Chelsea vs PSG Odds, Picks & Predictions for Club World Cup Final

By Michael Harrison in Soccer News
Published:

- Chelsea duels PSG in the FIFA Club World Cup final at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ Sunday, July 13
- PSG is a strong favorite to win the FIFA Club World Cup for the first time
- See my Chelsea vs PSG prediction and picks for Sunday’s match
The final of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup sees Chelsea (5-1, +10 GD) squaring off with Paris-Saint Germain (5-1, +15 GD) on Sunday, July 13, at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ (3:00 pm ET).
PSG, the reigning Champions League winners, are significant favorites to claim their first-ever Club World Cup, and it can be seen on TBS and DAZN.
The table below shows the odds for the three-way moneyline, total goals, and odds to emerge victorious. Under the table, find my Chelsea vs PSG prediction and picks.
Chelsea vs PSG Odds
The odds are virtually identical across bet365, DraftKings and FanDuel, with all favoring PSG significantly. The draw (+320) is the same on bet365 and DK, with FD at +310.
The -167 odds on the moneyline for PSG represents an implied probability of 62.6%, while +425 for Chelsea is 19.1%.
The default total goals has been set at 2.5 O/U by all books, with the over a sizable favorite. PSG is -330 to lift the trophy and Chelsea +265 on FanDuel, and is almost identical elsewhere.
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Odds as of 10:00 pm ET, July 10. Read the latest news on bet365 Missouri ahead of launch on December 1st.
Sunday’s final will feature two of last season’s three European club champs, with PSG taking the UEFA Champions League and Chelsea snagging the UEFA Conference League.
Paris Saint-Germain secured their berth in the Club World Cup final with a fantastic 4-0 effort against Real Madrid and their former star Kylian Mbappe. Interestingly, in all six of their matches in the tournament, the winning side has had a clean sheet. Five of those times PSG was victorious, where they haven’t surrendered a goal, though there was one 1-0 hiccup in the group stage to Botafogo.
PSG has scored 16 times, conceding just one for a brilliant +15 goal differential. They’ve been incredibly balanced, with Fabian Ruiz the only player with three goals, two of which came in the semi-final against Real Madrid.
Chelsea has found the back of the net at least twice in five of their six outings, with their lone loss coming in the group stage, 3-1 to Flamengo. They made the final by defeating the Brazilian squad Fluminense 2-0, with both goals netted by Joao Pedro. Pedro Neto leads the squad in scoring in the tournament with three goals.
Chelsea will have striker Liam Delap and center back Levi Colwill back from their one-match suspension due to yellow cards against Palmeiras. Moises Caicedo will be battling to make it to the final after suffering an injury setback late in the semis, rolling his ankle. He’s training 72 hours before the final, so there’s optimism he’ll be able to play.
PSG’s frontline is dominant, and they’re ready to impose their will on Chelsea. In order for the Blues to hang around in this final, keeper Robert Sanchez must stand on his head to pull off the upset over the heavily favored PSG squad.
Chelsea vs PSG Prediction & Picks
- Over 2.5 goals (-175 at DraftKings)
- PSG moneyline (-167 at bet365)
Four of the last five Chelsea contests have seen at least three goals scored as they search for their second FIFA Club World Cup in the last four years. For PSG, half of their games in the Club World Cup (3) they’ve tallied four goals. Expect it to be a high-flying match that will result in over the listed 2.5 total.
PSG has been phenomenal for a long while now, and they haven’t disappointed at the Club World Cup. They easily took care of Real Madrid 4-0 in the semi-final, where they had just shy of 70% possession, and they have the best goal differential in the tournament.
Overall, the club has won ten of their last eleven matches, including destroying Inter Milan 5-0 in the UEFA Champions League final in May. Their -167 odds to get a result in regulation time is easily digestible, as they aim for their first ever FIFA Club World Cup title.
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Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 19 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.