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EFL Championship Matchday 11 Odds & Picks: Norwich vs Swansea a Tempting +215 Odds for Draw

Buendia Norwich
Norwich City's star Argentinian midfielder Emi Buendia (yellow) will be central to his team's chances of beating second-placed Swansea City when they clash on Saturday on Matchday 11 of the EFL Championship. Photo by @NorwichCityFC (Twitter)
  • The 2020-21 EFL Championship is up to Matchday 11 with games taking place this Friday and Saturday
  • Reading currently lead the table, with Swansea, Norwich and Watford rapidly gaining ground
  • We list the odds for all 12 games and preview three, offering our best picks below

The EFL Championship – the English second tier – is already up to Matchday 11, and a compacted season, due to the covid pandemic, has seen an exhausting Tuesday-Saturday-Tuesday schedule for its 24 teams.

With the games coming thick and fast, there have been plenty of unusual and unexpected results and so there continues to be plenty of value for the bettors.

We’ll list the odds for all 12 of this weekend’s games, pick three to preview, and offer some best picks.

EFL Championship Matchday 11 Odds

Matchup Home Draw Away
Cardiff City vs Bristol City +120 +215 +240
Reading vs Stoke City +185 +195 +170
Watford vs Coventry City -157 +275 +430
Birmingham City vs Bournemouth +280 +215 +106
Blackburn Rovers vs Queens Park Rangers -104 +245 +275
Brentford vs Middlesbrough -122 +245 +350
Derby County vs Barnsley +155 +215 +185
Huddersfield vs Luton Town +125 +215 +225
Norwich City vs Swansea City +116 +215 +255
Nottingham Forest vs Wycombe Wanderers -148 +245 +450
Rotherham vs Preston North End +220 +220 +125
Sheffield Wednesday vs Millwall +180 +210 +160

All odds taken Nov 6 at DraftKings

Pick 1: Norwich City vs Swansea City

It’s third versus second at Carrow Road on Saturday as Norwich look for the win that would see them leapfrog the Swans and, potentially, take them up to second in the Championship table. Daniel Farke’s men go into the game unbeaten in six but have found goals hard to come at home and, in midweek, they labored to a 0-0 draw against Millwall.

Swansea arrive in Norfolk in good shape having, themselves, drawn in midweek – a very hard-earned and well deserved 1-1 in west London against a good Brentford team – and will see this is ideal preparation for the Norwich game, with the Bees and Canaries both playing in similar styles.

The Welsh side have been impressive so far this Championship season and have the second-best defensive record in the division – something that’s not always said of a Swansea team – and coach Steve Cooper has molded together a solid unit that’s effective in all three thirds of the pitch, as well as being easy on the eye. On that basis, there’s value here in the draw at +215, with these two having had seven draws between them so far this season.

Pick: Norwich and Swansea to draw (+215)

Pick 2: Blackburn Rovers vs Queens Park Rangers

Blackburn, surprisingly, start this game as odds-on favorites, especially surprising as they failed to beat Middlesbrough at home in midweek in a game dominated by the team from the north-east. For Tony Mowbray’s team, it’s now just three wins in their first ten games, a disappointing return after starting the season with two wins in their opening three.

QPR, by contrast, are improving after a slow start to the campaign and a 1-0 midweek win away at Derby County saw them leapfrog Blackburn in the table and go up to 16th.

The Hoops’ record against Blackburn isn’t a great one, with no wins in their last seven visits to Ewood Park, but they’ll have taken heart and confidence from the win in Derby, and have confirmed manager Mark Warburton’s belief that his team’s performances have been better than results have suggested. So, with Blackburn struggling to build on their early-season promise, there’s a real chance here of another QPR win.

Pick: QPR to win (+275)

Pick 3: Brentford vs Middlesbrough

Boro’s goalless draw in Blackburn made it nine games unbeaten for the Teessiders, who are up to sixth in the Championship. Under the experienced management of Neil Warnock, Boro unsurprisingly have the best defense in the league – just five goals conceded in their ten games – and head to the Brentford Community Stadium with confidence.

Warnock’s men, however, have been less productive in front of goal and are currently scoring at a rate of less than a goal a game; often the Achilles Heel of a Warnock team. But against a Brentford defense that’s not been as solid as their manager Thomas Frank would like, Boro will see this as a chance to get goals.

Brentford, who’s won twice, drawn twice, and lost one of their last five, were lucky to get away with a midweek draw against Swansea but do have the league’s top scorer, Ivan Toney, in their team. As a result, the Bees are the league’s joint-top scorers – 17 goals in their 10 games –  and so will give the Boro defense its toughest test of the campaign so far.

This Boro defense is stubborn though and won’t, in my view, concede more than once and so the question is can they score at the other end? I believe they will and therefore there’s value in the +255 for the draw but even more with the +550 on offer for the 1-1.

Pick: Brentford & Middlesbrough to draw 1-1 (+550)

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