-studded roster and their domestic dominance, PSG have failed to get past the last 16 of the UCL in each of the past three seasons.
Their potential 100% record in the group stage was thwarted by a 2-2 draw in the return meeting in Spain.
Despite their huge wealth, their star-studded roster and their domestic dominance, PSG have failed to get past the last 16 of the UCL in each of the past three seasons.
22 Goals in Last Five Bundesliga Games
Dortmund have recorded five wins, two defeats and one draw in the Bundesliga since they were last in European action.
They have scored 22 times in the last five Bundesliga fixtures.
The German club will hope to be inspired once again by the prolific goal-scoring form of Erling Braut Haaland, their $30 million signing from Red Bull Salzburg.
Thomas Tuchel: "I can't say that Neymar will be 100 per cent to play against Borussia Dortmund. "We will discuss and decide on Friday, the latest possible time to do so. We can't risk his fitness." pic.twitter.com/RIAYdWRNU5
— ROOTE SPORTS (@Rootesports) February 13, 2020
He has hit the net no fewer than eight times in five Bundesliga appearances since his arrival in late December.
The latest came in the defeat of Frankfurt. He has also scored once in the German DFB-Pokal Cup.
UCL Round of 16 Borussia Dortmund vs PSG Statistics
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 8 | Goals | 17 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 86% | Passing Accuracy | 87% |
| 50% | Possession | 54% |
| 11 | Yellow Cards | 13 |
| 1 | Red Cards | 0 |
While playing for Salzburg in the UCL group stage last autumn, he scored eight goals in six appearances.
The Parisians’ leading scorer is French World Cup winner Kylian Mbappe who has claimed 24 goals in 28 appearances in all competitions this season.
Five of these have come in the UCL, in which he has started three times and made two substitute appearances.
The team’s Brazilian superstar Neymar has 15 goals this season – with only one in the UCL.
Argentine Mauro Icardi, who is on loan from Inter Milan, has 11 goals in 18 appearances for the team including five in the UCL.
Neither Mbappe or Neymar played in the 4-4 draw against Amiens which was the first time Thomas Tuchel’s team had failed to win in 11 straight games since drawing 3-3 at home to Monaco on January 12 – a run of 10 matches.
Paris St-Germain most financially-powerful club in world https://t.co/ciyMAe1Rve pic.twitter.com/h4eSrNqOOi
— Daily Times Nigeria (@DailyTimesNGR) February 15, 2020
Dortmund and Paris have met only twice before in the UCL.
In 2010-11, there was a 1-1 draw in Germany followed by a goalless return date in Paris.
“Ole Gunnar has been very important for me in getting to where I am today”
Erling Haaland already had his heart set on a move to @BVB
by the time @ManUtd
made a move for his services. pic.twitter.com/lGpLyDJ15s— Benny Bernard (@BennyBenard4) February 14, 2020
In the group stage , Dortmund were beaten away from home by Inter Milan and Barcelona. They drew at home with Barcelona while defeating Slavia Prague and Inter on their own patch.
They also won away in Prague.
Pick: Draw (+260)
John Dillon is a leading member of the UK's sporting media, having spent three decades as a national newspaper soccer and sports writer, broadcaster and author. He has covered five World Cups, six European Championships and was Chief Sports Writer at the Daily Express for 14 years.
