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Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain Odds and Prediction: Ligue 1 Matchday 11

Kylian Mbappe
PSG's Kylian Mbappe (PSG) during the French Ligue 1 match Paris Saint-Germain at Saint-Etienne on February 17, 2019. Photo by Philippe Lecoeur/FEP/Panoramic/Icon Sportswire.
  • Ligue 1 Matchday 11 is incoming  with  PSG already the division’s dominant force
  • This weekend the high-flying Parisiens travel to sixth-placed Monaco
  • We list the odds, preview the game and offer some best bets

Matchday 11 of France’s Ligue 1 is incoming, with one of the games of the weekend the visit of leaders PSG to the principality to play sixth-placed Monaco on Friday, November 20, KO 3:00 pm EST. PSG already enjoys a five-point lead, even at this early stage, but Monaco can do themselves and the chasing pack a favor by avoiding defeat.

We’ve listed the odds, previewed the game, and offered a best bet below.

Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain MON +1 (-130) | PSG -1 (+105) MON +310 | PSG -152 | DRAW +360 Ov 4.5 (+215) | Un 4.5 (-278)

All odds taken Nov 17 at DraftKings

Familiar Look to the Ligue 1 Table

The Ligue 1 table already has an ominous look for the rest of the teams in the division. PSG’s pulsating start to the new campaign – eight wins from their opening 10 games – has put them in pole position with only just over a quarter of the season gone, and already the rest are playing catch-up.

The one positive that Monaco can cling to coming into this game is that Thomas Tuchel’s men have lost twice so far this season – against Lens and Marseille – but the flip side is these losses were in their opening two games of the season before they had properly kicked into gear. Since the defeat by Marseille, back in mid-September, they’ve won eight league games on the spin, scoring no less than 26 goals in the process while conceding just one!

Mbappe Remains the Main Man

PSG’s Champions League form has been less spectacular – two defeats and a win in their opening three games – but domestically they look imperious with goals coming from all four corners of their team. Unsurprisingly, Kylian Mbappé leads PSG’s and Ligue 1’s goalscoring charts with seven goals and five assists but is closely followed by a rejuvenated Moise Kean – on loan from Everton – who has scored five times.

With Neymar struggling for fitness, due to an injury picked up in the Champions League win over İstanbul Başakşehir, Kean looks set to partner Mbappé again on Friday, although the Brazilian may be available for a place on the bench. Either way, the task facing the Monaco defense looks immense.

Monaco vs Paris Saint-Germain Head-to-Head Stats

Monaco
VS
Paris Saint-Germain

10 / 5 Games played / Won 10 / 8
2 Drawn 0
3 Lost 2
17 Goals Scored 26
14 Goals Conceded 3
6th Current Position in Ligue 1 1st
9th Finishing position in 2019-20 Ligue 1 1st
8 Number of Ligue 1 Titles 9

Having finished a disappointing ninth last season, Monaco will be looking to improve this season, and while no-one is expecting them to be fighting PSG for the title, their early season form suggests they have a genuine chance of getting into the European places.

Their Achilles heel so far has been a tendency to concede too many goals but it’s worth noting that Niko Kovač’s team have only lost three times – only once more than PSG – and have won 50-percent of their games. In particular, their home form has been very good where they are unbeaten and have won three and drawn two. In the process, they have scored 12 and conceded six – a run that will give them some hope going into Friday’s game.

Wissam Ben Yedder the Key for Les Rouges et Blancs

Monaco’s top scorer so far this season is Wissam Ben Yedder with six goals and one assist – a record not dissimilar to Mbappé’s – but where they differ from the Parisiens is their lack of goalscoring options beyond their main man. Four players have scored twice, but the goalscoring burden falls mainly on Ben Yedder and if he’s misfiring it becomes a question of where the goals are coming from. His health and fitness remain crucial for Les Rouges et Blancs and only by having him available do they have a realistic chance of playing in Europe in 2021-22.

So, everything here points to a PSG win apart from the not-insignificant fact that Monaco are yet to lost at home. It’s a proud boast, one they’ll be keen to extend beyond this weekend, and two wins in their last two have at least set them up nicely for by far their biggest challenge of the season so far.

Expect Plenty of Goals

Monaco’s big worry is of course their defense, which is conceding at more than a goal per game, and it’s hard to see them earning a clean sheet – particularly with PSG’s awesome firepower – but they will fancy getting on the scoresheet themselves. There’ll be goals in this one and, for me, there is value here in OVER 4.5 goals at +215, but if you’re feeling particularly adventurous, there’s an outside chance of Monaco’s terrific home form being enough to earn them a draw.

Pick: Over 4.5 goals (+215)

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