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Odds Against Paderborn, Werder Bremen & Dusseldorf Avoiding Relegation When Bundesliga Resumes

Fortuna Dusseldorf are involved in a battle against relegation from the Bundesliga
There will sadly be no crowd scenes like this one at Fortuna Dusseldorf but league soccer is set to resume in Germany’s Bundesliga with a full fixture list this coming weekend. Photo from @fortuna_tr (Twitter).
  • Germany set for league soccer restart with nine fixtures after Coronavirus shutdown
  • Paderborn and Werder Bremen occupy bottom two drop slots
  • See all odds and best bets for re-started Germany Bundesliga  relegation 

Germany’s Bundesliga will return to action on Saturday to become the first major European soccer league to resume after the Coronavirus shutdown.

Bottom-placed Paderborn and Werder Bremen in 17th position currently look strong favorites for automatic relegation. Meanwhile,  Fortuna Dusseldorf in 16th could face a two-legged playoff for survival against the third-placed team in Bundesliga 2.

However,  among the lower-placed  group, recent form suggests that Augbsurg, Mainz and Hertha Berlin could struggle and may be sucked into the dog-fight.

German Bundesliga Relegation Odds

Team Odds
Paderborn -3333
SV Werder Bremen -250
Fortuna Dusseldorf -140
FSV Mainz +300
Augsburg +800
Hertha Berlin +1000
Eintracht Frankfurt +5000
Union Berlin +5000
FC Koln +10,000
Sport-Club Freiburg +25,000
Hoffenheim +25,000

*Odds taken at 2020/05/10

The 18-team competition was suspended on March 12 ahead of the 26th round of fixtures.

Once games begin again on Saturday they will be played behind closed doors with further games on Sunday and Monday.

Massive Favorites For Drop

Analysts have pegged Paderborn massive certainties for the drop at  -3333, which offers no value at all.

Werder Bremen are priced at -250 to join them with 16th-placed Fortuna Dusseldorf at -140.

Paderborn have just 16 points while Bremen have 18 . Dusseldorf have a tally of 22 but things looked up for them with one win and two draws immediately before the league was suspended.

The more inviting value is among the group above them with Augbsurg at a particularly attractive + 800.

Augbsurg have lost seven of their last nine fixtures with one draw and just one win.

Although they are in 14th place with 27 points, they lost three games in succession before the league went into deep freeze.

Indeed, Augbsurg have lost seven of their last nine fixtures with one draw and just one win.

It has seen them drop from 10th place in early November to their current position.

They face a tough fixture at home in their first resumption fixture against seventh-placed Wolfsburg, with the visitors undefeated in their most recent six games.

Their next two games are also daunting, with a trip to sixth-placed Schalke 04 following the Wolfsburg date.

Fixtures Against Strugglers

But Augsburg’s hopes of avoiding the relegation battle will surely then be helped by the fact that they have several dates against struggling teams.

Their fixtures include meetings with Paderborn, 13th-placed Hertha Berlin, 15th-placed Mainz and 16th-placed Fortuna Dusseldorf.

The last seven games for Augbsurg will include two against sides in the current top half of the table; ninth-placed Hoffenheim on June 16 and then, perhaps ominously, against third-placed Red Bull Leipzig on the final day on June 26.

Augsburg avoided relegation by four points last season.

They parted ways with coach Martin Schmidt on March 9 during the recent run of bad form and he has been replaced by Heiko Herrlich.

Mainz won only twice in the nine games ahead of the close-down.

Mainz are priced at +300 for the drop and are presently in 15th-place with 26 points – four points above the relegation zone.

They won only twice in the nine games ahead of the close-down.

They resume with a date away against 10th-placed FC Koln on Sunday.

During their run-in, they must face third-placed Red Bull Leipzig on May 22 and second-placed title-challengers Borussia Dortmund on June 16. They also have a final day meeting with fifth-placed Bayer Leverkusen.

Those tough fixtures perhaps make them a stronger prospect for the drop than Augbsurg.

But they also take on strugglers Paderborn and Werder Bremen as well as stuttering Augsburg.

Mainz Coach Axed

Mainz coach Sandro Schwarz was axed last November and replaced by Achim Beierlorzer.

They will put a lot of faith in striker Robert Quaison who is the Bundesliga’s current fourth leading scorer with a total of 12 goals.

Hertha Berlin are priced at +1000 to tumble out of the top flight.

In 13th place, they are a comfortable 10 points above the drop zone with a total of 28 points.

They won only once in the six matches prior to the shutdown with three draws during that spell.

Their remaining fixture list is demanding.

It is clear why the present bottom two are so strongly favored to head for the exit door.

After Sunday’s resumption game away against Hoffenheim, they must face Red Bull Leipzig on May 26 and Borussia Dortmund on June 5.

They also take on Bayer Leverkusen at home and then fourth-placed Borussia Moenchengladbach away in the final two games. Both opponents could be chasing Champions League qualifying places.

Even so, it is clear why the present bottom two are so strongly favored to head for the exit door.

Bottom club Paderborn lost five times and drew once ahead of the shutdown in March. They have lost 17 games in total.

Meanwhile, Werder Bremen have played one game less than their  rivals at the wrong end of the table after 24 fixtures.

But they have been beaten nine times in their last 11 matches – with only one win and a 2-2 draw with Hertha Berlin in their most recent outing in early March.

Pick: FSV Mainz (+300)

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