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Croatia vs Scotland Odds & Prediction – Euro 2020 Group D June 22

John Dillon

by John Dillon in Soccer

Jun 21, 2021 · 9:43 AM PDT

Croatia vs Scotland
Scotland's Grant Hanley, left, and England's Marcus Rashford challenge for the ball during the Euro 2020 soccer championship group D match between England and Scotland at Wembley stadium in London, Friday, June 18, 2021. (Justin Tallis/Pool via AP)
  • Third-placed Croatians meet fourth-placed Scots in Glasgow at 3:00 pm ET on Tuesday
  • Neither side has yet won and both need a victory to progress to last 16
  • See all odds, best bets & prediction for Croatia vs Scotland Euro 2020 Group D

In Croatia vs Scotland, each will be seeking a first win at Euro 2020 when they meet in a final round Group D fixture in Glasgow on Tuesday.

Both nations’ hopes of advancing to the last 16 are on a knife-edge as each has only one point after two games.

And it could be that the winners here progress as one of the best third-placed sides in the tournament.

Croatia vs Scotland Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Croatia vs Scotland CRO -1 (+380) | SCO +1 (-175) CRO +120 | SCO +200 | DRAW +260 Ov 2.5 (+100) | Un 2.5 (-122)

Odds as of June 21 at FanDuel

The Croatians drew 1-1 with the Czech Republic in their second outing after being defeated 1-0 against England.

Meanwhile, Scotland earned a goalless draw against the English hosts at Wembley after succumbing 2-0 against the Czechs first time out.

As a nation, Scotland greeted its point against its old rivals from England with euphoria.

The truth is, however, that the draw was not a major boost to its hopes of getting beyond the group stage at a major tournament for the first time.

Indeed, only a victory will suffice for either Scotland or Croatia in their meeting which kicks off at Hampden Park at 3:00 pm ET.

Croats Ahead On Goal Difference

Scotland sits bottom of the group with Croatia in third place on goal difference.

At FanDuel, the oddsmakers favor Croatia’s chances and make it a +120 favorite – based on the fact that it potentially has more fire-power even if little has been seen of it so far.

Scotland is, meanwhile, priced at +200 because it has less quality in attack.

The draw is rated at +260. And, certainly, with a tense game in store, that offer looks the best value here despite both sides’ need to win.

Scotland has lost its midfielder Billy Gilmour following a positive COVID-19 test.

That looks particularly likely given the fact that Scotland has yet to score in the competition and a misfiring Croatian side – World Cup finalists in 2018 – has found the net only once.

Furthermore, the Scottish team has lost its important midfielder Billy Gilmour following a positive COVID-19 test.

That could significantly affect its performance because Gilmour was the most impressive player against England.

However, Croatia has never beaten Scotland in five previous meetings.

Croatia vs Scotland Statistics

Croatia
VS
Scotland

0 Wins 0
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 1
1 Goals 0
2 Goals Against 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
0 Clean Sheets 1

The tricky fact facing the Scots here is that it has to somehow replicate the emotional energy which drove its performance against England.

That was a match which seen as the tournament’s “derby” occasion.

And while Scotland’s disciplined tactical display was undeniably built upon good planning and awareness, the intensity of the two nations’ rivalry was also a factor.

Scots Need Emotional Boost

Of course, the need for a victory at its home stadium may hand Scotland another emotional lift.

But home advantage at Hampden Park was no help in the opening game against the Czechs even though the Scots created several good chances.

In fact, Scotland has now won only two of its past nine matches – underlining the fact that this final group match may end all square.

Patrik Schick scored both goals for the Czechs – memorably hitting home from 50 yards after spotting Scottish goalkeeper David Marshall off his line.

Croatia was certainly disappointing in its opening defeat by England.

It finally got off the mark in its second game, however.

The scoring was opened by Schick who put the Czechs ahead from a controversial 37th-minute penalty.

Croatia equalized in the 47th minute with a fine individual goal from Inter Milan winger Ivan Perisic.

This is the first time Croatia has failed to win both of its opening two games at a tournament since the 2006 World Cup.

Overall, however, Croatia has failed to live up to expectations – which perhaps should not have been so high, anyway, given that it has now won just two of its last 11 matches.

This is the first time Croatia has failed to win both of its opening two games at a tournament since the 2006 World Cup.

It can, however, still possibly finish second in the group if it wins in Scotland and England beats the Czechs at Wembley at the same time.

Scotland, too, might finish second if it beats Croatia and England loses against the Czechs.

Those outcomes would be dependent on goal difference.

There was a 2-0 home win for Scotland at Hampden Park when these sides last met in a World Cup qualifier in October 2013.

The Scots also won 1-0 in Croatia in June 2013.

The prior three meetings, however, all ended in draws.

And, in conclusion, that looks the most likely outcome against despite both sides’ need to win.

Pick: Draw +260

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