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Lyon vs Monaco Odds & Prediction – Ligue 1 Round 10

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer

Oct 15, 2021 · 7:05 AM PDT

Lyon vs Monaco
Lyon's Houssem Aouar, left, celebrates after scoring his side's third goal during the Europa League Group A match between Lyon and Brondby at the Groupama stadium in Lyon, France, Thursday, Sept. 30, 2021. (AP Photo/Laurent Cipriani)
  • Lyon and Monaco matchup on Saturday, October, 16th
  • The two clubs are split by just one point in the Ligue 1 table after nine matches
  • Read below for the latest odds, statistics and prediction

Lyon and Monaco are two well-matched teams, as is reflected in the odds for their Ligue 1 matchup on Saturday. The hosts are priced at +125 on the moneyline, as they look to get back to winning ways after recording two draws before the international break.

Both teams are dealing with numerous key absentees. This is a fixture which neither side has been able to dominate in recent years, with the away team winning in three of their last four matchups. At least one red card has been shown in five of their last meetings, too. Another fiery 90 minutes can be expected on Saturday with these sides sharing similar ambitions for the campaign. Victory for either side would be a massive boost in the early contest for European places.

Lyon vs Monaco Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Lyon vs Monaco LYN -0.5 (+120) | MON +0.5 (-155) LYN +125 | MON +205 | DRAW +275 Ov 2.5 (-155) | Un 2.5 (+125)

Odds as of Oct 15 at DraftKings

Team News

Peter Bosz and Niko Kovac face some selection dilemmas for this match. Starters are unavailable on both sides of this encounter.

Anthony Lopes received a red card before the break. His suspension means Lyon will have to start Julian Pollersbeck between the sticks. Islam Slimani and Moussa Dembele are out injured, leaving Tino Kadewere to lead the line, but that’s not the end of their absentee attackers. Lucas Paqueta isn’t expected to be available due to a late return from the international break and Jeff Reine-Adelaide is a doubt.

Kovac is without Sofiane Diop and Aurélien Tchouameni due to an accumulation of bookings. Guillermo Maripán is in a similar position to Paqueta and is unlikely to play. Aleksandr Golovin sat out international duty owing to an injury picked up against Bordeaux, and it’s unclear if he’ll be available to start. Cesc Fabregas’ hamstring injury is keeping him on the sidelines.

While all of those players will be missed, it’s Tchouameni’s suspension that could impact this match most of all. His presence in midfield would have been invaluable against Houssem Aouar.

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Goals Galore for Lyon

A total of 27 goals in nine Ligue 1 matches only tells part of the story for Lyon. They are among the league leaders in expected goals for and among the worst in the league in expected goals against. It’s been an up and down season for Bosz’s side, but there are signs of improvement with just one defeat in their last nine in all competition.

Monaco’s success has been based on a solid defense, and generally lower risk passing. They are in the bottom half in key passes, while Lyon leads the league in that category. Both teams have enjoyed a lot of possession, but Lyon are the superior creative force when they’re on the ball.

Lyon will spring faster attacks with plenty of through balls – they rank top of the league in total through passes this season. Monaco’s approach will perhaps be altered if Golovin cannot start, but they will remain comfortable in possession, as is illustrated by their league-leading tally of passes when pressed.

Lyon vs Monaco Ligue 1 Statistics

Lyon
VS
Monaco
10th Position 6th
14 Goals scored 14
58.6% Average possession 60.1%
14 yellows, 4 reds Cards 19 yellows, 1 red
14 Shots per match 10
63% Shots inside the area 51%
+0.15 Expected goal difference per 90 +0.5

Battle for Control

An open match probably favors Lyon even with their defensive issues. They prefer to be slightly more direct than Monaco, who will be hit hard by Tchouameni’s absence.

It’s clearly a match that could go either way between two entertaining sides, yet Lyon are deservedly favorites.

Both Lyon’s underlying numbers and recent history of this fixture point us towards Over 2.5. It’s a short price, so it might be worth a small parlay with the hosts to avoid defeat.

Pick: Lyon double chance & over 2.5 total goals (+130)

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