Upcoming Match-ups

Palmeiras vs Flamengo Odds & Prediction – Copa Libertadores Final

John Dillon

by John Dillon in Soccer News

Updated Nov 27, 2021 · 6:34 AM PST

Palmeiras players walking pitch, wearing masks
Joaquin Piquerez, left, and Gustavo Gomez, both of Brazil's Palmeiras, walk the pitch at the Centenario stadium in Montevideo, Uruguay, Friday, Nov. 26, 2021. Brazilian soccer teams Palmeiras and Flamengo will face off in Centenario in Saturday's Copa Libertadores championship match. (AP Photo/Natacha Pisarenko)
  • Holder Palmeiras meets fellow Brazilian giant in Montevideo at 3pm ET on Saturday
  • Both teams  have won the Copa Libertadores twice before with Flamengo triumphant in 2019
  • See the odds, prediction & best bet for Palmeiras vs Flamengo – Copa Libertadores Final

Palmeiras of Brazil will attempt to win its second successive Copa Libertadores title when it meets national rival Flamengo in Montevideo on Saturday.

The game is also, markedly, the second successive all-Brazilian final with South America’s most powerful soccer nation increasingly dominant in the competition.

Last year’s final resulted in a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo-based Palmeiras over fellow Brazilian side Santos in Rio De Janeiro.

Palmeiras vs Flamengo Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Palmeiras vs Flamengo PAL +0.5 (-113) | FLA -0.5 (-106) PAL +270 | FLA -109 | DRAW +255 Ov 2.5 (+108) | Un 2.5 (-134)

Odds as of November 25 at Unibet

Furthermore, if it is successful, it will become only the second team to retain the title in this century.

Indeed, only two clubs have managed that feat in the past 40 years. Sao Paulo of Brazil did it in 1992 and 1993 and Argentina’s Boca Juniors in 2000 and 2001.

YouTube video

Meanwhile, Rio’s Flamengo won the Continent’s version of the Champions League in 2019 by defeating River Plate of Argentina 2-1 in Lima. Saturday’s game at the Estadio Centenario kicks off at 3pm ET.

Flamengo Reigning Brazilian Champion

Flamengo is the reigning Brazilian Serie A champion. And it sits in second place in the current standings on 67 points with four fixtures remaining.

Palmeiras, meanwhile, is in third place. But it is eight points behind after playing one fixture more.

Those standings have certainly influenced the oddsmakers at Unibet . They widely rate Flamengo as the favorite for a victory at –109.

YouTube video

Moreover, Palmeiras is priced at +270. The draw after 90 minutes is at +255.

It could be stubborn enough to take the final into extra time. So that, consequently, makes the draw the best value option here.

The odds are additionally influenced by the fact that Palmeiras has not beaten Flamengo in the teams’ last nine meetings.

Palmeiras vs Flamengo Stats

Palmeiras
VS
Flamengo
3 Wins 6
3 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
7 Goals 18
2 Goals Against 3
14 Yellow Cards 16
0 Red Cards 1
4 Clean Sheets 3

*Statistics from Knockout Phase Last 16 Onwards

Altogether, Palmeiras has been beaten no fewer than four times by Flamengo in this calendar year.

It is presently also enduring a winless streak of four matches across all competitions. Flamengo is unbeaten across nine games.

Palmeiras Likes To Counter-Attack

That illustrates emphatically that the quick-passing, highly aggressive attacking style of Flamengo certainly has the upper hand against the defensive-minded and counter-attacking approach of Palmeiras.

Both these teams have won this competition twice before.

Indeed, Flamengo has not finished a season without a trophy since 2018.

It was unbeaten in the group stage of the tournament, although it won three and drew three of its fixtures.

YouTube video

Since then, however, it has grown more powerful on this stage. It won all six of its games in the knockout phase.

It has, moreover, been scoring goals for fun in the knockout ties. The team hit an impressive tally of 18 while conceding just three times.

 “Gabi” Barbosa of Flamengo is the leading scorer in this Copa Libertadores with 10 goals.

They scored a 5-1 aggregate victory over Defensa Y Justicia of Argentina. That was followed by a 9-2 aggregate hammering of Olimpia of Paraguay in the last eight.

They earned their place in the final with 2-0 home and away defeats of Ecuador’s Barcelona.

The team will look for inspiration to forward Gabriel “Gabi” Barbosa. He is the leading scorer in this Copa Libertadores with 10 goals.

Meanwhile, Palmeiras is justified in its belief that it has taken a tougher route to the final after it overcame two fellow Brazilian sides in the knockout phase.

Palmeiras vs Flamengco: What to Watch For

This suggests it could be a tough nut for Flamengo to crack.

Palmeiras won its group with five wins and one defeat.

Then came two 1-0 wins against Chile’s Universidad Catolica in the last 16.

YouTube video

Things got tougher in the following round when it had to overcome Sao Paolo – winning the second leg 3-0 after a 1-1 draw the first time around.

Finally, there was an even harder assignment against current Brazilian league leader Atletico Mineiro.

Flamengo was a 3-1 home winner when these sides met last September.

However, Palmeiras advanced on away goals after a 0-0 first leg draw was followed by a 1-1 draw in Belo Horizonte.

Meanwhile, Flamengo was a 3-1 home winner when these sides met in Serie A last September.

That followed a 1-0 league win for Flamengo last May.

 Copa Libertadores Final Pick

In the Brazilian Super Copa final last April, Flamengo won a penalty shoot-out 6-5 following a 2-2 draw.

Previously, Flamengo was also a 2-0 winner at home in Serie A last January.

Those results suggest another triumph for Flamengo. It may, however, have to do it the hard way after a draw in the opening 90 minutes.

Pick: Draw +255

Author Image