Czechia vs Denmark Predictions, Picks, Odds & Injuries (March 31)

• A World Cup berth is on the line when Czechia hosts Denmark on Tuesday
• The Danes sit 23 spots higher in the world rankings and are sizable favorites
• See my Czechia vs Denmark picks, plus the latest injury news and how to watch

Jump to: ODDS || PICKS || H2H STATS || INJURIES

The stakes could scarcely be higher when Czechia hosts Denmark on Tuesday, March 31, at epet ARENA in Prague. The winner will claim the final spot in Group A for the 2026 World Cup in June, joining Mexico, South Africa, and South Korea in an eminently winnable quartet.

Streaming live on Fubo TV, Czechia vs Denmark will kickoff at 2:45 pm ET (6:45 pm local time) and the visitors will enter as sizable favorites. Below, I have set out the latest odds (three-way moneyline and total goals), followed by the latest injury news, and my Czechia vs Denmark picks.

Czechia vs Denmark Odds

Prediction Markets

3-Way ML

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Kalshi

Denmark

50%

Tie

29%

Czechia

22%

Predict

The current prediction markets at Kalshi position the visitors as 49¢ favorites (equal to +104 odds) with the Czechs at 23¢ (+335) and a full-time draw at 28¢ (+257). With the three prices summing to $1, this is effectively a vig-free market.

Total-Goals Odds

Prediction Markets

CZE vs DEN Total Goals O/U

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Kalshi

Under 2.5

57%

Over 2.5

45%

Tie

28%

Predict

The total-goals market slightly favors under 2.5. The under is trading at 57¢ (-133) with the over at 45¢ (+122). Unlike the three-way moneyline, the O/U market has a 2¢ vig baked in.

Odds as of March 31st at Kalshi. Claim SBD’s exclusive Kalshi referral code.

Czechia vs Denmark Picks & Match Predictions

I am backing an exacta of +EV wagers for this high-leverage fixture. The underlying metrics point to a distinct advantage for the visitors. A deep dive reveals a glaring vulnerability for Miroslav Koubek’s squad: second-half defending.

While Czechia has been stable in the opening 45 minutes, they regress drastically after the break.

Pick #1: Denmark 3-Way Moneyline (+104 at Kalshi)

Denmark is perfectly equipped to exploit tired legs. They average 61.4% ball possession, forcing opponents to chase the game. Situational trends show 70% of Czechia’s goals conceded occur in the second half. Denmark has scored 11 second-half goals across their seven qualification matches.

I am taking Denmark on the 3-way moneyline to win in regulation at +104.

Pick #2: Over 2.5 Goals (+122 at Kalshi)

With both nations generating 20 goals during their respective qualifying campaigns, backing the over provides solid +EV. Denmark averages 2.85 goals scored per match, outpacing Czechia’s rate of 2.22.

Pick #3: Patrik Schick Anytime Goalscorer (+260 at Caesars)

Czechia’s attacking scheme funnels heavily through their premier target man. Schick has netted eight of his nation’s 20 qualification goals, equating to a massive 40% market share. With three headed goals already, Schick dominates the restricted area on set-pieces.

Schick is also the Czech’s most-reliable penalty-taker. His late first-half penalty against Ireland last week spurred his team to a 3-2 (PEN) comeback victory. He also converted from the spot in the shootout. He is as short as +170 at theScore Bet and his +260 price tag at Caesars will shorten before kickoff.

Schick anytime goalscorer is a high-value isolated prop play and, admittedly, a bit of a hedge. Though Denmark has conceded two or more goals in three of their last four away matches against top-40 competition. A DEN 2-1 CZE scoreline is more likely than 1-0 or 2-0.

Recent H2H History

While these two nations do not cross paths much, their lone recent meeting carries some weight. They previously last in the Euro 2020 quarterfinals, where Denmark secured a 2-1 victory.

Despite Czechia outshooting the Danes 15 to 11 overall, Denmark put more shots on target (6 to 5).

Team Statistics: WC Qualifying

Denmark clearly holds the statistical edge in creating quality chances. Their 61.4% possession dictates the flow.

Czechia vs Denmark Injury Reports

Denmark suffered a rash of injuries to their backline before the final qualifiers. None of Andreas Christensen, Patrick Dorgu, Filip Jorgensen, Rasmus Nissen Kristensen, or Kasper Schmeichel was named to the squad.

The good news is that Mikkel Damsgaard – who missed time for his club Brentford earlier in March – looked fully fit in Denmark’s 4-0 thrashing of North Macedonia last week. scoring the opening goal. He has been the primary creative engine for Denmark, tallying five assists.

Czechia enters with no key players listed on the injury report. Besiktas midfielder Vaclav Cerny (hamstring) was the only notable absence when the squad was named.