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Bundesliga Matchday 21 Odds & Picks: Bayern Heavily Favored Over Leipzig

Allianz Arena
The Allianz Arena hosts RB Leipzig on Sunday in a top of the table clash. Photo by Richard Bartz. (Wikimedia Commons)
  • Bayern Munich have regained top spot in the Bundesliga after two poor results for RB Leipzig
  • Leverkusen and Dortmund matchup in crucial top-five clash
  • Schalke host bottom of the league Paderborn

Matchday 21 of the Bundesliga season is upon us. Starting in Frankfurt on Friday and ending at the stunning Allianz Arena on Sunday, there are a lot of crucial matches.

Werder Bremen welcome Union Berlin, a match that will have serious implications in the fight to avoid relegation. With Leverkusen and Dortmund facing each other in the late kick-off on Saturday, Schalke have a great opportunity to assert themselves in the top four contest as they host bottom of the league Paderborn.

The headline fixture of the weekend sees the league’s top two teams face-off in Bavaria. Bayern are heavily favored to get the better of RB Leipzig.

Bundesliga Matchday 21 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5, -1 (+113) -110 O 3 (-109)
Augsburg +0.5, +1 (-133) +265 U 3 (-111)
Draw N/A +270 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Werder Bremen pk, -0.5 (-128) +109 O 2.5, 3 (-110)
Union Berlin pk, +0.5 (+108) +215 U 2.5, 3 (-110)
Draw N/A +265 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Hertha Berlin -0.5 (-101) -101 O 2.5, 3 (-119)
Mainz +0.5 (-119) +220 U 2.5, 3 (-101)
Draw N/A +265 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Schalke -1 (-124) -192 O 3 (-125)
Paderborn +1 (+104) +440 U 3 (-105)
Draw N/A +340 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Freiburg pk (-111) +154 O 3 (+102)
Hoffenheim pk (-109) +160 U 2 (-122)
Draw N/A +245 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Wolfsburg -0.5, -1 (-136) -169 O 2.5, 3 (-108)
Fortuna Dusseldorf +0.5, +1 (+116) +400 U 2.5, 3 (-112)
Draw N/A +310 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Bayer Leverkusen pk, +0.5 (-115) +172 O 3, 3.5 (-121)
Borussia Dortmund pk, +0.5 (-105) +129 U 3, 3.5 (+101)
Draw N/A +280 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Borussia Monchengladbach -1 (+110) -145 O 3 (-120)
Koln +1 (-130) +340 U 3 (+100)
Draw N/A +300 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Odds Total
Bayern Munich -1, -1.5 (-124) -244 O 3.5 (-129)
RB Leipzig +1, +1.5 (+104) +480 U 3.5 (+109)
Draw N/A +440 N/A

Odds taken Feb. 7

Bundesliga Pick 1: Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin

Werder Bremen are six points and four places behind Union Berlin. The hosts will be full of confidence after stunning Borussia Dortmund in the cup in midweek and beating Union Berlin in the reverse fixture earlier in the season.

Home form has been a real issue for the Bundesliga’s fallen giants, however. Bremen have won just once at home in the Bundesliga all season and have conceded nine home goals since they last scored. Their attack has been one of the worst in the league so far this season – they are also likely to be without David Selke this weekend.

Union Berlin have enjoyed a decent season, and are edging towards safety. Matches like these present a risk of pulling them back into the relegation scrap though. The visitors had one day less of rest than Bremen, and for two teams dealing with plenty of injuries, that could prove pivotal this weekend.

This is a hard match to call. The “Under” looks a good bet.

Pick: Under 2.5 total goals (-110)

Bundesliga Pick 2: Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund

Five points split fifth-placed Leverkusen and third-placed Dortmund. Both teams are looking to bounce back after poor recent outings – Leverkusen fell to Hoffenheim last weekend, while Dortmund were stunned by Bremen in the cup.

This is set to be a cracking match. They are two of the best attacking sides in the league, and Erling Haaland is arguably the most exciting player in world football right now after an astonishing start at his new club. Defensively they are suspect – Dortmund are sixth in non-penalty expected goals against, Leverkusen are 10th.

Leverkusen have some selection issues in midfield with Charles Aranguiz out, Julian Baumgartlinger doubtful and Kerem Demirbay suspended. There’s good news elsewhere, though, with Leon Bailey pushing for a start after suspension. Emre Can could make his first start for Dortmund if they hold Axel Witsel back after a facial injury. Marco Reus is unavailable.

With four wins in 10 at home this season, Leverkusen haven’t been delivering at BayArena. Dortmund have won three of their last four league matches on the road – Lucien Favre’s side are the team to back here.

Pick: Borussia Dortmund to win (+129)

Bundesliga Pick 3: Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig

Leipzig looked like legitimate challengers not so long ago. They have hit an untimely blip, losing to Eintracht Frankfurt in the cup in midweek after taking just one point from their last two Bundesliga matches. Bayern have made it six wins on the bounce to return to the top of the table and look set to cruise to yet another league title.

Despite Bayern having nearly 70% of the ball, Leipzig took a point from their clash earlier in the season. A similar pattern is to be expected at the Allianz on Saturday – the visitors could benefit from facing a team that will attack them, allowing Timo Werner space to get in behind in transition.

With a solitary point splitting the top two, this match may decide how much of a title race there is over the coming months. A Bayern win will likely see them stride into the distance and Leipzig could soon be looking over their shoulder (a loss this weekend might see them drop down to fourth if Monchengladbach and Dortmund win).

Bayern should have too much for a Leipzig team that are in poor form. It could have been a different story if this match took place a fortnight ago. Goals are likely, but it’s impossible to see past the hosts.

Pick: Bayern to win, both teams to score (+120)

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